import { describe, expect, it } from "vitest"; import { resolveRatings, resolveSourceElos } from "../input-policy"; import type { SimulatorManifestProfile } from "../manifest"; const profile = { derivableInputs: { sourceElo: ["projectedWins", "sourceOdds"] }, } as Pick; describe("simulator input policy", () => { it("keeps direct Elo ahead of derived values", () => { const resolved = resolveSourceElos( [{ participantId: "team-1", sourceElo: 1600, rating: null, sourceOdds: 2000, projectedWins: 20, projectedTablePoints: null }], profile, { seasonGames: 82 } ); expect(resolved.get("team-1")).toMatchObject({ sourceElo: 1600, method: "direct" }); }); it("derives Elo from projected wins when Elo is missing", () => { const resolved = resolveSourceElos( [{ participantId: "team-1", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: 60, projectedTablePoints: null }], profile, { seasonGames: 82, parityFactor: 400 } ); expect(resolved.get("team-1")?.method).toBe("projectedWins"); expect(resolved.get("team-1")?.sourceElo).toBeGreaterThan(1500); }); it("blocks missing Elo unless a fallback strategy is configured", () => { const inputs = [{ participantId: "team-1", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }]; expect(resolveSourceElos(inputs, profile, {}).has("team-1")).toBe(false); expect(resolveSourceElos(inputs, profile, { inputPolicy: { missingEloStrategy: "fallbackElo", fallbackElo: 1375 }, }).get("team-1")).toMatchObject({ sourceElo: 1375, method: "fallbackElo" }); }); it("supports worst-known-minus tail fallback", () => { const resolved = resolveSourceElos( [ { participantId: "known-1", sourceElo: 1500, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "known-2", sourceElo: 1430, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "tail", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, ], profile, { inputPolicy: { missingEloStrategy: "worstKnownMinus", fallbackEloDelta: 30 } } ); expect(resolved.get("tail")).toMatchObject({ sourceElo: 1400, method: "worstKnownMinus" }); }); it("derives ratings from futures odds when the profile allows it", () => { const resolved = resolveRatings( [ { participantId: "favorite", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: 300, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "longshot", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: 20000, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, ], { derivableInputs: { rating: ["sourceOdds"] } }, { inputPolicy: { ratingMin: -10, ratingMax: 35 } } ); expect(resolved.get("favorite")?.method).toBe("sourceOdds"); expect(resolved.get("longshot")?.method).toBe("sourceOdds"); expect(resolved.get("favorite")?.rating).toBeGreaterThan(resolved.get("longshot")?.rating ?? 999); }); it("blocks missing ratings unless a rating fallback strategy is configured", () => { const inputs = [ { participantId: "known", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: 300, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "longshot", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: 20000, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "tail", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, ]; const ratingProfile = { derivableInputs: { rating: ["sourceOdds"] } } as Pick; expect(resolveRatings(inputs, ratingProfile, { inputPolicy: { ratingMin: -10, ratingMax: 35 }, }).has("tail")).toBe(false); expect(resolveRatings(inputs, ratingProfile, { inputPolicy: { missingRatingStrategy: "fallbackRating", fallbackRating: -4, ratingMin: -10, ratingMax: 35, }, }).get("tail")).toMatchObject({ rating: -4, method: "fallbackRating" }); }); it("supports worst-known-minus rating fallback with clamping", () => { const resolved = resolveRatings( [ { participantId: "favorite", sourceElo: null, rating: 30, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "known-tail", sourceElo: null, rating: -8, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "missing-tail", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, ], { derivableInputs: { rating: ["sourceOdds"] } }, { inputPolicy: { missingRatingStrategy: "worstKnownMinus", fallbackRatingDelta: 5, ratingMin: -10, ratingMax: 35, }, } ); expect(resolved.get("missing-tail")).toMatchObject({ rating: -10, method: "worstKnownMinus" }); }); it("uses NCAAW-style rating scale when deriving and falling back", () => { const resolved = resolveRatings( [ { participantId: "favorite", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: 300, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "longshot", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: 20000, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, { participantId: "tail", sourceElo: null, rating: null, sourceOdds: null, projectedWins: null, projectedTablePoints: null }, ], { derivableInputs: { rating: ["sourceOdds"] } }, { inputPolicy: { missingRatingStrategy: "worstKnownMinus", fallbackRatingDelta: 0.05, ratingMin: 0.15, ratingMax: 0.99, }, } ); expect(resolved.get("favorite")?.rating).toBeLessThanOrEqual(0.99); expect(resolved.get("tail")).toMatchObject({ rating: 0.15, method: "worstKnownMinus" }); }); });