brackt/app/routes/admin.sports-seasons.$id.expected-values.tsx

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User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
import { Link } from "react-router";
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
import type { Route } from "./+types/admin.sports-seasons.$id.expected-values";
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
import { loader } from "./admin.sports-seasons.$id.expected-values.server";
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
import { Button } from "~/components/ui/button";
import {
Card,
CardContent,
CardDescription,
CardHeader,
CardTitle,
} from "~/components/ui/card";
import {
Table,
TableBody,
TableCell,
TableHead,
TableHeader,
TableRow,
} from "~/components/ui/table";
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
import { ArrowLeft, Calculator } from "lucide-react";
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
export { loader };
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
const SCORING = [100, 70, 50, 40, 25, 25, 15, 15] as const;
function evFromProbs(ev: {
probFirst: string; probSecond: string; probThird: string; probFourth: string;
probFifth: string; probSixth: string; probSeventh: string; probEighth: string;
}): number {
return parseFloat(ev.probFirst) * SCORING[0]
+ parseFloat(ev.probSecond) * SCORING[1]
+ parseFloat(ev.probThird) * SCORING[2]
+ parseFloat(ev.probFourth) * SCORING[3]
+ parseFloat(ev.probFifth) * SCORING[4]
+ parseFloat(ev.probSixth) * SCORING[5]
+ parseFloat(ev.probSeventh) * SCORING[6]
+ parseFloat(ev.probEighth) * SCORING[7];
}
function fmt(val: string | number) {
return (parseFloat(val as string) * 100).toFixed(1) + "%";
}
export default function ExpectedValuesPage({ loaderData }: Route.ComponentProps) {
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
const { sportsSeason, participants, existingEVs } = loaderData;
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
// Compute total and sort from stored prob columns, not stored expectedValue.
// The simulator normalizes per-position column sums to exactly 1.0 (step 10),
// so the total EV should always equal the sum of scoring values (340).
// Sum only over participants shown in the table — excludes orphan EV records
// from prior simulation runs for participants no longer in this season.
const sorted = [...participants].sort((a, b) => {
const evA = existingEVs.has(a.id) ? evFromProbs(existingEVs.get(a.id)!) : 0;
const evB = existingEVs.has(b.id) ? evFromProbs(existingEVs.get(b.id)!) : 0;
return evB - evA;
});
const totalEV = sorted.reduce((sum, p) => {
const ev = existingEVs.get(p.id);
return ev ? sum + evFromProbs(ev) : sum;
}, 0);
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
return (
<div className="container mx-auto p-6 space-y-6">
<div className="flex items-center gap-4">
<Link to={`/admin/sports-seasons/${sportsSeason.id}`}>
<Button variant="ghost" size="sm">
<ArrowLeft className="h-4 w-4 mr-2" />
Back to Sports Season
</Button>
</Link>
</div>
<Card>
<CardHeader>
<CardTitle className="flex items-center gap-2">
<Calculator className="h-5 w-5" />
Expected Values: {sportsSeason.sport.name} {sportsSeason.year}
</CardTitle>
<CardDescription>
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
Probability distributions from the last simulation run. Sorted by EV descending.
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
</CardDescription>
</CardHeader>
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
<CardContent>
{participants.length === 0 ? (
<p className="text-center text-muted-foreground py-8">
No participants found.
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
</p>
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
) : existingEVs.size === 0 ? (
<p className="text-center text-muted-foreground py-8">
No EV data yet. Run a simulation from the sports season page.
</p>
) : (
<Table>
<TableHeader>
<TableRow>
<TableHead>Participant</TableHead>
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
<TableHead className="text-center">1st</TableHead>
<TableHead className="text-center">2nd</TableHead>
<TableHead className="text-center">3rd</TableHead>
<TableHead className="text-center">4th</TableHead>
<TableHead className="text-center">5th</TableHead>
<TableHead className="text-center">6th</TableHead>
<TableHead className="text-center">7th</TableHead>
<TableHead className="text-center">8th</TableHead>
<TableHead className="text-center">EV</TableHead>
</TableRow>
</TableHeader>
<TableBody>
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
{sorted.map((participant) => {
const ev = existingEVs.get(participant.id);
return (
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
<TableRow key={participant.id}>
<TableCell className="font-medium">{participant.name}</TableCell>
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
<TableCell className="text-center font-mono text-sm">{ev ? fmt(ev.probFirst) : "—"}</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center font-mono text-sm">{ev ? fmt(ev.probSecond) : "—"}</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center font-mono text-sm">{ev ? fmt(ev.probThird) : "—"}</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center font-mono text-sm">{ev ? fmt(ev.probFourth) : "—"}</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center font-mono text-sm">{ev ? fmt(ev.probFifth) : "—"}</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center font-mono text-sm">{ev ? fmt(ev.probSixth) : "—"}</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center font-mono text-sm">{ev ? fmt(ev.probSeventh) : "—"}</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center font-mono text-sm">{ev ? fmt(ev.probEighth) : "—"}</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center font-semibold">{ev ? evFromProbs(ev).toFixed(2) : "—"}</TableCell>
</TableRow>
);
})}
{existingEVs.size > 0 && (
<TableRow className="border-t-2 font-bold bg-muted/50">
<TableCell colSpan={9} className="text-right">Total EV</TableCell>
<TableCell className="text-center">{totalEV.toFixed(2)}</TableCell>
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
</TableRow>
)}
</TableBody>
</Table>
User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) * feat: EV simulation framework with F1 Monte Carlo simulator - Add EV snapshot tables (participant_ev_snapshots, team_ev_snapshots) and simulation_status column on sports seasons - Add ev-snapshot model with upsert and history query functions - Add simulator framework: types, bracket/F1/golf simulators, registry - F1 simulator: vig-removed ICM weighted draw (pre-season) + race-by-race Monte Carlo from current standings (in-season); per-position column normalization to prevent floating-point EV drift - Add admin simulate route and Run Simulation button on sports season page - Rework futures-odds admin page to save odds then run simulation in one action - Remove recalculate-probabilities route (superseded by simulate route) - Remove EV trend chart panel and associated DB queries Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat: map simulators to sports via simulatorType field Adds a `simulator_type` enum column to the `sports` table so each sport can be assigned a specific simulation algorithm rather than deriving it from the sports season's scoring pattern. - Add `simulatorTypeEnum` (f1_standings, indycar_standings, golf_qualifying_points, playoff_bracket) + `simulatorType` nullable column on `sports` table; migration 0037 - Rewrite simulator registry to key off `SimulatorType` instead of `ScoringPattern`; indycar_standings shares F1Simulator for now - `findSportsSeasonById` now returns `SportsSeasonWithSport` so callers have typed access to `sport.simulatorType` - Simulate and futures-odds actions read `sport.simulatorType`; guard fires before setting `simulationStatus: running` - Admin sport edit page gains a Simulator Type dropdown Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
)}
feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds. ## Key Features ### ICM Probability Calculator - Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities - Converts American odds to championship probabilities - Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants - Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams - Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8) ### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry - Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures - Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions - Displays all 8 placement probabilities - Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits - Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig) ### Database Schema Updates - Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id - Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons - Added source_odds field to store original futures odds - Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update - Migration 0026: Add source_odds field ### Model Layer - participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions - Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation) - Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules - Probability validation and normalization ### Service Layer - icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution - probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use) - bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach) - ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities ## Technical Details - Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams - Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions - Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower) - All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid - Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing ## Future Enhancements - Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs - Integration with league-specific scoring rules - Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
</CardContent>
</Card>
</div>
);
}