Consolidate Elo + ranking input into generic elo-ratings page
The darts-elo and cs-elo pages were unreachable from the admin nav, which always links to the generic elo-ratings page. Extended elo-ratings to conditionally show world ranking fields for simulator types that need it (darts_bracket, cs2_major_qualifying_points), then deleted the redundant sport-specific pages. https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR
This commit is contained in:
Claude
parent
08b17b1b37
commit
f949338ed7
4 changed files with 154 additions and 998 deletions
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@ -99,14 +99,6 @@ export default [
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"sports-seasons/:id/surface-elo",
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"sports-seasons/:id/surface-elo",
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"routes/admin.sports-seasons.$id.surface-elo.tsx"
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"routes/admin.sports-seasons.$id.surface-elo.tsx"
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),
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),
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route(
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"sports-seasons/:id/darts-elo",
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"routes/admin.sports-seasons.$id.darts-elo.tsx"
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),
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route(
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"sports-seasons/:id/cs-elo",
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"routes/admin.sports-seasons.$id.cs-elo.tsx"
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),
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route(
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route(
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"sports-seasons/:id/golf-skills",
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"sports-seasons/:id/golf-skills",
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"routes/admin.sports-seasons.$id.golf-skills.tsx"
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"routes/admin.sports-seasons.$id.golf-skills.tsx"
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@ -1,457 +0,0 @@
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import { Form, redirect, useLoaderData, useActionData, useNavigation } from 'react-router';
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import type { Route } from './+types/admin.sports-seasons.$id.cs-elo';
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import { logger } from '~/lib/logger';
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import { findSportsSeasonById, updateSportsSeason } from '~/models/sports-season';
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import { findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId } from '~/models/participant';
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import {
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getAllParticipantEVsForSeason,
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batchSaveSourceElos,
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batchUpsertParticipantEVs,
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} from '~/models/participant-expected-value';
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import { batchUpsertParticipantEvSnapshots } from '~/models/ev-snapshot';
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import { getSimulator, type SimulatorType } from '~/services/simulations/registry';
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import { calculateEV } from '~/services/ev-calculator';
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import { DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES } from '~/lib/scoring-types';
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import { recalculateStandings } from '~/models/scoring-calculator';
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import { database } from '~/database/context';
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import * as schema from '~/database/schema';
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import { eq } from 'drizzle-orm';
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import { Button } from '~/components/ui/button';
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import { Input } from '~/components/ui/input';
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import { Label } from '~/components/ui/label';
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import { Textarea } from '~/components/ui/textarea';
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import {
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Card,
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CardContent,
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CardDescription,
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CardHeader,
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CardTitle,
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} from '~/components/ui/card';
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import { useState } from 'react';
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import { Loader2, CheckCircle2, AlertCircle } from 'lucide-react';
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import { normalizeName } from '~/lib/fuzzy-match';
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export function meta({ data }: Route.MetaArgs): Route.MetaDescriptors {
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return [{ title: `CS2 Elo & HLTV Rankings — ${data?.sportsSeason?.name ?? "Sports Season"} - Brackt Admin` }];
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}
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export async function loader({ params }: Route.LoaderArgs) {
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const sportsSeasonId = params.id;
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const sportsSeason = await findSportsSeasonById(sportsSeasonId);
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if (!sportsSeason) {
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throw new Response('Sports season not found', { status: 404 });
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}
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const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
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const existingEVs = await getAllParticipantEVsForSeason(sportsSeasonId);
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const existingData: Record<string, { elo: number | null; ranking: number | null }> = {};
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for (const ev of existingEVs) {
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existingData[ev.participantId] = {
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elo: ev.sourceElo ?? null,
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ranking: ev.worldRanking ?? null,
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};
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}
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return { sportsSeason, participants, existingData };
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}
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interface ActionData {
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success?: boolean;
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message?: string;
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}
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export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
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const sportsSeasonId = params.id;
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const formData = await request.formData();
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const sportsSeason = await findSportsSeasonById(sportsSeasonId);
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if (!sportsSeason) {
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return { success: false, message: 'Sports season not found' };
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}
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const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
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const eloInputs: Array<{ participantId: string; sportsSeasonId: string; sourceElo: number; worldRanking?: number | null }> = [];
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for (const participant of participants) {
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const eloVal = formData.get(`elo_${participant.id}`) as string;
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const rankVal = formData.get(`rank_${participant.id}`) as string;
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if (eloVal && eloVal.trim() !== '') {
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const elo = Number(eloVal);
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if (!isNaN(elo) && elo > 0) {
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const ranking = rankVal && rankVal.trim() !== '' ? Number(rankVal) : null;
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eloInputs.push({
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participantId: participant.id,
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sportsSeasonId,
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sourceElo: elo,
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worldRanking: ranking && !isNaN(ranking) && ranking > 0 ? ranking : null,
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});
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}
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}
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}
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if (eloInputs.length === 0) {
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return { success: false, message: 'Please enter an Elo rating for at least one team' };
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}
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if (!sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType) {
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return { success: false, message: 'This sport has no simulator type configured. Set one on the sport in the admin panel.' };
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}
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if (sportsSeason.simulationStatus === 'running') {
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return { success: false, message: 'A simulation is already running. Please wait.' };
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}
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await batchSaveSourceElos(eloInputs);
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await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'running' });
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try {
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const simulator = getSimulator(sportsSeason.sport.simulatorType as SimulatorType);
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const results = await simulator.simulate(sportsSeasonId);
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if (results.length === 0) {
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throw new Error('Simulation returned no results.');
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}
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const simulatedIds = new Set(results.map(r => r.participantId));
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const ZERO_PROBS = {
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probFirst: 0, probSecond: 0, probThird: 0, probFourth: 0,
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probFifth: 0, probSixth: 0, probSeventh: 0, probEighth: 0,
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};
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const evInputs = [
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...results.map(r => ({
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participantId: r.participantId,
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sportsSeasonId,
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probabilities: r.probabilities,
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scoringRules: DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES,
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source: 'elo_simulation' as const,
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})),
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...participants
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.filter(p => !simulatedIds.has(p.id))
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.map(p => ({
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participantId: p.id,
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sportsSeasonId,
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probabilities: ZERO_PROBS,
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scoringRules: DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES,
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source: 'elo_simulation' as const,
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})),
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];
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await batchUpsertParticipantEVs(evInputs);
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const seasonSports = await database().query.seasonSports.findMany({
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where: eq(schema.seasonSports.sportsSeasonId, sportsSeasonId),
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});
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await Promise.all(seasonSports.map(({ seasonId }) => recalculateStandings(seasonId)));
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const today = new Date().toISOString().slice(0, 10);
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await batchUpsertParticipantEvSnapshots(
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results.map(r => ({
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participantId: r.participantId,
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sportsSeasonId,
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snapshotDate: today,
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probFirst: r.probabilities.probFirst,
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probSecond: r.probabilities.probSecond,
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probThird: r.probabilities.probThird,
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probFourth: r.probabilities.probFourth,
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probFifth: r.probabilities.probFifth,
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probSixth: r.probabilities.probSixth,
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probSeventh: r.probabilities.probSeventh,
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probEighth: r.probabilities.probEighth,
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calculatedEV: calculateEV(r.probabilities, DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES),
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source: r.source,
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}))
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);
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await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'idle' });
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} catch (error) {
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await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'failed' });
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logger.error('Error running CS2 major simulation:', error);
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return {
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success: false,
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message: error instanceof Error ? error.message : 'Simulation failed',
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};
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}
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return redirect(`/admin/sports-seasons/${sportsSeasonId}/expected-values`);
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}
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export default function AdminSportsSeasonCsElo() {
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const { sportsSeason, participants, existingData } = useLoaderData<typeof loader>();
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const actionData = useActionData<ActionData>();
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const navigation = useNavigation();
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const [eloValues, setEloValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
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const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
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participants.forEach(p => {
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const d = existingData[p.id];
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if (d?.elo !== null && d?.elo !== undefined) initial[p.id] = d.elo.toString();
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});
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return initial;
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});
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const [rankValues, setRankValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
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const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
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participants.forEach(p => {
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const d = existingData[p.id];
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if (d?.ranking !== null && d?.ranking !== undefined) initial[p.id] = d.ranking.toString();
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});
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return initial;
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});
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const [bulkText, setBulkText] = useState('');
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const [parseResults, setParseResults] = useState<{
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matched: Array<{ participantId: string; name: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null; inputName: string }>;
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unmatched: Array<{ inputName: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null }>;
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} | null>(null);
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function findParticipantMatch(inputName: string) {
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const normalizedInput = normalizeName(inputName);
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const normalized = participants.map(p => ({ p, n: normalizeName(p.name) }));
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const exact = normalized.find(({ n }) => n === normalizedInput);
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if (exact) return exact.p;
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const contains = normalized.find(({ n }) => n.includes(normalizedInput) || normalizedInput.includes(n));
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if (contains) return contains.p;
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const inputWords = normalizedInput.split(' ').filter(w => w.length > 2);
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const overlap = normalized.find(({ n }) => {
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const pWords = n.split(' ').filter(w => w.length > 2);
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const shared = inputWords.filter(w => pWords.includes(w));
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return shared.length > 0 && shared.length >= Math.min(inputWords.length, pWords.length) * 0.5;
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});
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return overlap?.p ?? null;
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}
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function parseBulkText() {
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const lines = bulkText.split('\n');
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const matched: typeof parseResults extends null ? never : NonNullable<typeof parseResults>['matched'] = [];
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const unmatched: typeof parseResults extends null ? never : NonNullable<typeof parseResults>['unmatched'] = [];
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const seen = new Set<string>();
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for (const line of lines) {
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const trimmed = line.trim();
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if (!trimmed) continue;
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const match = /^(.+?)[\s,:\t]+(\d{3,5})(?:[\s,:\t]+(\d{1,3}))?\s*$/.exec(trimmed);
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if (!match) continue;
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const inputName = match[1].trim();
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const elo = parseInt(match[2], 10);
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const ranking = match[3] ? parseInt(match[3], 10) : null;
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if (isNaN(elo) || elo < 500 || elo > 5000) continue;
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if (ranking !== null && (isNaN(ranking) || ranking < 1 || ranking > 256)) continue;
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const participant = findParticipantMatch(inputName);
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if (participant && !seen.has(participant.id)) {
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seen.add(participant.id);
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matched.push({ participantId: participant.id, name: participant.name, elo, ranking, inputName });
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} else if (!participant) {
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unmatched.push({ inputName, elo, ranking });
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}
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}
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setParseResults({ matched, unmatched });
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}
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function applyMatches() {
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if (!parseResults) return;
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const newElos = { ...eloValues };
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const newRanks = { ...rankValues };
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for (const m of parseResults.matched) {
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newElos[m.participantId] = m.elo.toString();
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if (m.ranking !== null) {
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newRanks[m.participantId] = m.ranking.toString();
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}
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}
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setEloValues(newElos);
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setRankValues(newRanks);
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setParseResults(null);
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setBulkText('');
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}
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const isSubmitting = navigation.state === 'submitting';
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const sortedParticipants = [...participants].toSorted((a, b) => {
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const rankA = rankValues[a.id] ? parseInt(rankValues[a.id], 10) : null;
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const rankB = rankValues[b.id] ? parseInt(rankValues[b.id], 10) : null;
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if (rankA !== null && rankB !== null) return rankA - rankB;
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if (rankA !== null) return -1;
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if (rankB !== null) return 1;
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return a.name.localeCompare(b.name);
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});
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return (
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<div className="container mx-auto py-8">
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<div className="mb-8">
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<h1 className="text-3xl font-bold mb-2">CS2 Team Elo & HLTV Rankings</h1>
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<p className="text-muted-foreground">
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{sportsSeason.sport.name} — {sportsSeason.name}
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</p>
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</div>
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<Card className="mb-6">
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<CardHeader>
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<CardTitle>Bulk Import</CardTitle>
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<CardDescription>
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Paste one team per line. Format:{' '}
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<code>Team Name, 1850, 5</code> (name, Elo, HLTV ranking).
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HLTV ranking is optional — omit it and the simulator will use Elo order for stage seeding.
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Team names are fuzzy-matched to participants.
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</CardDescription>
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</CardHeader>
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<CardContent className="space-y-4">
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<Textarea
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placeholder={`Natus Vincere, 1850, 1\nFaZe Clan, 1820, 2\nVitality, 1800, 3`}
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value={bulkText}
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onChange={e => { setBulkText(e.target.value); setParseResults(null); }}
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rows={10}
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className="font-mono text-sm"
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/>
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<Button type="button" variant="outline" onClick={parseBulkText} disabled={!bulkText.trim()}>
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Parse
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</Button>
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{parseResults && (
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<div className="space-y-3">
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{parseResults.matched.length > 0 && (
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<div>
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<div className="flex items-center gap-2 text-sm font-medium text-emerald-400 mb-2">
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<CheckCircle2 className="h-4 w-4" />
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Matched ({parseResults.matched.length})
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</div>
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<div className="rounded-md border border-emerald-500/30 bg-emerald-500/10 divide-y divide-emerald-500/20 text-sm">
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{parseResults.matched.map(m => (
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<div key={m.participantId} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
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<span className="text-muted-foreground">{m.inputName}</span>
|
|
||||||
<span className="font-medium">
|
|
||||||
{m.name} → Elo {m.elo}{m.ranking !== null ? `, Rank #${m.ranking}` : ''}
|
|
||||||
</span>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
))}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{parseResults.unmatched.length > 0 && (
|
|
||||||
<div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 text-sm font-medium text-amber-700 mb-2">
|
|
||||||
<AlertCircle className="h-4 w-4" />
|
|
||||||
Not matched ({parseResults.unmatched.length}) — enter manually below
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="rounded-md border border-amber-200 bg-amber-50 divide-y divide-amber-100 text-sm">
|
|
||||||
{parseResults.unmatched.map(u => (
|
|
||||||
<div key={u.inputName} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
|
|
||||||
<span>{u.inputName}</span>
|
|
||||||
<span className="font-medium">
|
|
||||||
Elo {u.elo}{u.ranking !== null ? `, Rank #${u.ranking}` : ''}
|
|
||||||
</span>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
))}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{parseResults.matched.length > 0 && (
|
|
||||||
<Button type="button" onClick={applyMatches}>
|
|
||||||
Apply {parseResults.matched.length} matched entries to form
|
|
||||||
</Button>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
</CardContent>
|
|
||||||
</Card>
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="grid gap-6 lg:grid-cols-2">
|
|
||||||
<Card>
|
|
||||||
<CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardTitle>Team Elo & HLTV Rankings</CardTitle>
|
|
||||||
<CardDescription>
|
|
||||||
Enter each team's Elo rating and HLTV world ranking. Rankings determine which
|
|
||||||
Swiss stage a team enters (1–8 = Stage 3/Legends, 9–16 = Stage 2/Challengers,
|
|
||||||
17–32 = Stage 1/Opening). Saving will automatically run the simulation and update
|
|
||||||
expected values.
|
|
||||||
</CardDescription>
|
|
||||||
</CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardContent>
|
|
||||||
<Form method="post" className="space-y-4">
|
|
||||||
<div className="grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px_80px] gap-x-3 gap-y-2 items-center text-xs font-medium text-muted-foreground mb-1">
|
|
||||||
<span>Team</span>
|
|
||||||
<span>Elo</span>
|
|
||||||
<span>HLTV #</span>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="space-y-2">
|
|
||||||
{sortedParticipants.map(participant => (
|
|
||||||
<div key={participant.id} className="grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px_80px] gap-x-3 items-center">
|
|
||||||
<Label htmlFor={`elo_${participant.id}`} className="truncate text-sm">
|
|
||||||
{participant.name}
|
|
||||||
</Label>
|
|
||||||
<Input
|
|
||||||
type="number"
|
|
||||||
id={`elo_${participant.id}`}
|
|
||||||
name={`elo_${participant.id}`}
|
|
||||||
placeholder="1800"
|
|
||||||
value={eloValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
|
|
||||||
onChange={e =>
|
|
||||||
setEloValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
className="h-8 text-sm"
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
<Input
|
|
||||||
type="number"
|
|
||||||
name={`rank_${participant.id}`}
|
|
||||||
placeholder="—"
|
|
||||||
value={rankValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
|
|
||||||
onChange={e =>
|
|
||||||
setRankValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
className="h-8 text-sm"
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
))}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{actionData && !actionData.success && actionData.message && (
|
|
||||||
<div className="text-sm text-destructive">{actionData.message}</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<Button type="submit" disabled={isSubmitting}>
|
|
||||||
{isSubmitting && <Loader2 className="mr-2 h-4 w-4 animate-spin" />}
|
|
||||||
{isSubmitting ? 'Saving & Running Simulation...' : 'Save & Run Simulation'}
|
|
||||||
</Button>
|
|
||||||
</Form>
|
|
||||||
</CardContent>
|
|
||||||
</Card>
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<Card>
|
|
||||||
<CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardTitle>How It Works</CardTitle>
|
|
||||||
</CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardContent className="text-sm space-y-2">
|
|
||||||
<ol className="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2">
|
|
||||||
<li>Save Elo ratings and HLTV rankings for all teams</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Rankings determine stage entry (1–8 = Stage 3 Legends, 9–16 = Stage 2 Challengers, 17–32 = Stage 1 Opening)</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Per-game win probability: p = 1 / (1 + 10^(−ΔElo/400))</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Swiss stages use Bernoulli series model (Bo1 for Stages 1–2, Bo3 for Stage 3)</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Champions Stage: 8-team single-elimination (QF Bo3, SF Bo3, GF Bo5)</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the full major</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Stage 3 exits ranked by W-L record for QP sub-placement (2-3 > 1-3 > 0-3)</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>QP accumulates across both majors; teams ranked 1st–8th by total QP</li>
|
|
||||||
</ol>
|
|
||||||
<div className="mt-4 text-muted-foreground text-xs space-y-1">
|
|
||||||
<div>Stage assignments from event setup override rank-based inference.</div>
|
|
||||||
<div>Once the official field is announced, assign teams to stages in the event setup page.</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</CardContent>
|
|
||||||
</Card>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,470 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
import { Form, redirect, useLoaderData, useActionData, useNavigation } from 'react-router';
|
|
||||||
import type { Route } from './+types/admin.sports-seasons.$id.darts-elo';
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import { logger } from '~/lib/logger';
|
|
||||||
import { findSportsSeasonById, updateSportsSeason } from '~/models/sports-season';
|
|
||||||
import { findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId } from '~/models/participant';
|
|
||||||
import {
|
|
||||||
getAllParticipantEVsForSeason,
|
|
||||||
batchSaveSourceElos,
|
|
||||||
batchUpsertParticipantEVs,
|
|
||||||
} from '~/models/participant-expected-value';
|
|
||||||
import { batchUpsertParticipantEvSnapshots } from '~/models/ev-snapshot';
|
|
||||||
import { getSimulator, type SimulatorType } from '~/services/simulations/registry';
|
|
||||||
import { calculateEV } from '~/services/ev-calculator';
|
|
||||||
import { DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES } from '~/lib/scoring-types';
|
|
||||||
import { recalculateStandings } from '~/models/scoring-calculator';
|
|
||||||
import { database } from '~/database/context';
|
|
||||||
import * as schema from '~/database/schema';
|
|
||||||
import { eq } from 'drizzle-orm';
|
|
||||||
import { Button } from '~/components/ui/button';
|
|
||||||
import { Input } from '~/components/ui/input';
|
|
||||||
import { Label } from '~/components/ui/label';
|
|
||||||
import { Textarea } from '~/components/ui/textarea';
|
|
||||||
import {
|
|
||||||
Card,
|
|
||||||
CardContent,
|
|
||||||
CardDescription,
|
|
||||||
CardHeader,
|
|
||||||
CardTitle,
|
|
||||||
} from '~/components/ui/card';
|
|
||||||
import { useState } from 'react';
|
|
||||||
import { Loader2, CheckCircle2, AlertCircle } from 'lucide-react';
|
|
||||||
import { normalizeName } from '~/lib/fuzzy-match';
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export function meta({ data }: Route.MetaArgs): Route.MetaDescriptors {
|
|
||||||
return [{ title: `Darts Elo & Rankings — ${data?.sportsSeason?.name ?? "Sports Season"} - Brackt Admin` }];
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export async function loader({ params }: Route.LoaderArgs) {
|
|
||||||
const sportsSeasonId = params.id;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const sportsSeason = await findSportsSeasonById(sportsSeasonId);
|
|
||||||
if (!sportsSeason) {
|
|
||||||
throw new Response('Sports season not found', { status: 404 });
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
|
|
||||||
const existingEVs = await getAllParticipantEVsForSeason(sportsSeasonId);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const existingData: Record<string, { elo: number | null; ranking: number | null }> = {};
|
|
||||||
for (const ev of existingEVs) {
|
|
||||||
existingData[ev.participantId] = {
|
|
||||||
elo: ev.sourceElo ?? null,
|
|
||||||
ranking: ev.worldRanking ?? null,
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return { sportsSeason, participants, existingData };
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
interface ActionData {
|
|
||||||
success?: boolean;
|
|
||||||
message?: string;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
|
|
||||||
const sportsSeasonId = params.id;
|
|
||||||
const formData = await request.formData();
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const sportsSeason = await findSportsSeasonById(sportsSeasonId);
|
|
||||||
if (!sportsSeason) {
|
|
||||||
return { success: false, message: 'Sports season not found' };
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Parse Elo ratings and world rankings from form
|
|
||||||
const eloInputs: Array<{ participantId: string; sportsSeasonId: string; sourceElo: number; worldRanking?: number | null }> = [];
|
|
||||||
for (const participant of participants) {
|
|
||||||
const eloVal = formData.get(`elo_${participant.id}`) as string;
|
|
||||||
const rankVal = formData.get(`rank_${participant.id}`) as string;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (eloVal && eloVal.trim() !== '') {
|
|
||||||
const elo = Number(eloVal);
|
|
||||||
if (!isNaN(elo) && elo > 0) {
|
|
||||||
const ranking = rankVal && rankVal.trim() !== '' ? Number(rankVal) : null;
|
|
||||||
eloInputs.push({
|
|
||||||
participantId: participant.id,
|
|
||||||
sportsSeasonId,
|
|
||||||
sourceElo: elo,
|
|
||||||
worldRanking: ranking && !isNaN(ranking) && ranking > 0 ? ranking : null,
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (eloInputs.length === 0) {
|
|
||||||
return { success: false, message: 'Please enter an Elo rating for at least one participant' };
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (!sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType) {
|
|
||||||
return { success: false, message: 'This sport has no simulator type configured. Set one on the sport in the admin panel.' };
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (sportsSeason.simulationStatus === 'running') {
|
|
||||||
return { success: false, message: 'A simulation is already running. Please wait.' };
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Persist Elo ratings and world rankings
|
|
||||||
await batchSaveSourceElos(eloInputs);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Auto-run simulation
|
|
||||||
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'running' });
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
try {
|
|
||||||
const simulator = getSimulator(sportsSeason.sport.simulatorType as SimulatorType);
|
|
||||||
const results = await simulator.simulate(sportsSeasonId);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (results.length === 0) {
|
|
||||||
throw new Error('Simulation returned no results.');
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Zero out any participants not in simulation results
|
|
||||||
const simulatedIds = new Set(results.map(r => r.participantId));
|
|
||||||
const ZERO_PROBS = {
|
|
||||||
probFirst: 0, probSecond: 0, probThird: 0, probFourth: 0,
|
|
||||||
probFifth: 0, probSixth: 0, probSeventh: 0, probEighth: 0,
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
const evInputs = [
|
|
||||||
...results.map(r => ({
|
|
||||||
participantId: r.participantId,
|
|
||||||
sportsSeasonId,
|
|
||||||
probabilities: r.probabilities,
|
|
||||||
scoringRules: DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES,
|
|
||||||
source: 'elo_simulation' as const,
|
|
||||||
})),
|
|
||||||
...participants
|
|
||||||
.filter(p => !simulatedIds.has(p.id))
|
|
||||||
.map(p => ({
|
|
||||||
participantId: p.id,
|
|
||||||
sportsSeasonId,
|
|
||||||
probabilities: ZERO_PROBS,
|
|
||||||
scoringRules: DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES,
|
|
||||||
source: 'elo_simulation' as const,
|
|
||||||
})),
|
|
||||||
];
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
await batchUpsertParticipantEVs(evInputs);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Refresh projected points in team standings
|
|
||||||
const seasonSports = await database().query.seasonSports.findMany({
|
|
||||||
where: eq(schema.seasonSports.sportsSeasonId, sportsSeasonId),
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
await Promise.all(seasonSports.map(({ seasonId }) => recalculateStandings(seasonId)));
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// EV snapshot
|
|
||||||
const today = new Date().toISOString().slice(0, 10);
|
|
||||||
await batchUpsertParticipantEvSnapshots(
|
|
||||||
results.map(r => ({
|
|
||||||
participantId: r.participantId,
|
|
||||||
sportsSeasonId,
|
|
||||||
snapshotDate: today,
|
|
||||||
probFirst: r.probabilities.probFirst,
|
|
||||||
probSecond: r.probabilities.probSecond,
|
|
||||||
probThird: r.probabilities.probThird,
|
|
||||||
probFourth: r.probabilities.probFourth,
|
|
||||||
probFifth: r.probabilities.probFifth,
|
|
||||||
probSixth: r.probabilities.probSixth,
|
|
||||||
probSeventh: r.probabilities.probSeventh,
|
|
||||||
probEighth: r.probabilities.probEighth,
|
|
||||||
calculatedEV: calculateEV(r.probabilities, DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES),
|
|
||||||
source: r.source,
|
|
||||||
}))
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'idle' });
|
|
||||||
} catch (error) {
|
|
||||||
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'failed' });
|
|
||||||
logger.error('Error running darts simulation:', error);
|
|
||||||
return {
|
|
||||||
success: false,
|
|
||||||
message: error instanceof Error ? error.message : 'Simulation failed',
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return redirect(`/admin/sports-seasons/${sportsSeasonId}/expected-values`);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export default function AdminSportsSeasonDartsElo() {
|
|
||||||
const { sportsSeason, participants, existingData } = useLoaderData<typeof loader>();
|
|
||||||
const actionData = useActionData<ActionData>();
|
|
||||||
const navigation = useNavigation();
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const [eloValues, setEloValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
|
|
||||||
const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
|
|
||||||
participants.forEach(p => {
|
|
||||||
const d = existingData[p.id];
|
|
||||||
if (d?.elo !== null && d?.elo !== undefined) initial[p.id] = d.elo.toString();
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
return initial;
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const [rankValues, setRankValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
|
|
||||||
const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
|
|
||||||
participants.forEach(p => {
|
|
||||||
const d = existingData[p.id];
|
|
||||||
if (d?.ranking !== null && d?.ranking !== undefined) initial[p.id] = d.ranking.toString();
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
return initial;
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Bulk import state: "Player Name, 2099, 1" format (name, elo, optional world ranking)
|
|
||||||
const [bulkText, setBulkText] = useState('');
|
|
||||||
const [parseResults, setParseResults] = useState<{
|
|
||||||
matched: Array<{ participantId: string; name: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null; inputName: string }>;
|
|
||||||
unmatched: Array<{ inputName: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null }>;
|
|
||||||
} | null>(null);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function findParticipantMatch(inputName: string) {
|
|
||||||
const normalizedInput = normalizeName(inputName);
|
|
||||||
const normalized = participants.map(p => ({ p, n: normalizeName(p.name) }));
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const exact = normalized.find(({ n }) => n === normalizedInput);
|
|
||||||
if (exact) return exact.p;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const contains = normalized.find(({ n }) => n.includes(normalizedInput) || normalizedInput.includes(n));
|
|
||||||
if (contains) return contains.p;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const inputWords = normalizedInput.split(' ').filter(w => w.length > 2);
|
|
||||||
const overlap = normalized.find(({ n }) => {
|
|
||||||
const pWords = n.split(' ').filter(w => w.length > 2);
|
|
||||||
const shared = inputWords.filter(w => pWords.includes(w));
|
|
||||||
return shared.length > 0 && shared.length >= Math.min(inputWords.length, pWords.length) * 0.5;
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return overlap?.p ?? null;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function parseBulkText() {
|
|
||||||
// Formats supported:
|
|
||||||
// "Player Name, 2099, 1" (name, elo, world ranking)
|
|
||||||
// "Player Name, 2099" (name, elo — ranking omitted)
|
|
||||||
// "Player Name: 2099: 1" (colon-separated)
|
|
||||||
const lines = bulkText.split('\n');
|
|
||||||
const matched: typeof parseResults extends null ? never : NonNullable<typeof parseResults>['matched'] = [];
|
|
||||||
const unmatched: typeof parseResults extends null ? never : NonNullable<typeof parseResults>['unmatched'] = [];
|
|
||||||
const seen = new Set<string>();
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
for (const line of lines) {
|
|
||||||
const trimmed = line.trim();
|
|
||||||
if (!trimmed) continue;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Match "Name, Elo" or "Name, Elo, Ranking" (comma, colon, or tab separated)
|
|
||||||
const match = /^(.+?)[\s,:\t]+(\d{3,5})(?:[\s,:\t]+(\d{1,3}))?\s*$/.exec(trimmed);
|
|
||||||
if (!match) continue;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const inputName = match[1].trim();
|
|
||||||
const elo = parseInt(match[2], 10);
|
|
||||||
const ranking = match[3] ? parseInt(match[3], 10) : null;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (isNaN(elo) || elo < 500 || elo > 5000) continue;
|
|
||||||
if (ranking !== null && (isNaN(ranking) || ranking < 1 || ranking > 256)) continue;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const participant = findParticipantMatch(inputName);
|
|
||||||
if (participant && !seen.has(participant.id)) {
|
|
||||||
seen.add(participant.id);
|
|
||||||
matched.push({ participantId: participant.id, name: participant.name, elo, ranking, inputName });
|
|
||||||
} else if (!participant) {
|
|
||||||
unmatched.push({ inputName, elo, ranking });
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
setParseResults({ matched, unmatched });
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function applyMatches() {
|
|
||||||
if (!parseResults) return;
|
|
||||||
const newElos = { ...eloValues };
|
|
||||||
const newRanks = { ...rankValues };
|
|
||||||
for (const m of parseResults.matched) {
|
|
||||||
newElos[m.participantId] = m.elo.toString();
|
|
||||||
if (m.ranking !== null) {
|
|
||||||
newRanks[m.participantId] = m.ranking.toString();
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
setEloValues(newElos);
|
|
||||||
setRankValues(newRanks);
|
|
||||||
setParseResults(null);
|
|
||||||
setBulkText('');
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const isSubmitting = navigation.state === 'submitting';
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Sort participants for display: by current rank (ascending), then unranked alphabetically
|
|
||||||
const sortedParticipants = [...participants].toSorted((a, b) => {
|
|
||||||
const rankA = rankValues[a.id] ? parseInt(rankValues[a.id], 10) : null;
|
|
||||||
const rankB = rankValues[b.id] ? parseInt(rankValues[b.id], 10) : null;
|
|
||||||
if (rankA !== null && rankB !== null) return rankA - rankB;
|
|
||||||
if (rankA !== null) return -1;
|
|
||||||
if (rankB !== null) return 1;
|
|
||||||
return a.name.localeCompare(b.name);
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return (
|
|
||||||
<div className="container mx-auto py-8">
|
|
||||||
<div className="mb-8">
|
|
||||||
<h1 className="text-3xl font-bold mb-2">Darts Elo & World Rankings</h1>
|
|
||||||
<p className="text-muted-foreground">
|
|
||||||
{sportsSeason.sport.name} — {sportsSeason.name}
|
|
||||||
</p>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{/* Bulk Import */}
|
|
||||||
<Card className="mb-6">
|
|
||||||
<CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardTitle>Bulk Import</CardTitle>
|
|
||||||
<CardDescription>
|
|
||||||
Paste one player per line. Format:{' '}
|
|
||||||
<code>Player Name, 2099, 1</code> (name, Elo, world ranking).
|
|
||||||
World ranking is optional — omit it and the simulator will use Elo order for seeding.
|
|
||||||
Player names are fuzzy-matched to participants.
|
|
||||||
</CardDescription>
|
|
||||||
</CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardContent className="space-y-4">
|
|
||||||
<Textarea
|
|
||||||
placeholder={`Luke Littler, 2099, 1\nMichael van Gerwen, 1950, 2\nLuke Humphries, 1947, 3`}
|
|
||||||
value={bulkText}
|
|
||||||
onChange={e => { setBulkText(e.target.value); setParseResults(null); }}
|
|
||||||
rows={10}
|
|
||||||
className="font-mono text-sm"
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
<Button type="button" variant="outline" onClick={parseBulkText} disabled={!bulkText.trim()}>
|
|
||||||
Parse
|
|
||||||
</Button>
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{parseResults && (
|
|
||||||
<div className="space-y-3">
|
|
||||||
{parseResults.matched.length > 0 && (
|
|
||||||
<div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 text-sm font-medium text-emerald-400 mb-2">
|
|
||||||
<CheckCircle2 className="h-4 w-4" />
|
|
||||||
Matched ({parseResults.matched.length})
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="rounded-md border border-emerald-500/30 bg-emerald-500/10 divide-y divide-emerald-500/20 text-sm">
|
|
||||||
{parseResults.matched.map(m => (
|
|
||||||
<div key={m.participantId} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
|
|
||||||
<span className="text-muted-foreground">{m.inputName}</span>
|
|
||||||
<span className="font-medium">
|
|
||||||
{m.name} → Elo {m.elo}{m.ranking !== null ? `, Rank #${m.ranking}` : ''}
|
|
||||||
</span>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
))}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{parseResults.unmatched.length > 0 && (
|
|
||||||
<div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 text-sm font-medium text-amber-700 mb-2">
|
|
||||||
<AlertCircle className="h-4 w-4" />
|
|
||||||
Not matched ({parseResults.unmatched.length}) — enter manually below
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="rounded-md border border-amber-200 bg-amber-50 divide-y divide-amber-100 text-sm">
|
|
||||||
{parseResults.unmatched.map(u => (
|
|
||||||
<div key={u.inputName} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
|
|
||||||
<span>{u.inputName}</span>
|
|
||||||
<span className="font-medium">
|
|
||||||
Elo {u.elo}{u.ranking !== null ? `, Rank #${u.ranking}` : ''}
|
|
||||||
</span>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
))}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{parseResults.matched.length > 0 && (
|
|
||||||
<Button type="button" onClick={applyMatches}>
|
|
||||||
Apply {parseResults.matched.length} matched entries to form
|
|
||||||
</Button>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
</CardContent>
|
|
||||||
</Card>
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="grid gap-6 lg:grid-cols-2">
|
|
||||||
<Card>
|
|
||||||
<CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardTitle>Player Elo & Rankings</CardTitle>
|
|
||||||
<CardDescription>
|
|
||||||
Enter each player's Darts Elo and world ranking. World ranking determines bracket seeding
|
|
||||||
(top 32 seeded, rest randomly drawn). Saving will automatically run the simulation and
|
|
||||||
update expected values.
|
|
||||||
</CardDescription>
|
|
||||||
</CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardContent>
|
|
||||||
<Form method="post" className="space-y-4">
|
|
||||||
<div className="grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px_80px] gap-x-3 gap-y-2 items-center text-xs font-medium text-muted-foreground mb-1">
|
|
||||||
<span>Player</span>
|
|
||||||
<span>Elo</span>
|
|
||||||
<span>Rank #</span>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="space-y-2">
|
|
||||||
{sortedParticipants.map(participant => (
|
|
||||||
<div key={participant.id} className="grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px_80px] gap-x-3 items-center">
|
|
||||||
<Label htmlFor={`elo_${participant.id}`} className="truncate text-sm">
|
|
||||||
{participant.name}
|
|
||||||
</Label>
|
|
||||||
<Input
|
|
||||||
type="number"
|
|
||||||
id={`elo_${participant.id}`}
|
|
||||||
name={`elo_${participant.id}`}
|
|
||||||
placeholder="1800"
|
|
||||||
value={eloValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
|
|
||||||
onChange={e =>
|
|
||||||
setEloValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
className="h-8 text-sm"
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
<Input
|
|
||||||
type="number"
|
|
||||||
name={`rank_${participant.id}`}
|
|
||||||
placeholder="—"
|
|
||||||
value={rankValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
|
|
||||||
onChange={e =>
|
|
||||||
setRankValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
className="h-8 text-sm"
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
))}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{actionData && !actionData.success && actionData.message && (
|
|
||||||
<div className="text-sm text-destructive">{actionData.message}</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<Button type="submit" disabled={isSubmitting}>
|
|
||||||
{isSubmitting && <Loader2 className="mr-2 h-4 w-4 animate-spin" />}
|
|
||||||
{isSubmitting ? 'Saving & Running Simulation...' : 'Save & Run Simulation'}
|
|
||||||
</Button>
|
|
||||||
</Form>
|
|
||||||
</CardContent>
|
|
||||||
</Card>
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<Card>
|
|
||||||
<CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardTitle>How It Works</CardTitle>
|
|
||||||
</CardHeader>
|
|
||||||
<CardContent className="text-sm space-y-2">
|
|
||||||
<ol className="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2">
|
|
||||||
<li>Save Elo ratings and world rankings for all 128 players</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Top 32 seeds placed in fixed bracket positions; remaining 96 randomly drawn per simulation</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Per-set win probability: p = 1 / (1 + e^(−ΔElo/500))</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Match win probability via Bernoulli sets model for each round's best-of length</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Run 50,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the full bracket</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Distribute probabilities across 1st–8th place buckets</li>
|
|
||||||
<li>Calculate expected fantasy value per player</li>
|
|
||||||
</ol>
|
|
||||||
<div className="mt-4 text-muted-foreground text-xs space-y-1">
|
|
||||||
<div>Round formats: R1 bo3, R2/R3 bo5, R4/QF bo7, SF bo11, Final bo13</div>
|
|
||||||
<div>If world ranking is omitted, players are seeded by Elo order.</div>
|
|
||||||
<div>Once the bracket draw is announced, add players to the bracket event for live simulation.</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</CardContent>
|
|
||||||
</Card>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -30,7 +30,15 @@ import {
|
||||||
} from '~/components/ui/card';
|
} from '~/components/ui/card';
|
||||||
import { useState } from 'react';
|
import { useState } from 'react';
|
||||||
import { Loader2, CheckCircle2, AlertCircle } from 'lucide-react';
|
import { Loader2, CheckCircle2, AlertCircle } from 'lucide-react';
|
||||||
|
import { normalizeName } from '~/lib/fuzzy-match';
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// Simulator types that use worldRanking in addition to sourceElo
|
||||||
|
const RANKING_SIMULATOR_TYPES = new Set(['darts_bracket', 'cs2_major_qualifying_points']);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
function rankingLabel(simulatorType: string | null | undefined): string {
|
||||||
|
if (simulatorType === 'cs2_major_qualifying_points') return 'HLTV Rank';
|
||||||
|
return 'World Rank';
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export function meta({ data }: Route.MetaArgs): Route.MetaDescriptors {
|
export function meta({ data }: Route.MetaArgs): Route.MetaDescriptors {
|
||||||
return [{ title: `Elo Ratings — ${data?.sportsSeason?.name ?? "Sports Season"} - Brackt Admin` }];
|
return [{ title: `Elo Ratings — ${data?.sportsSeason?.name ?? "Sports Season"} - Brackt Admin` }];
|
||||||
|
|
@ -48,14 +56,17 @@ export async function loader({ params }: Route.LoaderArgs) {
|
||||||
const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
|
const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
|
||||||
const existingEVs = await getAllParticipantEVsForSeason(sportsSeasonId);
|
const existingEVs = await getAllParticipantEVsForSeason(sportsSeasonId);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const existingElos: Record<string, number> = {};
|
const existingData: Record<string, { elo: number | null; ranking: number | null }> = {};
|
||||||
for (const ev of existingEVs) {
|
for (const ev of existingEVs) {
|
||||||
if (ev.sourceElo !== null && ev.sourceElo !== undefined) {
|
existingData[ev.participantId] = {
|
||||||
existingElos[ev.participantId] = ev.sourceElo;
|
elo: ev.sourceElo ?? null,
|
||||||
}
|
ranking: ev.worldRanking ?? null,
|
||||||
|
};
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return { sportsSeason, participants, existingElos };
|
const usesRanking = RANKING_SIMULATOR_TYPES.has(sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType ?? '');
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
return { sportsSeason, participants, existingData, usesRanking };
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
interface ActionData {
|
interface ActionData {
|
||||||
|
|
@ -73,15 +84,27 @@ export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
|
const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
|
||||||
|
const usesRanking = RANKING_SIMULATOR_TYPES.has(sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType ?? '');
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Parse Elo ratings from form
|
const eloInputs: Array<{ participantId: string; sportsSeasonId: string; sourceElo: number; worldRanking?: number | null }> = [];
|
||||||
const eloInputs: Array<{ participantId: string; sportsSeasonId: string; sourceElo: number }> = [];
|
|
||||||
for (const participant of participants) {
|
for (const participant of participants) {
|
||||||
const val = formData.get(`elo_${participant.id}`) as string;
|
const eloVal = formData.get(`elo_${participant.id}`) as string;
|
||||||
if (val && val.trim() !== '') {
|
const rankVal = formData.get(`rank_${participant.id}`) as string;
|
||||||
const elo = Number(val);
|
|
||||||
|
if (eloVal && eloVal.trim() !== '') {
|
||||||
|
const elo = Number(eloVal);
|
||||||
if (!isNaN(elo) && elo > 0) {
|
if (!isNaN(elo) && elo > 0) {
|
||||||
eloInputs.push({ participantId: participant.id, sportsSeasonId, sourceElo: elo });
|
if (usesRanking) {
|
||||||
|
const ranking = rankVal && rankVal.trim() !== '' ? Number(rankVal) : null;
|
||||||
|
eloInputs.push({
|
||||||
|
participantId: participant.id,
|
||||||
|
sportsSeasonId,
|
||||||
|
sourceElo: elo,
|
||||||
|
worldRanking: ranking && !isNaN(ranking) && ranking > 0 ? ranking : null,
|
||||||
|
});
|
||||||
|
} else {
|
||||||
|
eloInputs.push({ participantId: participant.id, sportsSeasonId, sourceElo: elo });
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
@ -98,10 +121,8 @@ export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
|
||||||
return { success: false, message: 'A simulation is already running. Please wait.' };
|
return { success: false, message: 'A simulation is already running. Please wait.' };
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Persist Elo ratings
|
|
||||||
await batchSaveSourceElos(eloInputs);
|
await batchSaveSourceElos(eloInputs);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Auto-run simulation
|
|
||||||
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'running' });
|
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'running' });
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
try {
|
try {
|
||||||
|
|
@ -112,8 +133,6 @@ export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
|
||||||
throw new Error('Simulation returned no results.');
|
throw new Error('Simulation returned no results.');
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Zero out any participants not in simulation results
|
|
||||||
const allParticipants = participants;
|
|
||||||
const simulatedIds = new Set(results.map(r => r.participantId));
|
const simulatedIds = new Set(results.map(r => r.participantId));
|
||||||
const ZERO_PROBS = {
|
const ZERO_PROBS = {
|
||||||
probFirst: 0, probSecond: 0, probThird: 0, probFourth: 0,
|
probFirst: 0, probSecond: 0, probThird: 0, probFourth: 0,
|
||||||
|
|
@ -127,7 +146,7 @@ export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
|
||||||
scoringRules: DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES,
|
scoringRules: DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES,
|
||||||
source: 'elo_simulation' as const,
|
source: 'elo_simulation' as const,
|
||||||
})),
|
})),
|
||||||
...allParticipants
|
...participants
|
||||||
.filter(p => !simulatedIds.has(p.id))
|
.filter(p => !simulatedIds.has(p.id))
|
||||||
.map(p => ({
|
.map(p => ({
|
||||||
participantId: p.id,
|
participantId: p.id,
|
||||||
|
|
@ -140,13 +159,11 @@ export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
await batchUpsertParticipantEVs(evInputs);
|
await batchUpsertParticipantEVs(evInputs);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Refresh projected points in team standings
|
|
||||||
const seasonSports = await database().query.seasonSports.findMany({
|
const seasonSports = await database().query.seasonSports.findMany({
|
||||||
where: eq(schema.seasonSports.sportsSeasonId, sportsSeasonId),
|
where: eq(schema.seasonSports.sportsSeasonId, sportsSeasonId),
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
await Promise.all(seasonSports.map(({ seasonId }) => recalculateStandings(seasonId)));
|
await Promise.all(seasonSports.map(({ seasonId }) => recalculateStandings(seasonId)));
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// EV snapshot
|
|
||||||
const today = new Date().toISOString().slice(0, 10);
|
const today = new Date().toISOString().slice(0, 10);
|
||||||
await batchUpsertParticipantEvSnapshots(
|
await batchUpsertParticipantEvSnapshots(
|
||||||
results.map(r => ({
|
results.map(r => ({
|
||||||
|
|
@ -169,7 +186,7 @@ export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
|
||||||
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'idle' });
|
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'idle' });
|
||||||
} catch (error) {
|
} catch (error) {
|
||||||
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'failed' });
|
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'failed' });
|
||||||
logger.error('Error running snooker simulation:', error);
|
logger.error('Error running simulation:', error);
|
||||||
return {
|
return {
|
||||||
success: false,
|
success: false,
|
||||||
message: error instanceof Error ? error.message : 'Simulation failed',
|
message: error instanceof Error ? error.message : 'Simulation failed',
|
||||||
|
|
@ -179,31 +196,33 @@ export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
|
||||||
return redirect(`/admin/sports-seasons/${sportsSeasonId}/expected-values`);
|
return redirect(`/admin/sports-seasons/${sportsSeasonId}/expected-values`);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function normalizeName(name: string): string {
|
|
||||||
return name.toLowerCase().replace(/[^a-z0-9\s]/g, '').replace(/\s+/g, ' ').trim();
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
||||||
const { sportsSeason, participants, existingElos } = useLoaderData<typeof loader>();
|
const { sportsSeason, participants, existingData, usesRanking } = useLoaderData<typeof loader>();
|
||||||
const actionData = useActionData<ActionData>();
|
const actionData = useActionData<ActionData>();
|
||||||
const navigation = useNavigation();
|
const navigation = useNavigation();
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const [eloValues, setEloValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
|
const [eloValues, setEloValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
|
||||||
const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
|
const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
|
||||||
participants.forEach(p => {
|
participants.forEach(p => {
|
||||||
const existing = existingElos[p.id];
|
const d = existingData[p.id];
|
||||||
if (existing !== undefined && existing !== null) {
|
if (d?.elo !== null && d?.elo !== undefined) initial[p.id] = d.elo.toString();
|
||||||
initial[p.id] = existing.toString();
|
});
|
||||||
}
|
return initial;
|
||||||
|
});
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
const [rankValues, setRankValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
|
||||||
|
const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
|
||||||
|
participants.forEach(p => {
|
||||||
|
const d = existingData[p.id];
|
||||||
|
if (d?.ranking !== null && d?.ranking !== undefined) initial[p.id] = d.ranking.toString();
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
return initial;
|
return initial;
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Bulk import state: "Player Name, 2450" format one per line
|
|
||||||
const [bulkText, setBulkText] = useState('');
|
const [bulkText, setBulkText] = useState('');
|
||||||
const [parseResults, setParseResults] = useState<{
|
const [parseResults, setParseResults] = useState<{
|
||||||
matched: Array<{ participantId: string; name: string; elo: number; inputName: string }>;
|
matched: Array<{ participantId: string; name: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null; inputName: string }>;
|
||||||
unmatched: Array<{ inputName: string; elo: number }>;
|
unmatched: Array<{ inputName: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null }>;
|
||||||
} | null>(null);
|
} | null>(null);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function findParticipantMatch(inputName: string) {
|
function findParticipantMatch(inputName: string) {
|
||||||
|
|
@ -227,30 +246,33 @@ export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function parseBulkText() {
|
function parseBulkText() {
|
||||||
// Format: "Player Name, 2450" or "Player Name: 2450" or "Player Name 2450"
|
|
||||||
const lines = bulkText.split('\n');
|
const lines = bulkText.split('\n');
|
||||||
const matched: Array<{ participantId: string; name: string; elo: number; inputName: string }> = [];
|
const matched: Array<{ participantId: string; name: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null; inputName: string }> = [];
|
||||||
const unmatched: Array<{ inputName: string; elo: number }> = [];
|
const unmatched: Array<{ inputName: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null }> = [];
|
||||||
const seen = new Set<string>();
|
const seen = new Set<string>();
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
for (const line of lines) {
|
for (const line of lines) {
|
||||||
const trimmed = line.trim();
|
const trimmed = line.trim();
|
||||||
if (!trimmed) continue;
|
if (!trimmed) continue;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Match "Name, 2450" or "Name: 2450" or "Name 2450" (Elo is a 4-digit integer)
|
// Match "Name, Elo" or "Name, Elo, Ranking" (comma/colon/tab separated)
|
||||||
const match = /^(.+?)[\s,:\t]+(\d{3,5})\s*$/.exec(trimmed);
|
const match = usesRanking
|
||||||
|
? /^(.+?)[\s,:\t]+(\d{3,5})(?:[\s,:\t]+(\d{1,3}))?\s*$/.exec(trimmed)
|
||||||
|
: /^(.+?)[\s,:\t]+(\d{3,5})\s*$/.exec(trimmed);
|
||||||
if (!match) continue;
|
if (!match) continue;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const inputName = match[1].trim();
|
const inputName = match[1].trim();
|
||||||
const elo = parseInt(match[2], 10);
|
const elo = parseInt(match[2], 10);
|
||||||
|
const ranking = usesRanking && match[3] ? parseInt(match[3], 10) : null;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (isNaN(elo) || elo < 500 || elo > 5000) continue;
|
if (isNaN(elo) || elo < 500 || elo > 5000) continue;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const participant = findParticipantMatch(inputName);
|
const participant = findParticipantMatch(inputName);
|
||||||
if (participant && !seen.has(participant.id)) {
|
if (participant && !seen.has(participant.id)) {
|
||||||
seen.add(participant.id);
|
seen.add(participant.id);
|
||||||
matched.push({ participantId: participant.id, name: participant.name, elo, inputName });
|
matched.push({ participantId: participant.id, name: participant.name, elo, ranking, inputName });
|
||||||
} else if (!participant) {
|
} else if (!participant) {
|
||||||
unmatched.push({ inputName, elo });
|
unmatched.push({ inputName, elo, ranking });
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -259,16 +281,33 @@ export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function applyMatches() {
|
function applyMatches() {
|
||||||
if (!parseResults) return;
|
if (!parseResults) return;
|
||||||
const newValues = { ...eloValues };
|
const newElos = { ...eloValues };
|
||||||
|
const newRanks = { ...rankValues };
|
||||||
for (const m of parseResults.matched) {
|
for (const m of parseResults.matched) {
|
||||||
newValues[m.participantId] = m.elo.toString();
|
newElos[m.participantId] = m.elo.toString();
|
||||||
|
if (m.ranking !== null) newRanks[m.participantId] = m.ranking.toString();
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
setEloValues(newValues);
|
setEloValues(newElos);
|
||||||
|
setRankValues(newRanks);
|
||||||
setParseResults(null);
|
setParseResults(null);
|
||||||
setBulkText('');
|
setBulkText('');
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const isSubmitting = navigation.state === 'submitting';
|
const isSubmitting = navigation.state === 'submitting';
|
||||||
|
const simulatorType = sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType ?? null;
|
||||||
|
const rankLabel = rankingLabel(simulatorType);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// When ranking is available, sort by rank ascending, then unranked alphabetically
|
||||||
|
const sortedParticipants = usesRanking
|
||||||
|
? [...participants].toSorted((a, b) => {
|
||||||
|
const rankA = rankValues[a.id] ? parseInt(rankValues[a.id], 10) : null;
|
||||||
|
const rankB = rankValues[b.id] ? parseInt(rankValues[b.id], 10) : null;
|
||||||
|
if (rankA !== null && rankB !== null) return rankA - rankB;
|
||||||
|
if (rankA !== null) return -1;
|
||||||
|
if (rankB !== null) return 1;
|
||||||
|
return a.name.localeCompare(b.name);
|
||||||
|
})
|
||||||
|
: participants;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return (
|
return (
|
||||||
<div className="container mx-auto py-8">
|
<div className="container mx-auto py-8">
|
||||||
|
|
@ -284,13 +323,29 @@ export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
||||||
<CardHeader>
|
<CardHeader>
|
||||||
<CardTitle>Bulk Import</CardTitle>
|
<CardTitle>Bulk Import</CardTitle>
|
||||||
<CardDescription>
|
<CardDescription>
|
||||||
Paste Elo ratings one per line. Format: <code>Player Name, 2450</code>. Player names
|
{usesRanking ? (
|
||||||
are fuzzy-matched to participants. Elo values should be in the 2000–2900 range for snooker.
|
<>
|
||||||
|
Paste one entry per line. Format:{' '}
|
||||||
|
<code>Name, Elo, {rankLabel}</code> (ranking is optional — omit it and the simulator
|
||||||
|
will use Elo order for seeding). Names are fuzzy-matched to participants.
|
||||||
|
</>
|
||||||
|
) : (
|
||||||
|
<>
|
||||||
|
Paste Elo ratings one per line. Format: <code>Player Name, 2450</code>. Player names
|
||||||
|
are fuzzy-matched to participants.
|
||||||
|
</>
|
||||||
|
)}
|
||||||
</CardDescription>
|
</CardDescription>
|
||||||
</CardHeader>
|
</CardHeader>
|
||||||
<CardContent className="space-y-4">
|
<CardContent className="space-y-4">
|
||||||
<Textarea
|
<Textarea
|
||||||
placeholder={`Judd Trump, 2594\nRonnie O'Sullivan, 2441\nMark Selby, 2432`}
|
placeholder={
|
||||||
|
usesRanking
|
||||||
|
? simulatorType === 'cs2_major_qualifying_points'
|
||||||
|
? `Natus Vincere, 1850, 1\nFaZe Clan, 1820, 2\nVitality, 1810, 3`
|
||||||
|
: `Luke Littler, 2099, 1\nMichael van Gerwen, 1950, 2\nLuke Humphries, 1947, 3`
|
||||||
|
: `Judd Trump, 2594\nRonnie O'Sullivan, 2441\nMark Selby, 2432`
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
value={bulkText}
|
value={bulkText}
|
||||||
onChange={e => { setBulkText(e.target.value); setParseResults(null); }}
|
onChange={e => { setBulkText(e.target.value); setParseResults(null); }}
|
||||||
rows={8}
|
rows={8}
|
||||||
|
|
@ -312,7 +367,10 @@ export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
||||||
{parseResults.matched.map(m => (
|
{parseResults.matched.map(m => (
|
||||||
<div key={m.participantId} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
|
<div key={m.participantId} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
|
||||||
<span className="text-muted-foreground">{m.inputName}</span>
|
<span className="text-muted-foreground">{m.inputName}</span>
|
||||||
<span className="font-medium">{m.name} → {m.elo}</span>
|
<span className="font-medium">
|
||||||
|
{m.name} → Elo {m.elo}
|
||||||
|
{usesRanking && m.ranking !== null ? `, ${rankLabel} #${m.ranking}` : ''}
|
||||||
|
</span>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
))}
|
))}
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
@ -329,7 +387,10 @@ export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
||||||
{parseResults.unmatched.map(u => (
|
{parseResults.unmatched.map(u => (
|
||||||
<div key={u.inputName} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
|
<div key={u.inputName} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
|
||||||
<span>{u.inputName}</span>
|
<span>{u.inputName}</span>
|
||||||
<span className="font-medium">{u.elo}</span>
|
<span className="font-medium">
|
||||||
|
Elo {u.elo}
|
||||||
|
{usesRanking && u.ranking !== null ? `, ${rankLabel} #${u.ranking}` : ''}
|
||||||
|
</span>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
))}
|
))}
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
@ -349,29 +410,58 @@ export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
||||||
<div className="grid gap-6 lg:grid-cols-2">
|
<div className="grid gap-6 lg:grid-cols-2">
|
||||||
<Card>
|
<Card>
|
||||||
<CardHeader>
|
<CardHeader>
|
||||||
<CardTitle>Player Elo Ratings</CardTitle>
|
<CardTitle>
|
||||||
|
{usesRanking ? `Player Elo & ${rankLabel}s` : 'Player Elo Ratings'}
|
||||||
|
</CardTitle>
|
||||||
<CardDescription>
|
<CardDescription>
|
||||||
Enter each player's current Elo rating. Saving will automatically run the simulation
|
{usesRanking
|
||||||
and update expected values. Snooker Elo typically ranges from ~2000 (qualifier level)
|
? `Enter each player's Elo and ${rankLabel}. Saving will automatically run the simulation and update expected values.`
|
||||||
to ~2600 (world-class).
|
: 'Enter each player\'s current Elo rating. Saving will automatically run the simulation and update expected values.'}
|
||||||
</CardDescription>
|
</CardDescription>
|
||||||
</CardHeader>
|
</CardHeader>
|
||||||
<CardContent>
|
<CardContent>
|
||||||
<Form method="post" className="space-y-4">
|
<Form method="post" className="space-y-4">
|
||||||
<div className="space-y-3">
|
{usesRanking && (
|
||||||
{participants.map(participant => (
|
<div className="grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px_90px] gap-x-3 gap-y-1 items-center text-xs font-medium text-muted-foreground">
|
||||||
<div key={participant.id} className="grid grid-cols-2 gap-4 items-center">
|
<span>Player</span>
|
||||||
<Label htmlFor={`elo_${participant.id}`}>{participant.name}</Label>
|
<span>Elo</span>
|
||||||
|
<span>{rankLabel} #</span>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
)}
|
||||||
|
<div className="space-y-2">
|
||||||
|
{sortedParticipants.map(participant => (
|
||||||
|
<div
|
||||||
|
key={participant.id}
|
||||||
|
className={usesRanking
|
||||||
|
? 'grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px_90px] gap-x-3 items-center'
|
||||||
|
: 'grid grid-cols-2 gap-4 items-center'}
|
||||||
|
>
|
||||||
|
<Label htmlFor={`elo_${participant.id}`} className="truncate text-sm">
|
||||||
|
{participant.name}
|
||||||
|
</Label>
|
||||||
<Input
|
<Input
|
||||||
type="number"
|
type="number"
|
||||||
id={`elo_${participant.id}`}
|
id={`elo_${participant.id}`}
|
||||||
name={`elo_${participant.id}`}
|
name={`elo_${participant.id}`}
|
||||||
placeholder="2450"
|
placeholder={usesRanking ? '1800' : '2450'}
|
||||||
value={eloValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
|
value={eloValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
|
||||||
onChange={e =>
|
onChange={e =>
|
||||||
setEloValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
|
setEloValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
className={usesRanking ? 'h-8 text-sm' : undefined}
|
||||||
/>
|
/>
|
||||||
|
{usesRanking && (
|
||||||
|
<Input
|
||||||
|
type="number"
|
||||||
|
name={`rank_${participant.id}`}
|
||||||
|
placeholder="—"
|
||||||
|
value={rankValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
|
||||||
|
onChange={e =>
|
||||||
|
setRankValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
className="h-8 text-sm"
|
||||||
|
/>
|
||||||
|
)}
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
))}
|
))}
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
@ -394,17 +484,18 @@ export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
|
||||||
</CardHeader>
|
</CardHeader>
|
||||||
<CardContent className="text-sm space-y-2">
|
<CardContent className="text-sm space-y-2">
|
||||||
<ol className="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2">
|
<ol className="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2">
|
||||||
<li>Save Elo ratings for all participants</li>
|
<li>Save Elo ratings{usesRanking ? ` and ${rankLabel}s` : ''} for all participants</li>
|
||||||
<li>Compute per-frame win probability: p = 1 / (1 + e^(−ΔElo/700))</li>
|
<li>Compute per-game win probability from Elo difference</li>
|
||||||
<li>Compute match win probability using the Bernoulli frame model for each round's best-of length</li>
|
<li>Compute match win probability using the Bernoulli model for each round's format</li>
|
||||||
<li>Run 50,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the full bracket</li>
|
<li>Run Monte Carlo simulations of the full event</li>
|
||||||
<li>Distribute probabilities across 1st–8th place buckets</li>
|
<li>Distribute probabilities across 1st–8th place buckets</li>
|
||||||
<li>Calculate expected fantasy value per player</li>
|
<li>Calculate expected fantasy value per player</li>
|
||||||
</ol>
|
</ol>
|
||||||
<div className="mt-4 text-muted-foreground text-xs space-y-1">
|
{usesRanking && (
|
||||||
<div>Round frames: R32 best-of-19, R16/QF best-of-25, SF best-of-33, Final best-of-35</div>
|
<div className="mt-4 text-muted-foreground text-xs">
|
||||||
<div>World rankings (for pre-bracket draws) are hardcoded in the simulator.</div>
|
{rankLabel} is optional — if omitted, the simulator uses Elo order for seeding.
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
)}
|
||||||
</CardContent>
|
</CardContent>
|
||||||
</Card>
|
</Card>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
Loading…
Add table
Reference in a new issue