47b8935be6
- NCAAM: KenPom AEM logistic formula (1/(1+exp(-diff/7.5))), data through 2025-26 March 15 - NCAAW: Barttorvik Barthag Log5 formula (A*(1-B)/(A*(1-B)+B*(1-A))), same bracket structure - Both simulators: 50,000-iteration Monte Carlo, First Four simulation, honors completed matches - Track E8+ placements only: champion, finalist, FF losers (3rd/4th), E8 losers (5th–8th) - Add bracket configuration validation: null R64 slots must exactly match First Four mapping - Fix DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES to 100/70/45/45/20/20/20/20 (3rd/4th=45, 5th–8th=20) - Align scoring constants across simulate route, expected-values display, and server action - Zero out EVs for non-bracket participants on every simulation run (prevents EV inflation) - Add EV total invariant warning (expected ~340) on expected-values admin page - 98 unit tests across NCAAM, NCAAW, and UCL simulators — all passing Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
76 lines
2.8 KiB
TypeScript
76 lines
2.8 KiB
TypeScript
/**
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* Simulator Registry
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*
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* Maps a sport's simulatorType to the appropriate Simulator implementation.
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* Set simulatorType on the sport record in the admin UI.
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* Add new simulators here as new sports are supported.
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*/
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import type { Simulator } from "./types";
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import { BracketSimulator } from "./bracket-simulator";
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import { F1Simulator } from "./f1-simulator";
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import { GolfSimulator } from "./golf-simulator";
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import { UCLSimulator } from "./ucl-simulator";
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import { NCAAMSimulator } from "./ncaam-simulator";
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import { NCAAWSimulator } from "./ncaaw-simulator";
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export type SimulatorType =
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| "f1_standings"
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| "indycar_standings"
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| "golf_qualifying_points"
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| "playoff_bracket"
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| "ucl_bracket"
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| "ncaam_bracket"
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| "ncaaw_bracket";
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export interface SimulatorInfo {
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name: string;
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description: string;
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}
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const REGISTRY: Record<SimulatorType, { info: SimulatorInfo; create: () => Simulator }> = {
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f1_standings: {
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info: { name: "F1 Standings Model", description: "Simulates remaining races using current F1 standings and futures odds" },
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create: () => new F1Simulator(),
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},
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indycar_standings: {
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info: { name: "IndyCar Standings Model", description: "Simulates remaining races using current IndyCar standings and futures odds" },
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create: () => new F1Simulator(),
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},
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golf_qualifying_points: {
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info: { name: "Qualifying Points Model", description: "Simulates remaining majors using current QP standings and futures odds" },
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create: () => new GolfSimulator(),
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},
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playoff_bracket: {
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info: { name: "Bracket Monte Carlo", description: "Simulates playoff bracket outcomes using Elo ratings" },
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create: () => new BracketSimulator(),
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},
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ucl_bracket: {
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info: { name: "UCL Bracket Monte Carlo", description: "Simulates the UEFA Champions League 16-team knockout bracket using blended Elo + futures odds" },
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create: () => new UCLSimulator(),
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},
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ncaam_bracket: {
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info: { name: "NCAAM Bracket Monte Carlo", description: "Simulates the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament 64-team bracket using KenPom net ratings" },
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create: () => new NCAAMSimulator(),
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},
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ncaaw_bracket: {
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info: { name: "NCAAW Bracket Monte Carlo", description: "Simulates the NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament 64-team bracket using Barttorvik Barthag ratings" },
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create: () => new NCAAWSimulator(),
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},
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};
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export function getSimulator(simulatorType: SimulatorType): Simulator {
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const entry = REGISTRY[simulatorType];
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if (!entry) {
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throw new Error(
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`No simulator registered for type: "${simulatorType}". ` +
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`Add a simulator to app/services/simulations/registry.ts.`
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);
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}
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return entry.create();
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}
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export function getSimulatorInfo(simulatorType: SimulatorType): SimulatorInfo | null {
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return REGISTRY[simulatorType]?.info ?? null;
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}
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