Make the futures-vs-Elo relationship an explicit, configurable rule and fix futures odds failing to override stored Elo. Root causes addressed: - resolveSourceElos/resolveRatings used a hardcoded precedence (direct Elo -> projectedWins -> projectedTablePoints -> odds). The prior fix nulled sourceElo on futures entry but not projections, which still outranked odds. - The override relied on a destructive null-on-save hack that also wiped manually entered Elo. - Blended simulators buried their Elo/odds weight in module constants. - Futures odds were not surfaced on the /admin/simulators inventory. Changes: - Add a configurable source policy: sourceEloPriority (ordered) and oddsWeight, parsed/clamped in getSimulatorInputPolicy. resolveSourceElos/resolveRatings now resolve each participant by the configured priority instead of a fixed order. Futures-centric simulators (ncaam, ncaaw, world_cup, ncaa_football, college_hockey) default to a futures-override priority. - Drop the destructive nulling in batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator and batchSaveSourceOdds; override is now governed by policy, preserving stored Elo. - Thread an optional SimulationContext (oddsWeight) through the Simulator interface so blended sims (UCL, World Cup, NCAA FB, MLB) read the blend weight from the season policy; defaults preserve prior calibration when no context is passed. - Add a "Futures vs. Elo" strategy control and Odds Blend Weight input to the Simulator Setup input-policy card, persisted via save-input-policy. - Surface futures on /admin/simulators: a source badge and a Futures Odds quick link; extend listSportsSeasonSimulatorSummaries with odds source info. - Tests: configurable priority override (Elo/projections/rating), oddsWeight parsing/clamping, prefersFuturesOdds, manifest defaults, an NCAA Football context-blend behavioral test, and an updated non-destructive save test. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01QhNeB7gN6VKene7sdbBVQT
52 lines
1.7 KiB
TypeScript
52 lines
1.7 KiB
TypeScript
import { describe, it, expect, vi, beforeEach } from "vitest";
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// Mock the database context before importing any model
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vi.mock("~/database/context", () => ({
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database: vi.fn(),
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}));
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import { database } from "~/database/context";
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import { batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator } from "../simulator";
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type SetPayload = Record<string, unknown>;
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const conflictSetCalls: SetPayload[] = [];
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const onConflictDoUpdate = vi.fn((arg: { set: SetPayload }) => {
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conflictSetCalls.push(arg.set);
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return Promise.resolve(undefined);
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});
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const mockDb = {
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insert: vi.fn(() => ({
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values: vi.fn(() => ({ onConflictDoUpdate })),
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})),
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};
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beforeEach(() => {
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vi.clearAllMocks();
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conflictSetCalls.length = 0;
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(database as ReturnType<typeof vi.fn>).mockReturnValue(mockDb);
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});
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describe("batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator", () => {
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it("persists odds without destroying a stored Elo/rating", async () => {
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await batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator([
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{ participantId: "team-1", sportsSeasonId: "season-1", sourceOdds: 550 },
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]);
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// The upsert writes the odds and leaves Elo/rating untouched — whether the
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// odds override them is now decided by the configurable source priority,
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// not by nulling stored values here.
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expect(mockDb.insert).toHaveBeenCalledTimes(1);
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expect(conflictSetCalls).toHaveLength(1);
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expect(conflictSetCalls[0]).toHaveProperty("sourceOdds");
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expect(conflictSetCalls[0]).not.toHaveProperty("sourceElo");
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expect(conflictSetCalls[0]).not.toHaveProperty("rating");
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});
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it("is a no-op when given no inputs", async () => {
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await batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator([]);
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expect(mockDb.insert).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
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});
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});
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