diff --git a/app/entry.server.tsx b/app/entry.server.tsx
index 77cfdf5..2ff5275 100644
--- a/app/entry.server.tsx
+++ b/app/entry.server.tsx
@@ -1,18 +1,26 @@
 import * as Sentry from "@sentry/react-router";
 import { PassThrough } from "node:stream";
 import { logger } from "~/lib/logger";
+import { shouldReportServerError } from "~/lib/error-reporting";
 
-import type { AppLoadContext, EntryContext } from "react-router";
+import type { AppLoadContext, EntryContext, HandleErrorFunction } from "react-router";
 import { createReadableStreamFromReadable } from "@react-router/node";
 import { ServerRouter } from "react-router";
 import { isbot } from "isbot";
 import type { RenderToPipeableStreamOptions } from "react-dom/server";
 import { renderToPipeableStream } from "react-dom/server";
 
-export const handleError = Sentry.createSentryHandleError({
+const sentryHandleError = Sentry.createSentryHandleError({
   logErrors: true,
 });
 
+export const handleError: HandleErrorFunction = (error, args) => {
+  // Unrecognised URLs and methods are bot scans, not bugs. Skipping early also
+  // keeps them out of the `logErrors` console output; morgan still logs the request.
+  if (!shouldReportServerError(error, args.request)) return;
+  return sentryHandleError(error, args);
+};
+
 export const streamTimeout = 5_000;
 
 async function handleRequest(
diff --git a/app/lib/__tests__/error-reporting.test.ts b/app/lib/__tests__/error-reporting.test.ts
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..ed46e5b
--- /dev/null
+++ b/app/lib/__tests__/error-reporting.test.ts
@@ -0,0 +1,230 @@
+import { describe, it, expect } from "vitest";
+import { createStaticHandler } from "react-router";
+import { shouldReportServerError } from "../error-reporting";
+
+const ORIGIN = "https://brackt.com";
+
+/** Shaped like the ErrorResponse React Router hands to `handleError`. */
+function routeError(
+  status: number,
+  internal: boolean,
+  statusText = "Not Found",
+) {
+  return {
+    status,
+    statusText,
+    internal,
+    data: `Error: No route matches URL "/blog/wp/v2/posts/999999"`,
+  };
+}
+
+function request(path: string, referer?: string, method = "GET") {
+  return new Request(`${ORIGIN}${path}`, {
+    method,
+    headers: referer ? { referer } : {},
+  });
+}
+
+describe("shouldReportServerError", () => {
+  it("drops a router 404 for a scanner hitting a URL cold", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(404, true),
+        request("/blog/wp/v2/posts/999999"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(false);
+  });
+
+  it("drops a router 404 linked from another site", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(404, true),
+        request("/blog/", "https://evil.example/"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(false);
+  });
+
+  it("reports a router 404 linked from one of our own pages", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(404, true),
+        request("/leagues/gone", `${ORIGIN}/leagues`),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("drops the 405 from a POST to a route with no action", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(405, true, "Method Not Allowed"),
+        request("/", undefined, "POST"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(false);
+  });
+
+  it("reports a 404 the app threw deliberately", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(404, false),
+        request("/leagues/missing"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("reports a 403 the app threw from an ownership check", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(403, false, "Forbidden"),
+        request("/admin/sports"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("reports a router-internal 500", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(500, true, "Internal Server Error"),
+        request("/leagues"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("reports a plain exception", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(new Error("boom"), request("/leagues")),
+    ).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("reports anything that is not a route error response", () => {
+    expect(shouldReportServerError("just a string", request("/leagues"))).toBe(
+      true,
+    );
+    expect(shouldReportServerError(null, request("/leagues"))).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("drops a router 404 whose referer header is not a URL", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(404, true),
+        request("/blog/", "not a url"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(false);
+  });
+});
+
+/**
+ * The unit tests above use hand-written error objects. These drive real requests
+ * through React Router so the suite fails if the shape it throws ever changes.
+ */
+describe("shouldReportServerError against real React Router errors", () => {
+  const handler = createStaticHandler([
+    {
+      id: "root",
+      path: "/",
+      children: [{ id: "home", index: true, loader: () => null }],
+    },
+  ]);
+
+  async function errorFor(req: Request) {
+    const ctx = await handler.query(req);
+    if (ctx instanceof Response) return null;
+    return Object.values(ctx.errors ?? {})[0] ?? null;
+  }
+
+  it('drops the 404 for an unmatched URL (No route matches URL "...")', async () => {
+    const req = request("/blog/wp/v2/posts/999999");
+    const error = await errorFor(req);
+    expect(error).toMatchObject({ status: 404, internal: true });
+    expect(shouldReportServerError(error, req)).toBe(false);
+  });
+
+  it("reports the same 404 when it came from a link on our own site", async () => {
+    const req = request("/nope", `${ORIGIN}/leagues`);
+    expect(shouldReportServerError(await errorFor(req), req)).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("drops the 405 from a POST to a route with no action", async () => {
+    const req = request("/", undefined, "POST");
+    const error = await errorFor(req);
+    expect(error).toMatchObject({ status: 405, internal: true });
+    expect(shouldReportServerError(error, req)).toBe(false);
+  });
+});
+
+describe("static asset 404s", () => {
+  it("drops a stale hashed bundle even with a same-host referer", () => {
+    // Every deploy leaves clients requesting the previous build's assets.
+    const req = request("/assets/index-OLDHASH.js", `${ORIGIN}/leagues`);
+    expect(shouldReportServerError(routeError(404, true), req)).toBe(false);
+  });
+
+  it.each([
+    "/assets/app-x1.css",
+    "/fonts/inter.woff2",
+    "/images/logo.png",
+    "/favicon.ico",
+  ])("drops a 404 for %s", (path) => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(404, true),
+        request(path, `${ORIGIN}/`),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(false);
+  });
+
+  it("still follows the referer rule for a non-asset path containing a dot", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(404, true),
+        request("/leagues/v1.2", `${ORIGIN}/leagues`),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(true);
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(routeError(404, true), request("/leagues/v1.2")),
+    ).toBe(false);
+  });
+});
+
+describe("React Router internal statuses that are not 404/405", () => {
+  it("reports an internal 400 (route is missing a loader)", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(400, true, "Bad Request"),
+        request("/leagues"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("reports an internal 403 (route does not match URL)", () => {
+    expect(
+      shouldReportServerError(
+        routeError(403, true, "Forbidden"),
+        request("/leagues"),
+      ),
+    ).toBe(true);
+  });
+});
+
+describe("production shape: TLS terminated upstream", () => {
+  it("reports a 404 linked from our own site when the proxy strips https", () => {
+    // Express builds request.url from req.protocol, which is `http` inside the
+    // container. Real browsers send an https referer. Comparing full origins
+    // would never match, silencing every broken internal link.
+    const req = new Request("http://brackt.com/leagues/gone", {
+      headers: { referer: "https://brackt.com/leagues" },
+    });
+    expect(shouldReportServerError(routeError(404, true), req)).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("still drops a cold scanner hit under that same shape", () => {
+    const req = new Request("http://brackt.com/blog/wp/v2/posts/999999");
+    expect(shouldReportServerError(routeError(404, true), req)).toBe(false);
+  });
+
+  it("still drops a 404 linked from another site under that same shape", () => {
+    const req = new Request("http://brackt.com/nope", {
+      headers: { referer: "https://evil.example/" },
+    });
+    expect(shouldReportServerError(routeError(404, true), req)).toBe(false);
+  });
+});
diff --git a/app/lib/error-reporting.ts b/app/lib/error-reporting.ts
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..19f1351
--- /dev/null
+++ b/app/lib/error-reporting.ts
@@ -0,0 +1,87 @@
+/**
+ * Decides which server-side errors are worth sending to Sentry.
+ *
+ * Automated scanners probe for CMS paths that have never existed here
+ * (`/blog/wp/v2/posts/999999`, `/wp-login.php`, a bare `POST /`). React Router
+ * throws for each one — a 404 when no route matches, a 405 when a route has no
+ * `action` — and every throw reaches `handleError` in `app/entry.server.tsx`.
+ * Reporting those burns the Sentry quota without ever describing a real bug.
+ */
+import { isRouteErrorResponse } from "react-router";
+
+/**
+ * Statuses React Router uses to say "nothing here matched this request":
+ * 404 when no route matches the URL, 405 when the route has no `action` or the
+ * method is invalid. Its other internal statuses (400 "did not provide a
+ * `loader`", 403 "Route does not match URL") describe a misconfigured route
+ * rather than an unrecognised request, so those keep reporting.
+ */
+const UNMATCHED_REQUEST_STATUSES = new Set([404, 405]);
+
+/**
+ * Static assets 404 in bulk for reasons that are never actionable: scanners
+ * guessing filenames, and clients running stale HTML that still references the
+ * previous deploy's hashed bundles.
+ */
+const ASSET_EXT_RE =
+  /\.(css|js|mjs|map|png|jpe?g|gif|svg|webp|avif|ico|woff2?|ttf|eot)$/i;
+
+/** React Router stamps `internal: true` on the errors it generates itself. */
+function isInternalRouterError(error: unknown): boolean {
+  return (error as { internal?: unknown }).internal === true;
+}
+
+/**
+ * True when the request was linked from a page on this same site.
+ *
+ * Compares host rather than origin on purpose. Production terminates TLS
+ * upstream and serves plain HTTP in the container, so `request.url` — which
+ * `@react-router/express` builds from `req.protocol` — says `http` while the
+ * browser sends an `https` referer. Comparing full origins would therefore
+ * never match in production. (`app/routes/leagues/$leagueId.server.ts` works
+ * around the same mismatch for invite URLs.) Protocol tells us nothing about
+ * whether the link was ours; host does.
+ */
+function hasSameHostReferer(request: Request): boolean {
+  const referer = request.headers.get("referer");
+  if (!referer) return false;
+  try {
+    return new URL(referer).host === new URL(request.url).host;
+  } catch {
+    // Scanners send garbage in this header; a referer we can't parse isn't ours.
+    return false;
+  }
+}
+
+/**
+ * Whether `error` should be reported to Sentry.
+ *
+ * Drops the 404s and 405s React Router generated for a request that matched
+ * nothing. Everything else is reported: real exceptions, 5xx, React Router's
+ * other internal statuses, and responses the app threw deliberately
+ * (`internal: false`), so a 403 from an ownership check still shows up.
+ *
+ * The exception is a request carrying a same-host `Referer`: a 404 reached from
+ * one of our own pages is a broken internal link, not a scanner, and stays
+ * visible in Sentry. Asset paths are excluded from that exception — a stale
+ * client requesting last deploy's bundle sends a same-host referer too, and
+ * would otherwise spike Sentry on every release.
+ */
+export function shouldReportServerError(
+  error: unknown,
+  request: Request,
+): boolean {
+  if (!isRouteErrorResponse(error)) return true;
+  if (!isInternalRouterError(error)) return true;
+  if (!UNMATCHED_REQUEST_STATUSES.has(error.status)) return true;
+
+  let pathname: string;
+  try {
+    pathname = new URL(request.url).pathname;
+  } catch {
+    pathname = "";
+  }
+  if (ASSET_EXT_RE.test(pathname)) return false;
+
+  return hasSameHostReferer(request);
+}
diff --git a/instrument.server.mjs b/instrument.server.mjs
index 486b0b6..9d46ae9 100644
--- a/instrument.server.mjs
+++ b/instrument.server.mjs
@@ -5,12 +5,6 @@ Sentry.init({
   enabled: process.env.NODE_ENV === "production",
   sendDefaultPii: true,
   tracesSampleRate: 0,
-  ignoreErrors: [
-    /No route matches URL ".*\.css"/,
-    /No route matches URL ".*\.js"/,
-    /No route matches URL ".*\.(php|env|xml|aspx|asp|bak|sql|ini)"/i,
-    /No route matches URL ".*\/(wp-admin|wp-login|phpmyadmin|xmlrpc)"/i,
-  ],
   beforeSend(event) {
     const msg = event.exception?.values?.[0]?.value ?? "";
     // Drop React Flight protocol probe errors (e.g. $1:aa:aa in multipart body)
diff --git a/server/app.ts b/server/app.ts
index 2de2ca3..0835bef 100644
--- a/server/app.ts
+++ b/server/app.ts
@@ -11,9 +11,11 @@ export const app = express();
 
 app.use((_, __, next) => DatabaseContext.run(db, next));
 
-// Block common bot probe paths before React Router (and Sentry) see them
+// Block common bot probe paths before React Router (and Sentry) see them.
+// `blog` is here only because scanners hammer /blog/wp/v2/* — drop it from this
+// list if a real blog route is ever added.
 const BOT_PROBE_RE =
-  /\.(php|env|htaccess|aspx|asp|jsp|config|bak|sql|ini|swp|DS_Store)$|^\/(wp-admin|wp-login|phpmyadmin|xmlrpc|server-status|cgi-bin|shell|cmd|console|actuator)(\/|$)/i;
+  /\.(php|env|htaccess|aspx|asp|jsp|config|bak|sql|ini|swp|DS_Store)$|^\/(wp-admin|wp-login|phpmyadmin|xmlrpc|server-status|cgi-bin|shell|cmd|console|actuator|blog)(\/|$)/i;
 
 app.use((req, res, next) => {
   if (BOT_PROBE_RE.test(req.path)) {