brackt/app/components/sport-season/RegularSeasonStandings.tsx
Chris Parsons 2e2d8db777
Add MLB playoff simulator with AL/NL division standings, fixes #121 (#225)
* Add MLB playoff simulator with AL/NL division standings, fixes #121

- New `mlb-simulator.ts`: 50k Monte Carlo sim drawing division winners
  (weighted by p_div) and 3 WC teams per league, then simulating
  WC best-of-3 → DS best-of-5 → LCS best-of-7 → World Series.
  Elo parity factor 350; blends Vegas odds 30/70 when sourceOdds available.
- New `standings-sync/mlb.ts`: adapter for free statsapi.mlb.com API,
  mapping AL/NL conferences, division ranks, streaks, home/away/L10 splits.
- New `mlb-divisions` display mode in RegularSeasonStandings: shows 1 division
  winner per division section + Wild Card section with 3-spot playoff line,
  headings read "AL/NL League" instead of "Conference".
- Refactored buildNhlSections/buildMlbSections into shared buildDivisionSections
  (divisionSpots + wcSpots params); conferenceLabel now flows through group
  objects rather than being derived from displayMode in the render.
- DB migration 0062 adds `mlb_bracket` to simulator_type enum.
- 37 new tests across simulator, adapter, and component.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Fix flaky tennis simulator test: increase trials and lower threshold

500 trials with a ~3–5% expected win rate had enough variance to
occasionally land below the 0.03 threshold (~2% failure rate).
Bumping to 2000 trials reduces the std dev by 2x; lowering the
threshold to 0.02 keeps the assertion meaningful (still well above
random 0.78%) while eliminating the flakiness.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-25 08:47:02 -07:00

453 lines
16 KiB
TypeScript

import {
Card,
CardContent,
CardDescription,
CardHeader,
CardTitle,
} from "~/components/ui/card";
import { BarChart3 } from "lucide-react";
import { TeamOwnerBadge } from "~/components/ui/team-owner-badge";
interface StandingRow {
id: string;
participantId: string;
wins: number;
losses: number;
otLosses: number | null;
winPct: string | null;
gamesPlayed: number;
gamesBack: string | null;
conference: string | null;
division: string | null;
conferenceRank: number | null;
divisionRank: number | null;
leagueRank: number | null;
streak: string | null;
lastTen: string | null;
homeRecord: string | null;
awayRecord: string | null;
syncedAt: Date | string | null;
participant: { id: string; name: string; shortName?: string | null };
}
interface TeamOwnership {
teamName: string;
ownerName: string;
teamId: string;
}
interface Props {
standings: StandingRow[];
teamOwnerships: Record<string, TeamOwnership>;
userParticipantIds: string[];
showOtLosses?: boolean;
participantEvs?: Record<string, string>;
/** How many teams per conference qualify for playoffs (flat mode only). 0 = no line. */
playoffSpots?: number;
/** "flat" = single ranked list per conference (NBA). "nhl-divisions" = div top-3 + wild card. "mlb-divisions" = same structure with 3 WC spots, uses "League" label. */
displayMode?: "flat" | "nhl-divisions" | "mlb-divisions";
}
type RankMode = "conference" | "division" | "index";
interface TableSection {
heading?: string;
rows: StandingRow[];
rankMode: RankMode;
playoffSpots: number;
showDivisionLabel?: boolean;
}
// ─── Formatting ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
function formatWinPct(winPct: string | null, wins: number, gamesPlayed: number): string {
if (winPct !== null) {
const pct = parseFloat(winPct);
if (!isNaN(pct)) return pct.toFixed(3);
}
if (gamesPlayed > 0) return (wins / gamesPlayed).toFixed(3);
return "—";
}
function formatGB(gamesBack: string | null): string {
if (gamesBack === null) return "—";
const gb = parseFloat(gamesBack);
if (isNaN(gb) || gb === 0) return "—";
return gb % 1 === 0 ? gb.toString() : gb.toFixed(1);
}
function getRank(row: StandingRow, idx: number, mode: RankMode): number {
if (mode === "division") return row.divisionRank ?? idx + 1;
if (mode === "index") return idx + 1;
return row.conferenceRank ?? idx + 1;
}
// ─── Grouping ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
type ConferenceGroup = { conference: string; conferenceLabel: string; sections: TableSection[] };
function buildFlatSections(
standings: StandingRow[],
playoffSpots: number
): ConferenceGroup[] {
const hasConferences = standings.some((s) => s.conference);
if (!hasConferences) {
return [
{
conference: "",
conferenceLabel: "Conference",
sections: [
{
rows: [...standings].toSorted(
(a, b) => (a.leagueRank ?? 99) - (b.leagueRank ?? 99)
),
rankMode: "conference",
playoffSpots,
},
],
},
];
}
const confMap = new Map<string, StandingRow[]>();
for (const row of standings) {
const conf = row.conference ?? "Other";
if (!confMap.has(conf)) confMap.set(conf, []);
confMap.get(conf)?.push(row);
}
return Array.from(confMap.entries()).map(([conference, rows]) => ({
conference,
conferenceLabel: "Conference",
sections: [
{
rows: [...rows].toSorted(
(a, b) =>
(a.conferenceRank ?? a.leagueRank ?? 99) -
(b.conferenceRank ?? b.leagueRank ?? 99)
),
rankMode: "conference" as RankMode,
playoffSpots,
showDivisionLabel: true,
},
],
}));
}
/**
* Shared builder for division-based display modes (NHL and MLB).
* `divisionSpots`: how many teams per division qualify directly (3 for NHL, 1 for MLB).
* `wcSpots`: how many wildcard slots exist per conference (2 for NHL, 3 for MLB).
* `conferenceLabel`: the word shown after the conference name in the heading.
*/
function buildDivisionSections(
standings: StandingRow[],
divisionSpots: number,
wcSpots: number,
conferenceLabel: string
): ConferenceGroup[] {
const confMap = new Map<string, StandingRow[]>();
for (const row of standings) {
const conf = row.conference ?? "Other";
if (!confMap.has(conf)) confMap.set(conf, []);
confMap.get(conf)?.push(row);
}
return Array.from(confMap.entries()).map(([conference, rows]) => {
const divMap = new Map<string, StandingRow[]>();
for (const row of rows) {
const div = row.division ?? "";
if (!divMap.has(div)) divMap.set(div, []);
divMap.get(div)?.push(row);
}
const divisions = Array.from(divMap.entries())
.map(([name, divRows]) => ({
name,
qualifiers: divRows
.filter((r) => (r.divisionRank ?? 99) <= divisionSpots)
.toSorted((a, b) => (a.divisionRank ?? 99) - (b.divisionRank ?? 99)),
}))
.toSorted(
(a, b) =>
(a.qualifiers[0]?.conferenceRank ?? 99) -
(b.qualifiers[0]?.conferenceRank ?? 99)
);
const wildCard = rows
.filter((r) => (r.divisionRank ?? 99) > divisionSpots)
.toSorted(
(a, b) =>
(a.conferenceRank ?? a.leagueRank ?? 99) -
(b.conferenceRank ?? b.leagueRank ?? 99)
);
const sections: TableSection[] = [
...divisions.map((div) => ({
heading: `${div.name} Division`,
rows: div.qualifiers,
rankMode: "division" as RankMode,
playoffSpots: 0,
showDivisionLabel: false,
})),
...(wildCard.length > 0
? [
{
heading: "Wild Card",
rows: wildCard,
rankMode: "index" as RankMode,
playoffSpots: wcSpots,
showDivisionLabel: true,
},
]
: []),
];
return { conference, conferenceLabel, sections };
});
}
function buildNhlSections(standings: StandingRow[]): ConferenceGroup[] {
return buildDivisionSections(standings, 3, 2, "Conference");
}
function buildMlbSections(standings: StandingRow[]): ConferenceGroup[] {
return buildDivisionSections(standings, 1, 3, "League");
}
// ─── Single table that renders all sections ───────────────────────────────────
function StandingsTable({
sections,
teamOwnerships,
userParticipantIds,
showOtLosses,
participantEvs,
hasEvs,
}: {
sections: TableSection[];
teamOwnerships: Record<string, TeamOwnership>;
userParticipantIds: string[];
showOtLosses: boolean;
participantEvs: Record<string, string>;
hasEvs: boolean;
}) {
// # Team GP W L [OTL] [PTS] PCT GB L10 STK Mgr [PROJ]
// OTL and PTS are both shown for hockey (showOtLosses = true)
const totalCols = 10 + (showOtLosses ? 2 : 0) + (hasEvs ? 1 : 0);
return (
<div className="overflow-x-auto -mx-6 px-6">
<table className="w-full min-w-[740px] text-sm">
<thead>
<tr className="text-xs text-muted-foreground uppercase tracking-wide border-b">
<th className="text-left py-1.5 pr-2 w-6">#</th>
<th className="text-left py-1.5">Team</th>
<th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-10">GP</th>
<th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-8">W</th>
<th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-8">L</th>
{showOtLosses && <th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-10">OTL</th>}
{showOtLosses && <th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-10">PTS</th>}
<th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-12">PCT</th>
<th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-10">GB</th>
<th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-12">L10</th>
<th className="text-right py-1.5 px-2 w-12">STK</th>
<th className="text-right py-1.5 pl-4 w-40">Mgr</th>
{hasEvs && <th className="text-right py-1.5 pl-2 w-14">PROJ</th>}
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
{sections.flatMap((section, sIdx) => {
const sectionRows: React.ReactNode[] = [];
let playoffLineShown = false;
if (section.heading) {
sectionRows.push(
<tr key={`h-${section.heading}`}>
<td
colSpan={totalCols}
className={`text-xs font-medium text-muted-foreground/60 uppercase tracking-wider pb-1 ${
sIdx > 0 ? "pt-5" : "pt-2"
}`}
>
{section.heading}
</td>
</tr>
);
}
section.rows.forEach((row, i) => {
const rank = getRank(row, i, section.rankMode);
if (!playoffLineShown && section.playoffSpots > 0 && rank > section.playoffSpots) {
playoffLineShown = true;
sectionRows.push(
<tr key={`pl-${sIdx}`}>
<td colSpan={totalCols} className="py-0.5">
<div className="flex items-center gap-2">
<div className="flex-1 border-t border-dashed border-amber-500/40" />
<span className="text-[10px] text-amber-600/70 dark:text-amber-500/70 uppercase tracking-wide whitespace-nowrap font-medium px-1">
Playoff Line
</span>
<div className="flex-1 border-t border-dashed border-amber-500/40" />
</div>
</td>
</tr>
);
}
const isUserTeam = userParticipantIds.includes(row.participantId);
const ownership = teamOwnerships[row.participantId];
const ev = participantEvs[row.participantId];
sectionRows.push(
<tr
key={row.id}
className={`border-b border-border/50 last:border-0 ${
isUserTeam ? "bg-primary/5" : "hover:bg-muted/30"
}`}
>
<td className="py-2 pr-2 text-muted-foreground tabular-nums">{rank}</td>
<td className="py-2">
<span className={`font-medium ${isUserTeam ? "text-primary" : ""}`}>
{row.participant.shortName ?? row.participant.name}
</span>
{section.showDivisionLabel && row.division && (
<span className="ml-1.5 text-[10px] text-muted-foreground/50 uppercase tracking-wide">
{row.division}
</span>
)}
</td>
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums text-muted-foreground">
{row.gamesPlayed}
</td>
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums font-medium">{row.wins}</td>
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums">{row.losses}</td>
{showOtLosses && (
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums">{row.otLosses ?? 0}</td>
)}
{showOtLosses && (
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums font-medium">
{row.wins * 2 + (row.otLosses ?? 0)}
</td>
)}
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums text-muted-foreground">
{formatWinPct(row.winPct, row.wins, row.gamesPlayed)}
</td>
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums text-muted-foreground">
{formatGB(row.gamesBack)}
</td>
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums text-muted-foreground">
{row.lastTen ?? "—"}
</td>
<td className="py-2 px-2 text-right tabular-nums">
{row.streak ? (
<span
className={
row.streak.startsWith("W")
? "text-emerald-500"
: "text-destructive/80"
}
>
{row.streak}
</span>
) : (
<span className="text-muted-foreground"></span>
)}
</td>
<td className="py-2 pl-4 text-right">
{ownership ? (
<div className="flex justify-end">
<TeamOwnerBadge
teamName={ownership.teamName}
ownerName={ownership.ownerName || undefined}
align="right"
/>
</div>
) : (
<span className="text-xs text-muted-foreground"></span>
)}
</td>
{hasEvs && (
<td className="py-2 pl-2 text-right tabular-nums">
{ev !== null ? (
<span className="text-blue-500 dark:text-blue-400 font-medium">
{parseFloat(ev).toFixed(1)}
</span>
) : (
<span className="text-muted-foreground"></span>
)}
</td>
)}
</tr>
);
});
return sectionRows;
})}
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
);
}
// ─── Main export ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
export function RegularSeasonStandings({
standings,
teamOwnerships,
userParticipantIds,
showOtLosses = false,
participantEvs = {},
playoffSpots = 8,
displayMode = "flat",
}: Props) {
if (standings.length === 0) return null;
const hasEvs = Object.keys(participantEvs).length > 0;
const lastSyncedAt = standings
.map((s) => s.syncedAt)
.filter(Boolean)
.toSorted()
.at(-1);
const groups =
displayMode === "nhl-divisions"
? buildNhlSections(standings)
: displayMode === "mlb-divisions"
? buildMlbSections(standings)
: buildFlatSections(standings, playoffSpots);
const tableProps = { teamOwnerships, userParticipantIds, showOtLosses, participantEvs, hasEvs };
return (
<Card>
<CardHeader>
<div className="flex items-center justify-between gap-2">
<CardTitle className="flex items-center gap-2">
<BarChart3 className="h-5 w-5" />
Regular Season Standings
</CardTitle>
{lastSyncedAt && (
<CardDescription className="text-xs tabular-nums">
Updated {new Date(lastSyncedAt).toLocaleDateString()}
</CardDescription>
)}
</div>
</CardHeader>
<CardContent>
{groups.map((group) => (
<div key={group.conference} className="mb-6 last:mb-0">
{group.conference && (
<h3 className="text-sm font-semibold text-muted-foreground uppercase tracking-wide mb-3">
{group.conference} {group.conferenceLabel}
</h3>
)}
<StandingsTable sections={group.sections} {...tableProps} />
</div>
))}
</CardContent>
</Card>
);
}