brackt/app/routes/admin.sports-seasons.$id.elo-ratings.tsx
Chris Parsons 2848231235
Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)
* refactor(schema): rename per-window tables to season_* prefix

Renames participants, participant_expected_values, participant_qualifying_totals,
participant_results, participant_surface_elos to season_* prefixed names.
Renames event_results.participant_id to season_participant_id.
Phase 1a of canonical tournament layer migration.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor: rename participant.ts model file to season-participant.ts

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor(models): update model layer to use renamed schema exports

Updated all model files to use the renamed schema exports from Task 1:
- participants → seasonParticipants
- participantExpectedValues → seasonParticipantExpectedValues
- participantQualifyingTotals → seasonParticipantQualifyingTotals
- participantResults → seasonParticipantResults
- participantSurfaceElos → seasonParticipantSurfaceElos
- eventResults.participantId → eventResults.seasonParticipantId
- db.query relation accessors updated
- Relation field .participant → .seasonParticipant where applicable
- Import paths updated: ./participant → ./season-participant

Files updated (14 model files + 3 test files):
- draft-pick.ts
- draft-utils.ts
- event-result.ts
- group-stage-match.ts
- participant-result.ts
- qualifying-points.ts
- scoring-calculator.ts
- scoring-event.ts
- sports-season.ts
- surface-elo.ts
- team-score-events.ts
- cs2-major-stage.ts
- golf-skills.ts
- participant-expected-value.ts
- __tests__/sports-season.clone.test.ts
- __tests__/auto-pick.test.ts
- __tests__/executeAutoPick.timer.test.ts

Typecheck errors decreased: 779 → 499 (280 fewer)
All model file errors related to renamed schemas resolved.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor(routes): update route layer to use renamed schema exports

- Update model import from ~/models/participant to ~/models/season-participant
- Rename schema.participants to schema.seasonParticipants
- Rename schema.participantResults to schema.seasonParticipantResults
- Rename db.query.participants to db.query.seasonParticipants
- Update 9 route files and 1 test file

Affected files:
- admin.sports-seasons.$id.events.$eventId.bracket.server.ts
- admin.sports-seasons.$id.participants.tsx
- api/draft.force-manual-pick.ts
- api/draft.make-pick.ts
- api/draft.replace-pick.ts
- api/seasons.$seasonId.draft.ts
- leagues/$leagueId.draft-board.$seasonId.tsx
- leagues/$leagueId.sports-seasons.$sportsSeasonId.server.ts
- admin/__tests__/sports-seasons-participants.test.ts

Error count reduced from 499 to 453 (46 errors fixed).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor(routes): update route files for schema rename

Update route imports from ~/models/participant to ~/models/season-participant
and fix references to .participant/.participantId on event results to use
.seasonParticipant/.seasonParticipantId after schema rename.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* refactor(services): update simulators and services for renamed schema

Update all simulators, services, and server files to use renamed schema tables:
- participants → seasonParticipants
- participantExpectedValues → seasonParticipantExpectedValues
- participantResults → seasonParticipantResults
- eventResults.participantId → eventResults.seasonParticipantId

Files updated:
- 20 sport simulators (NBA, NHL, NFL, MLB, etc.)
- probability-updater.ts
- standings-sync/index.ts
- sports-data-sync.server.ts
- server/socket.ts

Typecheck errors reduced from 365 to 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* migration: rename per-window tables to season_* prefix

* fix(tests): update mock query keys after participants table rename

Change mock db.query.participants to db.query.seasonParticipants in test
files to match the schema rename from commit 66145a9. This fixes
"Cannot read properties of undefined (reading 'findFirst'/'findMany')"
errors that occurred when production code queries db.query.seasonParticipants
but test mocks only defined the old participants key.

Files updated:
- app/services/simulations/__tests__/world-cup-simulator.test.ts
- app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.force-manual-pick.test.ts
- app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.force-manual-pick.timer-mode.test.ts
- app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.make-pick.timer-mode.test.ts
- server/__tests__/timer-autodraft.test.ts
- app/models/__tests__/team-score-events.test.ts

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* fix(tests): update remaining mock paths and keys after schema rename

* fix(tests): final two mock stragglers after schema rename

- draft-pick.test.ts: assertion on db.query.participantQualifyingTotals
- process-match-result.test.ts: mock key participants → seasonParticipants

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* chore: add post-phase1a baseline capture (temp, for diff verification)

* chore: capture pre-migration baselines

* chore: remove post-phase1a capture helper after verification

* schema: add canonical tournament & participant tables

Adds tournaments, participants (canonical), tournament_results, and
participant_surface_elos (canonical). Adds nullable tournament_id to
scoring_events and nullable participant_id to season_participants.
Phase 1b of canonical tournament layer migration.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* feat(models): add canonical tournament, participant, result, surface-elo models

Adds CRUD modules for the canonical tables created in commit 775b905.
Each module mirrors existing app/models conventions (database() from
~/database/context, schema from ~/database/schema, mock-based tests).

Key implementation notes:
- participant.ts exports use "Canonical" prefix (CanonicalParticipant,
  createCanonicalParticipant, etc.) to avoid collision with existing
  season-participant.ts exports
- All four models include comprehensive unit tests following the
  audit-log.test.ts pattern
- Tests use mocked db responses (no real database access)
- Upsert functions use onConflictDoUpdate for appropriate unique constraints

Part of Phase 1b of canonical tournament layer migration.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* migration: create canonical tables, add nullable FKs

* scripts: add extractTournamentIdentity helper for backfill

Pure function that derives canonical (name, year) identity from a
scoring_events row, stripping trailing 4-digit years from the name or
falling back to eventDate. Used by the Phase 2 backfill to group
per-window events into canonical tournaments.

* scripts: add backfill orchestrator for canonical layer

Populates canonical tournaments, participants, tournament_results, and
participant_surface_elos from per-window data for qualifying-points
sports. Skips already-linked rows, is idempotent, and supports dry-run
mode.

Critical invariants enforced by the implementation:
- qualifying_points_awarded is never copied to tournament_results
- season_participant_qualifying_totals is never touched
- conflicting surface-Elo values between windows raise a loud error
  (recorded in report.errors) rather than overwriting

* scripts: add backfill CLI with dry-run default

Wires backfill-canonical-layer.ts to a CLI entry point exposed as
`npm run backfill:canonical`. Defaults to --dry-run; requires --apply
to actually write. Supports --sport=<uuid> to limit to a single sport.
Exits 2 if the backfill reports errors (e.g., surface-Elo conflicts).

* fix(backfill-cli): wrap runBackfill in DatabaseContext.run

The orchestrator uses database() from ~/database/context, which requires
AsyncLocalStorage to be populated. Wrap the CLI invocation with
DatabaseContext.run(db, ...) using server/db's cached connection pool.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* fix(backfill-cli): exit 0 on success so pg pool doesn't block

The cached postgres connection pool keeps the Node event loop open after
main() returns. Explicit process.exit(0) on success mirrors the pattern
in scripts/capture-baseline.ts.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisp@extrahop.com>
Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00

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import { Form, redirect, useLoaderData, useActionData, useNavigation } from 'react-router';
import type { Route } from './+types/admin.sports-seasons.$id.elo-ratings';
import { logger } from '~/lib/logger';
import { findSportsSeasonById, updateSportsSeason } from '~/models/sports-season';
import { findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId } from '~/models/season-participant';
import {
getAllParticipantEVsForSeason,
batchSaveSourceElos,
batchUpsertParticipantEVs,
} from '~/models/participant-expected-value';
import { batchUpsertParticipantEvSnapshots } from '~/models/ev-snapshot';
import { getSimulator, type SimulatorType } from '~/services/simulations/registry';
import { calculateEV } from '~/services/ev-calculator';
import { DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES } from '~/lib/scoring-types';
import { recalculateStandings } from '~/models/scoring-calculator';
import { database } from '~/database/context';
import * as schema from '~/database/schema';
import { eq } from 'drizzle-orm';
import { Button } from '~/components/ui/button';
import { Input } from '~/components/ui/input';
import { Label } from '~/components/ui/label';
import { Textarea } from '~/components/ui/textarea';
import {
Card,
CardContent,
CardDescription,
CardHeader,
CardTitle,
} from '~/components/ui/card';
import { useState } from 'react';
import { Loader2, CheckCircle2, AlertCircle } from 'lucide-react';
import { normalizeName } from '~/lib/fuzzy-match';
import { getSimulatorConfig, supportsProjectedWins } from '~/services/simulations/simulator-config';
import { eloToProjectedWins, projectedWinsToElo } from '~/services/probability-engine';
// Simulator types that use worldRanking in addition to sourceElo
const RANKING_SIMULATOR_TYPES = new Set(['darts_bracket', 'cs2_major_qualifying_points']);
function rankingLabel(simulatorType: string | null | undefined): string {
if (simulatorType === 'cs2_major_qualifying_points') return 'HLTV Rank';
return 'World Rank';
}
export function meta({ data }: Route.MetaArgs): Route.MetaDescriptors {
return [{ title: `Elo Ratings — ${data?.sportsSeason?.name ?? "Sports Season"} - Brackt Admin` }];
}
export async function loader({ params }: Route.LoaderArgs) {
const sportsSeasonId = params.id;
const sportsSeason = await findSportsSeasonById(sportsSeasonId);
if (!sportsSeason) {
throw new Response('Sports season not found', { status: 404 });
}
const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
const existingEVs = await getAllParticipantEVsForSeason(sportsSeasonId);
const existingData: Record<string, { elo: number | null; ranking: number | null }> = {};
for (const ev of existingEVs) {
existingData[ev.participantId] = {
elo: ev.sourceElo ?? null,
ranking: ev.worldRanking ?? null,
};
}
const usesRanking = RANKING_SIMULATOR_TYPES.has(sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType ?? '');
const simulatorConfig = sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType
? getSimulatorConfig(sportsSeason.sport.simulatorType as SimulatorType)
: null;
const canUseProjectedWins = sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType
? supportsProjectedWins(sportsSeason.sport.simulatorType as SimulatorType)
: false;
return { sportsSeason, participants, existingData, usesRanking, simulatorConfig, canUseProjectedWins };
}
interface ActionData {
success?: boolean;
message?: string;
}
export async function action({ request, params }: Route.ActionArgs) {
const sportsSeasonId = params.id;
const formData = await request.formData();
const sportsSeason = await findSportsSeasonById(sportsSeasonId);
if (!sportsSeason) {
return { success: false, message: 'Sports season not found' };
}
const participants = await findParticipantsBySportsSeasonId(sportsSeasonId);
const usesRanking = RANKING_SIMULATOR_TYPES.has(sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType ?? '');
const rawMode = formData.get('inputMode');
const inputMode = rawMode === 'projectedWins' ? 'projectedWins' : 'elo';
const eloInputs: Array<{ participantId: string; sportsSeasonId: string; sourceElo: number; worldRanking?: number | null }> = [];
if (inputMode === 'projectedWins' && sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType) {
const config = getSimulatorConfig(sportsSeason.sport.simulatorType as SimulatorType);
if (!config) {
return { success: false, message: 'This sport does not support projected wins input.' };
}
for (const participant of participants) {
const winsVal = formData.get(`wins_${participant.id}`) as string;
if (winsVal && winsVal.trim() !== '') {
const projectedWins = parseFloat(winsVal);
if (!isNaN(projectedWins) && projectedWins >= 0 && projectedWins <= config.seasonGames) {
const elo = projectedWinsToElo(projectedWins, config.seasonGames, config.parityFactor, config.averageOpponentElo);
eloInputs.push({ participantId: participant.id, sportsSeasonId, sourceElo: elo });
}
}
}
} else {
for (const participant of participants) {
const eloVal = formData.get(`elo_${participant.id}`) as string;
const rankVal = formData.get(`rank_${participant.id}`) as string;
if (eloVal && eloVal.trim() !== '') {
const elo = Number(eloVal);
if (!isNaN(elo) && elo > 0) {
if (usesRanking) {
const ranking = rankVal && rankVal.trim() !== '' ? Number(rankVal) : null;
eloInputs.push({
participantId: participant.id,
sportsSeasonId,
sourceElo: elo,
worldRanking: ranking && !isNaN(ranking) && ranking > 0 ? ranking : null,
});
} else {
eloInputs.push({ participantId: participant.id, sportsSeasonId, sourceElo: elo });
}
}
}
}
}
if (eloInputs.length === 0) {
return { success: false, message: inputMode === 'projectedWins'
? 'Please enter projected wins for at least one participant'
: 'Please enter an Elo rating for at least one participant' };
}
if (!sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType) {
return { success: false, message: 'This sport has no simulator type configured. Set one on the sport in the admin panel.' };
}
if (sportsSeason.simulationStatus === 'running') {
return { success: false, message: 'A simulation is already running. Please wait.' };
}
await batchSaveSourceElos(eloInputs);
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'running' });
try {
const simulator = getSimulator(sportsSeason.sport.simulatorType as SimulatorType);
const results = await simulator.simulate(sportsSeasonId);
if (results.length === 0) {
throw new Error('Simulation returned no results.');
}
const simulatedIds = new Set(results.map(r => r.participantId));
const ZERO_PROBS = {
probFirst: 0, probSecond: 0, probThird: 0, probFourth: 0,
probFifth: 0, probSixth: 0, probSeventh: 0, probEighth: 0,
};
const evInputs = [
...results.map(r => ({
participantId: r.participantId,
sportsSeasonId,
probabilities: r.probabilities,
scoringRules: DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES,
source: 'elo_simulation' as const,
})),
...participants
.filter(p => !simulatedIds.has(p.id))
.map(p => ({
participantId: p.id,
sportsSeasonId,
probabilities: ZERO_PROBS,
scoringRules: DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES,
source: 'elo_simulation' as const,
})),
];
await batchUpsertParticipantEVs(evInputs);
const seasonSports = await database().query.seasonSports.findMany({
where: eq(schema.seasonSports.sportsSeasonId, sportsSeasonId),
});
await Promise.all(seasonSports.map(({ seasonId }) => recalculateStandings(seasonId)));
const today = new Date().toISOString().slice(0, 10);
await batchUpsertParticipantEvSnapshots(
results.map(r => ({
participantId: r.participantId,
sportsSeasonId,
snapshotDate: today,
probFirst: r.probabilities.probFirst,
probSecond: r.probabilities.probSecond,
probThird: r.probabilities.probThird,
probFourth: r.probabilities.probFourth,
probFifth: r.probabilities.probFifth,
probSixth: r.probabilities.probSixth,
probSeventh: r.probabilities.probSeventh,
probEighth: r.probabilities.probEighth,
calculatedEV: calculateEV(r.probabilities, DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES),
source: r.source,
}))
);
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'idle' });
} catch (error) {
await updateSportsSeason(sportsSeasonId, { simulationStatus: 'failed' });
logger.error('Error running simulation:', error);
return {
success: false,
message: error instanceof Error ? error.message : 'Simulation failed',
};
}
return redirect(`/admin/sports-seasons/${sportsSeasonId}/expected-values`);
}
export default function AdminSportsSeasonEloRatings() {
const { sportsSeason, participants, existingData, usesRanking, simulatorConfig, canUseProjectedWins } = useLoaderData<typeof loader>();
const actionData = useActionData<ActionData>();
const navigation = useNavigation();
const [inputMode, setInputMode] = useState<'elo' | 'projectedWins'>('elo');
const [eloValues, setEloValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
participants.forEach(p => {
const d = existingData[p.id];
if (d?.elo !== null && d?.elo !== undefined) initial[p.id] = d.elo.toString();
});
return initial;
});
const [rankValues, setRankValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
participants.forEach(p => {
const d = existingData[p.id];
if (d?.ranking !== null && d?.ranking !== undefined) initial[p.id] = d.ranking.toString();
});
return initial;
});
const [winsValues, setWinsValues] = useState<Record<string, string>>(() => {
const initial: Record<string, string> = {};
if (simulatorConfig) {
participants.forEach(p => {
const d = existingData[p.id];
if (d?.elo !== null && d?.elo !== undefined) {
initial[p.id] = eloToProjectedWins(
d.elo, simulatorConfig.seasonGames, simulatorConfig.parityFactor, simulatorConfig.averageOpponentElo
).toFixed(1);
}
});
}
return initial;
});
const [bulkText, setBulkText] = useState('');
const [parseResults, setParseResults] = useState<{
matched: Array<{ participantId: string; name: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null; inputName: string }>;
unmatched: Array<{ inputName: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null }>;
} | null>(null);
function findParticipantMatch(inputName: string) {
const normalizedInput = normalizeName(inputName);
const normalized = participants.map(p => ({ p, n: normalizeName(p.name) }));
const exact = normalized.find(({ n }) => n === normalizedInput);
if (exact) return exact.p;
const contains = normalized.find(({ n }) => n.includes(normalizedInput) || normalizedInput.includes(n));
if (contains) return contains.p;
const inputWords = normalizedInput.split(' ').filter(w => w.length > 2);
const overlap = normalized.find(({ n }) => {
const pWords = n.split(' ').filter(w => w.length > 2);
const shared = inputWords.filter(w => pWords.includes(w));
return shared.length > 0 && shared.length >= Math.min(inputWords.length, pWords.length) * 0.5;
});
return overlap?.p ?? null;
}
function parseBulkText() {
const lines = bulkText.split('\n');
const matched: Array<{ participantId: string; name: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null; inputName: string }> = [];
const unmatched: Array<{ inputName: string; elo: number; ranking: number | null }> = [];
const seen = new Set<string>();
for (const line of lines) {
const trimmed = line.trim();
if (!trimmed) continue;
if (inputMode === 'projectedWins' && simulatorConfig) {
const match = /^(.+?)[\s,:\t]+(\d+(?:\.\d+)?)\s*$/.exec(trimmed);
if (!match) continue;
const inputName = match[1].trim();
const projectedWins = parseFloat(match[2]);
if (isNaN(projectedWins) || projectedWins < 0 || projectedWins > simulatorConfig.seasonGames) continue;
const elo = projectedWinsToElo(projectedWins, simulatorConfig.seasonGames, simulatorConfig.parityFactor, simulatorConfig.averageOpponentElo);
const participant = findParticipantMatch(inputName);
if (participant && !seen.has(participant.id)) {
seen.add(participant.id);
matched.push({ participantId: participant.id, name: participant.name, elo, ranking: null, inputName });
} else if (!participant) {
unmatched.push({ inputName, elo, ranking: null });
}
} else {
const match = usesRanking
? /^(.+?)[\s,:\t]+(\d{3,5})(?:[\s,:\t]+(\d{1,3}))?\s*$/.exec(trimmed)
: /^(.+?)[\s,:\t]+(\d{3,5})\s*$/.exec(trimmed);
if (!match) continue;
const inputName = match[1].trim();
const elo = parseInt(match[2], 10);
const ranking = usesRanking && match[3] ? parseInt(match[3], 10) : null;
if (isNaN(elo) || elo < 500 || elo > 5000) continue;
const participant = findParticipantMatch(inputName);
if (participant && !seen.has(participant.id)) {
seen.add(participant.id);
matched.push({ participantId: participant.id, name: participant.name, elo, ranking, inputName });
} else if (!participant) {
unmatched.push({ inputName, elo, ranking });
}
}
}
setParseResults({ matched, unmatched });
}
function applyMatches() {
if (!parseResults) return;
const newElos = { ...eloValues };
const newRanks = { ...rankValues };
const newWins = { ...winsValues };
for (const m of parseResults.matched) {
newElos[m.participantId] = m.elo.toString();
if (m.ranking !== null) newRanks[m.participantId] = m.ranking.toString();
if (inputMode === 'projectedWins' && simulatorConfig) {
newWins[m.participantId] = eloToProjectedWins(
m.elo, simulatorConfig.seasonGames, simulatorConfig.parityFactor, simulatorConfig.averageOpponentElo
).toFixed(1);
}
}
setEloValues(newElos);
setRankValues(newRanks);
setWinsValues(newWins);
setParseResults(null);
setBulkText('');
}
const isSubmitting = navigation.state === 'submitting';
const simulatorType = sportsSeason.sport?.simulatorType ?? null;
const rankLabel = rankingLabel(simulatorType);
// When ranking is available, sort by rank ascending, then unranked alphabetically
const sortedParticipants = usesRanking
? [...participants].toSorted((a, b) => {
const rankA = rankValues[a.id] ? parseInt(rankValues[a.id], 10) : null;
const rankB = rankValues[b.id] ? parseInt(rankValues[b.id], 10) : null;
if (rankA !== null && rankB !== null) return rankA - rankB;
if (rankA !== null) return -1;
if (rankB !== null) return 1;
return a.name.localeCompare(b.name);
})
: participants;
return (
<div className="container mx-auto py-8">
<div className="mb-8">
<h1 className="text-3xl font-bold mb-2">Elo Ratings</h1>
<p className="text-muted-foreground">
{sportsSeason.sport.name} {sportsSeason.name}
</p>
</div>
{/* Input Mode Toggle */}
{canUseProjectedWins && !usesRanking && (
<div className="mb-6 flex gap-2">
<Button
type="button"
variant={inputMode === 'elo' ? 'default' : 'outline'}
onClick={() => setInputMode('elo')}
>
Elo Ratings
</Button>
<Button
type="button"
variant={inputMode === 'projectedWins' ? 'default' : 'outline'}
onClick={() => setInputMode('projectedWins')}
>
Projected Wins
</Button>
</div>
)}
{/* Bulk Import */}
<Card className="mb-6">
<CardHeader>
<CardTitle>Bulk Import</CardTitle>
<CardDescription>
{inputMode === 'projectedWins' && simulatorConfig ? (
<>
Paste projected season wins one per line. Format: <code>Team Name, 15.6</code>.
Wins are automatically converted to Elo ratings using {simulatorConfig.seasonGames} total games
and parity factor {simulatorConfig.parityFactor}. Names are fuzzy-matched to participants.
</>
) : usesRanking ? (
<>
Paste one entry per line. Format:{' '}
<code>Name, Elo, {rankLabel}</code> (ranking is optional omit it and the simulator
will use Elo order for seeding). Names are fuzzy-matched to participants.
</>
) : (
<>
Paste Elo ratings one per line. Format: <code>Player Name, 2450</code>. Player names
are fuzzy-matched to participants.
</>
)}
</CardDescription>
</CardHeader>
<CardContent className="space-y-4">
<Textarea
placeholder={
inputMode === 'projectedWins'
? `Team Name, 15.6\nTeam Name, 14.5\nTeam Name, 13.8`
: usesRanking
? simulatorType === 'cs2_major_qualifying_points'
? `Natus Vincere, 1850, 1\nFaZe Clan, 1820, 2\nVitality, 1810, 3`
: `Luke Littler, 2099, 1\nMichael van Gerwen, 1950, 2\nLuke Humphries, 1947, 3`
: `Judd Trump, 2594\nRonnie O'Sullivan, 2441\nMark Selby, 2432`
}
value={bulkText}
onChange={e => { setBulkText(e.target.value); setParseResults(null); }}
rows={8}
className="font-mono text-sm"
/>
<Button type="button" variant="outline" onClick={parseBulkText} disabled={!bulkText.trim()}>
Parse Ratings
</Button>
{parseResults && (
<div className="space-y-3">
{parseResults.matched.length > 0 && (
<div>
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 text-sm font-medium text-emerald-400 mb-2">
<CheckCircle2 className="h-4 w-4" />
Matched ({parseResults.matched.length})
</div>
<div className="rounded-md border border-emerald-500/30 bg-emerald-500/10 divide-y divide-emerald-500/20 text-sm">
{parseResults.matched.map(m => (
<div key={m.participantId} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
<span className="text-muted-foreground">{m.inputName}</span>
<span className="font-medium">
{m.name} &rarr; Elo {m.elo}
{usesRanking && m.ranking !== null ? `, ${rankLabel} #${m.ranking}` : ''}
</span>
</div>
))}
</div>
</div>
)}
{parseResults.unmatched.length > 0 && (
<div>
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 text-sm font-medium text-amber-700 mb-2">
<AlertCircle className="h-4 w-4" />
Not matched ({parseResults.unmatched.length}) enter manually below
</div>
<div className="rounded-md border border-amber-200 bg-amber-50 divide-y divide-amber-100 text-sm">
{parseResults.unmatched.map(u => (
<div key={u.inputName} className="flex justify-between px-3 py-1.5">
<span>{u.inputName}</span>
<span className="font-medium">
Elo {u.elo}
{usesRanking && u.ranking !== null ? `, ${rankLabel} #${u.ranking}` : ''}
</span>
</div>
))}
</div>
</div>
)}
{parseResults.matched.length > 0 && (
<Button type="button" onClick={applyMatches}>
Apply {parseResults.matched.length} matched ratings to form
</Button>
)}
</div>
)}
</CardContent>
</Card>
<div className="grid gap-6 lg:grid-cols-2">
<Card>
<CardHeader>
<CardTitle>
{inputMode === 'projectedWins'
? `Projected Season Wins (out of ${simulatorConfig?.seasonGames ?? '?'})`
: usesRanking
? `Player Elo & ${rankLabel}s`
: 'Player Elo Ratings'}
</CardTitle>
<CardDescription>
{inputMode === 'projectedWins'
? 'Enter each team\'s projected total season wins. Converted to Elo automatically. Saving will run the simulation and update expected values.'
: usesRanking
? `Enter each player's Elo and ${rankLabel}. Saving will automatically run the simulation and update expected values.`
: 'Enter each player\'s current Elo rating. Saving will automatically run the simulation and update expected values.'}
</CardDescription>
</CardHeader>
<CardContent>
<Form method="post" className="space-y-4">
<input type="hidden" name="inputMode" value={inputMode} />
{usesRanking && inputMode === 'elo' && (
<div className="grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px_90px] gap-x-3 gap-y-1 items-center text-xs font-medium text-muted-foreground">
<span>Player</span>
<span>Elo</span>
<span>{rankLabel} #</span>
</div>
)}
{inputMode === 'projectedWins' && (
<div className="grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px] gap-x-3 gap-y-1 items-center text-xs font-medium text-muted-foreground">
<span>Team</span>
<span>Proj Wins</span>
</div>
)}
<div className="space-y-2">
{sortedParticipants.map(participant => {
if (inputMode === 'projectedWins' && simulatorConfig) {
return (
<div key={participant.id} className="grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px] gap-x-3 items-center">
<Label htmlFor={`wins_${participant.id}`} className="truncate text-sm">
{participant.name}
</Label>
<Input
type="number"
step="0.1"
id={`wins_${participant.id}`}
name={`wins_${participant.id}`}
placeholder={`${(simulatorConfig.seasonGames / 2).toFixed(1)}`}
value={winsValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
onChange={e =>
setWinsValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
}
className="h-8 text-sm"
/>
</div>
);
}
return (
<div
key={participant.id}
className={usesRanking
? 'grid grid-cols-[1fr_100px_90px] gap-x-3 items-center'
: 'grid grid-cols-2 gap-4 items-center'}
>
<Label htmlFor={`elo_${participant.id}`} className="truncate text-sm">
{participant.name}
</Label>
<Input
type="number"
id={`elo_${participant.id}`}
name={`elo_${participant.id}`}
placeholder={usesRanking ? '1800' : '2450'}
value={eloValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
onChange={e =>
setEloValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
}
className={usesRanking ? 'h-8 text-sm' : undefined}
/>
{usesRanking && (
<Input
type="number"
name={`rank_${participant.id}`}
placeholder="—"
value={rankValues[participant.id] ?? ''}
onChange={e =>
setRankValues(prev => ({ ...prev, [participant.id]: e.target.value }))
}
className="h-8 text-sm"
/>
)}
</div>
);
})}
</div>
{actionData && !actionData.success && actionData.message && (
<div className="text-sm text-destructive">{actionData.message}</div>
)}
<Button type="submit" disabled={isSubmitting}>
{isSubmitting && <Loader2 className="mr-2 h-4 w-4 animate-spin" />}
{isSubmitting ? 'Saving & Running Simulation...' : 'Save Ratings & Run Simulation'}
</Button>
</Form>
</CardContent>
</Card>
<Card>
<CardHeader>
<CardTitle>How It Works</CardTitle>
</CardHeader>
<CardContent className="text-sm space-y-2">
{inputMode === 'projectedWins' ? (
<ol className="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2">
<li>Enter each team's projected total season wins</li>
<li>Wins are converted to Elo ratings using the inverse Elo formula</li>
<li>Elo ratings are saved and the simulation runs automatically</li>
<li>Results: probability distributions across 1st8th place buckets</li>
<li>Expected fantasy value is calculated per team</li>
</ol>
) : (
<ol className="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2">
<li>Save Elo ratings{usesRanking ? ` and ${rankLabel}s` : ''} for all participants</li>
<li>Compute per-game win probability from Elo difference</li>
<li>Compute match win probability using the Bernoulli model for each round's format</li>
<li>Run Monte Carlo simulations of the full event</li>
<li>Distribute probabilities across 1st8th place buckets</li>
<li>Calculate expected fantasy value per player</li>
</ol>
)}
{usesRanking && inputMode === 'elo' && (
<div className="mt-4 text-muted-foreground text-xs">
{rankLabel} is optional if omitted, the simulator uses Elo order for seeding.
</div>
)}
{inputMode === 'projectedWins' && simulatorConfig && (
<div className="mt-4 text-muted-foreground text-xs">
Conversion: Elo = {simulatorConfig.averageOpponentElo} &minus; {simulatorConfig.parityFactor} &times; log&#8321;&#8320;((1 &minus; winRate) / winRate),
where winRate = projectedWins / {simulatorConfig.seasonGames}.
</div>
)}
</CardContent>
</Card>
</div>
</div>
);
}