brackt/app
Chris Parsons 102cb781ad
Add NFL season + playoffs Monte Carlo simulator (#272)
Implements a new `nfl_bracket` simulator that projects the NFL regular
season and full playoff bracket using nfelo Elo ratings.

- Simulates remaining regular season games (17 total) per team using
  Elo win probability vs an average opponent, then seeds both conferences
  (division winners = seeds 1–4, wildcards = 5–7) per simulation
- Simulates Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Super
  Bowl rounds with correct NFL bracket structure (seed 1 bye)
- Applies +48 Elo home-field advantage (~57% win rate) for all rounds
  except the neutral-site Super Bowl
- Pre-season mode (no standings in DB): simulates all 17 games from
  scratch; falls back to futures odds → Elo conversion if no sourceElo
- Validates all 8 NFL divisions have Elo-rated teams before simulating,
  with a clear error listing missing divisions
- Registers as `nfl_bracket` simulator type in the registry and schema
- Adds migration to extend the `simulator_type` enum
- Also updates drizzle.config.ts to prefer DIRECT_DATABASE_URL when set

Fixes #129

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-07 09:39:34 -04:00
..
components Initial storybook components. 2026-03-29 22:09:45 -07:00
contexts feat: implement middleware and context provider for Express integration 2025-10-11 20:56:00 -07:00
hooks Fix oxlint errors. 2026-03-22 20:41:44 -07:00
lib Add PDC World Darts Championship simulator with Elo-based bracket (#248) 2026-03-31 15:37:28 -07:00
models Replace isDraftable boolean with draftOn/draftOff date range (#263) 2026-04-05 22:09:52 -04:00
routes Replace isDraftable boolean with draftOn/draftOff date range (#263) 2026-04-05 22:09:52 -04:00
services Add NFL season + playoffs Monte Carlo simulator (#272) 2026-04-07 09:39:34 -04:00
test Add oxlint linting setup with zero errors (#194) 2026-03-21 09:44:05 -07:00
types Redesign standings page with sortable table, 7-day change, and chart repositioned (#205) 2026-03-22 11:05:13 -07:00
utils Replace isDraftable boolean with draftOn/draftOff date range (#263) 2026-04-05 22:09:52 -04:00
welcome Redesign to dark-mode-only with navy palette and accent colors (#13) 2026-02-20 19:26:11 -08:00
app.css Add NProgress navigation progress bar (#139) 2026-03-11 22:02:48 -07:00
entry.client.tsx Filter unnecessary sentry css and js errors. 2026-03-15 10:24:57 -07:00
entry.server.tsx Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
root.tsx Add NProgress navigation progress bar (#139) 2026-03-11 22:02:48 -07:00
routes.ts Add CS2 Major Qualifying Points simulator and stage management (#260) 2026-04-05 16:40:05 -04:00