brackt/app/services/simulations/__tests__/input-policy.test.ts

import { describe, expect, it } from "vitest";
import { resolveRatings, resolveSourceElos } from "../input-policy";
import type { SimulatorManifestProfile } from "../manifest";

const profile = {
  derivableInputs: { sourceElo: ["projectedWins", "sourceOdds"] },
} as Pick<SimulatorManifestProfile, "derivableInputs">;

describe("simulator input policy", () => {
  it("keeps direct Elo ahead of derived values", () => {
    const resolved = resolveSourceElos(
      [{ participantId: "team-1", sourceElo: 1600, rating: null, sourceOdds: 2000, projectedWins: 20, projectedTablePoints: null }],
      profile,
      { seasonGames: 82 }
    );

    expect(resolved.get("team-1")).toMatchObject({ sourceElo: 1600, method: "direct" });
  });

  it("derives Elo from projected wins when Elo is missing", () => {
    const resolved = resolveSourceElos(
      [{ participantId: "team-1", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: 60, projectedTablePoints: null }],
      profile,
      { seasonGames: 82, parityFactor: 400 }
    );

    expect(resolved.get("team-1")?.method).toBe("projectedWins");
    expect(resolved.get("team-1")?.sourceElo).toBeGreaterThan(1500);
  });

  it("blocks missing Elo unless a fallback strategy is configured", () => {
    const inputs = [{ participantId: "team-1", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }];

    expect(resolveSourceElos(inputs, profile, {}).has("team-1")).toBe(false);
    expect(resolveSourceElos(inputs, profile, {
      inputPolicy: { missingEloStrategy: "fallbackElo", fallbackElo: 1375 },
    }).get("team-1")).toMatchObject({ sourceElo: 1375, method: "fallbackElo" });
  });

  it("supports worst-known-minus tail fallback", () => {
    const resolved = resolveSourceElos(
      [
        { participantId: "known-1", sourceElo: 1500, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null },
        { participantId: "known-2", sourceElo: 1430, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null },
        { participantId: "tail", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null },
      ],
      profile,
      { inputPolicy: { missingEloStrategy: "worstKnownMinus", fallbackEloDelta: 30 } }
    );

    expect(resolved.get("tail")).toMatchObject({ sourceElo: 1400, method: "worstKnownMinus" });
  });

  it("derives ratings from futures odds when the profile allows it", () => {
    const resolved = resolveRatings(
      [
        { participantId: "favorite", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: 300, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null },
        { participantId: "longshot", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: 20000, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null },
      ],
      { derivableInputs: { rating: ["sourceOdds"] } },
      { inputPolicy: { ratingMin: -10, ratingMax: 35 } }
    );

    expect(resolved.get("favorite")?.method).toBe("sourceOdds");
    expect(resolved.get("longshot")?.method).toBe("sourceOdds");
    expect(resolved.get("favorite")?.rating).toBeGreaterThan(resolved.get("longshot")?.rating ?? 999);
  });
});