brackt/app/services
Chris Parsons 70c22d03fc
feat: add UCL bracket Monte Carlo simulator (#131)
Implements a 16-team UEFA Champions League knockout bracket simulator
using blended Elo + futures odds probabilities (70/30 split). Tracks
integer placement counts per tier to avoid fractional accumulation
drift, ensuring total EV sums to exactly 340 by construction.

- New UCLSimulator class reading live playoffMatches from DB
- Respects completed match results (eliminated teams get exact EV)
- New ucl_bracket simulator_type enum value + migration
- Registered in simulator registry; added to admin sport selector
- 18 unit tests covering math, bracket path, and integration scenarios

Fixes #113

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-10 23:04:51 -07:00
..
__tests__ feat: progressive floor scoring for playoff brackets (#100) 2026-03-10 10:27:58 -07:00
simulations feat: add UCL bracket Monte Carlo simulator (#131) 2026-03-10 23:04:51 -07:00
bracket-simulator.ts feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
ev-calculator.ts User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
icm-calculator.ts feat: implement sports season expected value calculations and probability updates 2025-11-21 22:05:50 -08:00
probability-engine.ts feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
probability-updater.ts feat: implement sports season expected value calculations and probability updates 2025-11-21 22:05:50 -08:00