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Author SHA1 Message Date
0150fb7ab9 sync racing standings (#80)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #80
2026-06-10 04:25:48 +00:00
273742f02e Phase A: external HTTP cron jobs for snapshots, standings sync, and simulation (#79)
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## Summary

- Removes the last in-process \`setInterval\` (\`server/snapshots.ts\` 24h loop) and replaces it with an external HTTP cron job via Forgejo Actions
- Adds automated standings sync + conditional simulation: syncs every 2h, only simulates when standings actually changed (detected by comparing \`gamesPlayed\`/\`leagueRank\` before upsert)
- Adds \`GET /healthz\` for Docker healthcheck (Phase B prerequisite)

## What's new

| Endpoint | Triggered by | What it does |
|---|---|---|
| \`POST /admin/jobs/run-daily-snapshots\` | Forgejo schedule \`5 0 * * *\` | Creates daily fantasy standings snapshots for all active/draft seasons |
| \`POST /admin/jobs/sync-and-simulate\` | Forgejo schedule \`0 */2 * * *\` | Syncs standings from external APIs; runs simulation only if standings changed |
| \`GET /healthz\` | Docker / Traefik | Returns 200 \`{ok:true}\` when DB reachable, 503 otherwise |

Both cron endpoints are protected by \`X-Cron-Secret\` header (set \`CRON_SECRET\` in Forgejo repo secrets + production env).

## Schema changes (migration 0118)

Two new nullable columns on \`sports_seasons\`:
- \`standings_last_changed_at\` — written by \`syncStandings()\` when data actually changes
- \`last_simulated_at\` — written by the cron job after a successful simulation run

## Deployment notes

1. Add \`CRON_SECRET\` to Forgejo repo secrets (generate with \`openssl rand -hex 32\`)
2. Add same value to production environment
3. Migration runs automatically via the \`migrate\` container on deploy

## Test plan

- [ ] \`curl -X POST https://brackt.com/admin/jobs/run-daily-snapshots -H "X-Cron-Secret: ..."\` → 200 \`{total, succeeded, errors}\`
- [ ] \`curl -X POST https://brackt.com/admin/jobs/sync-and-simulate -H "X-Cron-Secret: ..."\` → 200 with \`synced\`/\`unchanged\`/\`simulated\` breakdown
- [ ] \`curl https://brackt.com/healthz\` → 200 \`{ok:true}\`
- [ ] Verify Forgejo workflow runs appear in Actions tab after merge
- [ ] Kill web process mid-day; confirm external cron still fires (no in-process dependency)

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #79
2026-06-08 07:42:14 +00:00
Chris Parsons
766ba948e1
Add MLS standings sync and fix simulator conference resolution (#423)
* Add MLS standings sync and fix simulator conference resolution

- New MlsStandingsAdapter using ESPN's free soccer API (no key required),
  returning Eastern/Western conference data, W/D/L/GF/GA/GD/PTS, conference
  rank, and home/away records; registered under mls_bracket
- Display route now shows soccer table columns and a 9-team playoff cutoff
  line for mls_bracket (top 9 per conference qualify for MLS Cup Playoffs)
- MLS simulator gains a third conference fallback: reads externalId="Eastern"
  or "Western" on the participant, mirroring the LLWS pool-assignment pattern
  so admins can bootstrap conference data before the first standings sync
- 9 unit tests covering stat mapping, conference normalization, rank ordering,
  and error paths

https://claude.ai/code/session_01WhzXHpv6taXdHzhgvnv83u

* Address code review feedback on MLS standings + simulator

1. Update mls-simulator.ts module comment to document the new step-3
   externalId fallback in the conference resolution order
2. Tighten normalizeConference to exact-match "Eastern"/"Western
   Conference" instead of broad substring, preventing false matches
   on names like "Northeast"
3. Pre-parse statsMap for each entry before the sort so it isn't
   rebuilt O(n log n) times during comparison
4. Document the externalId name-matching tradeoff on
   parseConferenceFromExternalId
5. Try ESPN's gamesPlayed stat before falling back to wins+losses+ties
   sum; export parseConferenceFromExternalId for direct testing
6. Add tests: normalizeConference passthrough, winPct=0 at preseason,
   and parseConferenceFromExternalId (case-insensitivity, null/undefined,
   numeric ESPN IDs, unrecognized strings)

https://claude.ai/code/session_01WhzXHpv6taXdHzhgvnv83u

* Fix lint: replace != null with !== null && !== undefined

oxlint enforces eqeqeq; the five != null checks in mls.ts were flagged.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01WhzXHpv6taXdHzhgvnv83u

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-14 15:39:40 -07:00
Chris Parsons
caaffda236
Deduplicate soccer simulator helpers (#391) 2026-05-07 11:48:57 -07:00
Chris Parsons
2848231235
Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)
* refactor(schema): rename per-window tables to season_* prefix

Renames participants, participant_expected_values, participant_qualifying_totals,
participant_results, participant_surface_elos to season_* prefixed names.
Renames event_results.participant_id to season_participant_id.
Phase 1a of canonical tournament layer migration.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor: rename participant.ts model file to season-participant.ts

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor(models): update model layer to use renamed schema exports

Updated all model files to use the renamed schema exports from Task 1:
- participants → seasonParticipants
- participantExpectedValues → seasonParticipantExpectedValues
- participantQualifyingTotals → seasonParticipantQualifyingTotals
- participantResults → seasonParticipantResults
- participantSurfaceElos → seasonParticipantSurfaceElos
- eventResults.participantId → eventResults.seasonParticipantId
- db.query relation accessors updated
- Relation field .participant → .seasonParticipant where applicable
- Import paths updated: ./participant → ./season-participant

Files updated (14 model files + 3 test files):
- draft-pick.ts
- draft-utils.ts
- event-result.ts
- group-stage-match.ts
- participant-result.ts
- qualifying-points.ts
- scoring-calculator.ts
- scoring-event.ts
- sports-season.ts
- surface-elo.ts
- team-score-events.ts
- cs2-major-stage.ts
- golf-skills.ts
- participant-expected-value.ts
- __tests__/sports-season.clone.test.ts
- __tests__/auto-pick.test.ts
- __tests__/executeAutoPick.timer.test.ts

Typecheck errors decreased: 779 → 499 (280 fewer)
All model file errors related to renamed schemas resolved.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor(routes): update route layer to use renamed schema exports

- Update model import from ~/models/participant to ~/models/season-participant
- Rename schema.participants to schema.seasonParticipants
- Rename schema.participantResults to schema.seasonParticipantResults
- Rename db.query.participants to db.query.seasonParticipants
- Update 9 route files and 1 test file

Affected files:
- admin.sports-seasons.$id.events.$eventId.bracket.server.ts
- admin.sports-seasons.$id.participants.tsx
- api/draft.force-manual-pick.ts
- api/draft.make-pick.ts
- api/draft.replace-pick.ts
- api/seasons.$seasonId.draft.ts
- leagues/$leagueId.draft-board.$seasonId.tsx
- leagues/$leagueId.sports-seasons.$sportsSeasonId.server.ts
- admin/__tests__/sports-seasons-participants.test.ts

Error count reduced from 499 to 453 (46 errors fixed).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor(routes): update route files for schema rename

Update route imports from ~/models/participant to ~/models/season-participant
and fix references to .participant/.participantId on event results to use
.seasonParticipant/.seasonParticipantId after schema rename.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor(services): update simulators and services for renamed schema

Update all simulators, services, and server files to use renamed schema tables:
- participants → seasonParticipants
- participantExpectedValues → seasonParticipantExpectedValues
- participantResults → seasonParticipantResults
- eventResults.participantId → eventResults.seasonParticipantId

Files updated:
- 20 sport simulators (NBA, NHL, NFL, MLB, etc.)
- probability-updater.ts
- standings-sync/index.ts
- sports-data-sync.server.ts
- server/socket.ts

Typecheck errors reduced from 365 to 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* migration: rename per-window tables to season_* prefix

* fix(tests): update mock query keys after participants table rename

Change mock db.query.participants to db.query.seasonParticipants in test
files to match the schema rename from commit 66145a9. This fixes
"Cannot read properties of undefined (reading 'findFirst'/'findMany')"
errors that occurred when production code queries db.query.seasonParticipants
but test mocks only defined the old participants key.

Files updated:
- app/services/simulations/__tests__/world-cup-simulator.test.ts
- app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.force-manual-pick.test.ts
- app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.force-manual-pick.timer-mode.test.ts
- app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.make-pick.timer-mode.test.ts
- server/__tests__/timer-autodraft.test.ts
- app/models/__tests__/team-score-events.test.ts

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* fix(tests): update remaining mock paths and keys after schema rename

* fix(tests): final two mock stragglers after schema rename

- draft-pick.test.ts: assertion on db.query.participantQualifyingTotals
- process-match-result.test.ts: mock key participants → seasonParticipants

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* chore: add post-phase1a baseline capture (temp, for diff verification)

* chore: capture pre-migration baselines

* chore: remove post-phase1a capture helper after verification

* schema: add canonical tournament & participant tables

Adds tournaments, participants (canonical), tournament_results, and
participant_surface_elos (canonical). Adds nullable tournament_id to
scoring_events and nullable participant_id to season_participants.
Phase 1b of canonical tournament layer migration.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* feat(models): add canonical tournament, participant, result, surface-elo models

Adds CRUD modules for the canonical tables created in commit 775b905.
Each module mirrors existing app/models conventions (database() from
~/database/context, schema from ~/database/schema, mock-based tests).

Key implementation notes:
- participant.ts exports use "Canonical" prefix (CanonicalParticipant,
  createCanonicalParticipant, etc.) to avoid collision with existing
  season-participant.ts exports
- All four models include comprehensive unit tests following the
  audit-log.test.ts pattern
- Tests use mocked db responses (no real database access)
- Upsert functions use onConflictDoUpdate for appropriate unique constraints

Part of Phase 1b of canonical tournament layer migration.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* migration: create canonical tables, add nullable FKs

* scripts: add extractTournamentIdentity helper for backfill

Pure function that derives canonical (name, year) identity from a
scoring_events row, stripping trailing 4-digit years from the name or
falling back to eventDate. Used by the Phase 2 backfill to group
per-window events into canonical tournaments.

* scripts: add backfill orchestrator for canonical layer

Populates canonical tournaments, participants, tournament_results, and
participant_surface_elos from per-window data for qualifying-points
sports. Skips already-linked rows, is idempotent, and supports dry-run
mode.

Critical invariants enforced by the implementation:
- qualifying_points_awarded is never copied to tournament_results
- season_participant_qualifying_totals is never touched
- conflicting surface-Elo values between windows raise a loud error
  (recorded in report.errors) rather than overwriting

* scripts: add backfill CLI with dry-run default

Wires backfill-canonical-layer.ts to a CLI entry point exposed as
`npm run backfill:canonical`. Defaults to --dry-run; requires --apply
to actually write. Supports --sport=<uuid> to limit to a single sport.
Exits 2 if the backfill reports errors (e.g., surface-Elo conflicts).

* fix(backfill-cli): wrap runBackfill in DatabaseContext.run

The orchestrator uses database() from ~/database/context, which requires
AsyncLocalStorage to be populated. Wrap the CLI invocation with
DatabaseContext.run(db, ...) using server/db's cached connection pool.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* fix(backfill-cli): exit 0 on success so pg pool doesn't block

The cached postgres connection pool keeps the Node event loop open after
main() returns. Explicit process.exit(0) on success mirrors the pattern
in scripts/capture-baseline.ts.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisp@extrahop.com>
Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
Chris Parsons
bde1e6e5f0
Add WNBA playoff simulator with SRS-based Elo ratings, fixes #125 (#231)
* Add WNBA playoff simulator with SRS-based Elo ratings, fixes #125

- New WNBASimulator: Monte Carlo (50k sims) projecting remaining regular
  season games → seeding → R1 Bo3 / Semis Bo5 / Finals Bo7 bracket
- Hybrid Elo sourcing: pre-season uses futures odds (ICM); once avg
  gamesPlayed ≥ 5, switches automatically to SRS-derived Elo
  (elo = 1500 + srs × 20)
- New WnbaStandingsAdapter: fetches ESPN standings + teams endpoints in
  parallel; includes zero-records for 2026 expansion teams (Portland
  Fire, Toronto Tempo) not yet in standings
- Added srs column to regular_season_standings (migration 0063);
  stored as net rating proxy (avgPointsFor − avgPointsAgainst)
- Added wnba_bracket to simulatorTypeEnum

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Fix missing afterEach import in wnba standings test

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-26 00:34:51 -07:00
Chris Parsons
2e2d8db777
Add MLB playoff simulator with AL/NL division standings, fixes #121 (#225)
* Add MLB playoff simulator with AL/NL division standings, fixes #121

- New `mlb-simulator.ts`: 50k Monte Carlo sim drawing division winners
  (weighted by p_div) and 3 WC teams per league, then simulating
  WC best-of-3 → DS best-of-5 → LCS best-of-7 → World Series.
  Elo parity factor 350; blends Vegas odds 30/70 when sourceOdds available.
- New `standings-sync/mlb.ts`: adapter for free statsapi.mlb.com API,
  mapping AL/NL conferences, division ranks, streaks, home/away/L10 splits.
- New `mlb-divisions` display mode in RegularSeasonStandings: shows 1 division
  winner per division section + Wild Card section with 3-spot playoff line,
  headings read "AL/NL League" instead of "Conference".
- Refactored buildNhlSections/buildMlbSections into shared buildDivisionSections
  (divisionSpots + wcSpots params); conferenceLabel now flows through group
  objects rather than being derived from displayMode in the render.
- DB migration 0062 adds `mlb_bracket` to simulator_type enum.
- 37 new tests across simulator, adapter, and component.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Fix flaky tennis simulator test: increase trials and lower threshold

500 trials with a ~3–5% expected win rate had enough variance to
occasionally land below the 0.03 threshold (~2% failure rate).
Bumping to 2000 trials reduces the std dev by 2x; lowering the
threshold to 0.02 keeps the assertion meaningful (still well above
random 0.78%) while eliminating the flakiness.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-25 08:47:02 -07:00
Chris Parsons
c1be92b2af
Add AFL season + finals simulator (closes #126) (#204)
Monte Carlo simulation of the 2026 AFL season and 10-team finals series.
Elo ratings are backsolved from Squiggle's projected season win totals using
the inverse formula: elo = 1500 - 450×log₁₀((1−wins/23)/(wins/23)).

- New `afl_bracket` simulator type (schema + migration)
- `afl-simulator.ts`: projects remaining regular season via Elo, seeds the
  AFL_10 finals bracket (Wildcard → QF/EF → SF → PF → Grand Final), and
  correctly tracks P5/P6 and P7/P8 as separate scoring tiers
- `afl.ts` standings sync adapter pulling from Squiggle API (no auth required)
- Finals line on standings display set to 10 for AFL seasons
- Substring name matching with longest-key-wins to prevent "Port Adelaide"
  colliding with "Adelaide" when matching "Port Adelaide Power"
- 27 unit tests covering bracket logic, column-sum guarantees, and name matching

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-22 01:57:39 -07:00
Chris Parsons
4bffa40606
Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196)
* Fix no-shadow and consistent-function-scoping lint violations

Resolves all 11 no-shadow and 16 consistent-function-scoping oxlint
warnings and promotes both rules to errors in .oxlintrc.json.

no-shadow: renamed Drizzle callback params (sports→s, matches→m,
seasons→s) to avoid shadowing outer imports; removed shadowed
destructures (eq, inArray) from where callbacks; renamed inner
template→bracketTemplate, prev→currentTimers, season→ss, name→teamName
(with name: teamName fix to preserve semantics).

consistent-function-scoping: moved formatDate, getRankBadge,
getMovementIndicator, getPositionBadge, getStatusBadge, toDateStr,
elo (×2), weightedPick, sortByMatchNumber (×2) to module scope;
moved formatTime (×2), isValidLeagueName, getDraftTimes,
makeSeasonQueues to file scope in test files.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Fix no-non-null-assertion lint violations and promote to error

Eliminates all 208 no-non-null-assertion warnings across 38 files.
Promotes typescript/no-non-null-assertion from warn to error in
.oxlintrc.json.

Fix patterns applied:
- Map.get(key)! after .has() check → extract with get() + null guard
- Map.get(key)! on pre-populated count maps → ?? 0 default
- .set(id, map.get(id)! + 1) increment → ?? 0 before adding
- participant1Id!/participant2Id! on DB matches → ?? "" fallback
- array.find()! in tests → guard + throw or expect().toBeDefined()
- bracketTemplateCache.get(id)! → null guard extract
- Various nullable field accesses → optional chain or ?? default

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Fix prefer-add-event-listener, no-unassigned-import, require-module-specifiers

Resolves all 9 remaining non-console lint warnings and promotes all
three rules to errors in .oxlintrc.json.

- prefer-add-event-listener: converted onchange/onclick/onload
  assignments to addEventListener in useDraftNotifications.ts and
  admin.data-sync.tsx; stored changeHandler ref for proper cleanup
  with removeEventListener
- no-unassigned-import: configured rule with allow list for legitimate
  side-effect imports (*.css, @testing-library/jest-dom,
  @testing-library/cypress/add-commands)
- require-module-specifiers: removed redundant `export {}` from
  cypress/support/e2e.ts (file already has an import)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Fix TypeScript errors from no-non-null-assertion fixes

Two fixes introduced by the non-null assertion cleanup produced type
errors:

- scoring-event.ts: `?? ""` was wrong type for a participant object map;
  restructured to explicit null guards so TypeScript can narrow correctly
- standings-sync/index.ts: `?? null` after name-match lookup lost the
  truthy guarantee, causing TS18047 on the write-back block; added
  `participant &&` guard before accessing its properties

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Add npm run typecheck as Stop hook in Claude settings

Runs a full project typecheck at the end of each Claude turn so type
errors surface as feedback before the next message.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
Chris Parsons
bcca8b76fa
Add regular season standings for NBA/NHL (fixes #89) (#192)
Adds live standings sync and display for bracket-based sports (NBA/NHL),
so league members can see W/L tables and which teams their opponents drafted
during the regular season — not just after the playoff bracket is set.

- New `regular_season_standings` table with upsert-on-conflict sync
- Standings sync service with NHL (api-web.nhle.com) and NBA (ESPN) adapters,
  externalId write-back for future syncs, and unmatched-team resolution UI
- `RegularSeasonStandings` component: flat (NBA) + division/wild-card (NHL) modes,
  playoff line, TeamOwnerBadge, projected Brackt points (EV), mobile horizontal scroll
- Admin "Sync Standings" card + "Resolve Unmatched" UI on sports season page
- Admin manual standings edit hatch at /admin/sports-seasons/:id/regular-standings
- Show standings above bracket until matches exist; below once bracket is set
- `normalize-team-name` utility extracted to shared lib

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-21 00:12:01 -07:00