After an LLWS simulation, a team locked into the 5th-6th tier and one locked into the 7th-8th tier both showed 20 points EV. They should show 25 and 15. The simulator and calculateEV were both right. A team locked into the 5-6 tier comes out of llws-simulator at probFifth = probSixth = 0.5, and against DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES (100/70/50/40/25/25/15/15) that is 25 — matching calculateBracketPoints, which already knows llws_20 splits 5-8 into two tiers. The Admin -> Expected Values page just wasn't using that table. It hardcoded its own stale copy: const SCORING = [100, 70, 45, 45, 20, 20, 20, 20] as const; 0.5*20 + 0.5*20 = 20 for either tier. It is not LLWS-specific. Four places carried that same stale table, and it stayed invisible because a standard single-elimination bracket puts all four quarterfinal losers in one tier worth avg(25,25,15,15) = 20 — the same number. It only diverges for the templates that split 5-8 (llws_20, afl_10) and those with a distinct 3rd/4th (llws_20, fifa_48, where 45/45 should be 50/40). Two of the four *persist* EVs computed that way, so the wrong values reached the database: - expected-values.tsx displayed EV, the total, and the sort order - expected-values.server manual EV entry, written to expected_value - golf-skills.tsx simulation EVs + snapshots, written - surface-elo.tsx simulation EVs + snapshots, written All four now use the shared DEFAULT_SCORING_RULES. probability-updater had a fourth inline copy with the right values; it is folded in too so there is one table left. The page's 340 total-EV invariant is unchanged — both tables sum to 340. A second path collapses the same two tiers, this time in real fantasy points. calculateBracketPoints falls back to the flat avg([5,6,7,8]) when bracketTemplateId is null, and four call sites resolved the template by taking an arbitrary scoringEvents row for the sports season — unordered, and not filtered to rows that actually carry a template. A season can own several events (a bracket plus schedule events, or a re-created bracket beside a stale one), so a null row wins at random and llws_20 is lost. New getBracketTemplateIdsForSportsSeasons in models/bracket-template.ts filters to events with a template and takes the most recent, the same rule llws-simulator uses to pick its bracket event; standings, calculateTeamScore, calculateTeamProjectedScore and getDraftedParticipantsWithPoints all go through it. Tests: evFromProbs pinned to 25 / 15 / 20-for-a-single-5-8-tier and the 340 invariant; the new lookup against a mixed set of events; and two llws-simulator tests that play out a full U.S. side so a team really is locked into each tier and must come out at exactly 50/50 across it. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01EmUdy42Rpgx9qZTnpQwirz
92 lines
3.6 KiB
TypeScript
92 lines
3.6 KiB
TypeScript
import { describe, expect, it, vi } from "vitest";
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import {
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getBracketTemplateIdForSportsSeason,
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getBracketTemplateIdsForSportsSeasons,
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} from "../bracket-template";
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/**
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* A sports season can own several scoring events — a bracket plus schedule events, or a
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* re-created bracket alongside a stale one. Resolving the template from an arbitrary row
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* is not harmless: calculateBracketPoints falls back to the flat 5th–8th average when the
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* template id is null, so losing "llws_20" makes a team locked into 5th–6th and one
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* locked into 7th–8th both score 20.
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*/
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/**
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* Minimal db stub. Applies the same filter and ordering the real query does, so the
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* assertions exercise the helper's row-picking rather than re-stating the query.
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*/
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function makeDb(
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rows: Array<{ sportsSeasonId: string; bracketTemplateId: string | null; createdAt: Date }>
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) {
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const findMany = vi.fn(async () =>
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rows
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.filter((row) => row.bracketTemplateId !== null)
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.toSorted((a, b) => b.createdAt.getTime() - a.createdAt.getTime())
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);
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return { db: { query: { scoringEvents: { findMany } } } as any, findMany };
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}
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describe("getBracketTemplateIdForSportsSeason", () => {
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it("ignores a non-bracket event and returns the bracket event's template", async () => {
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const { db } = makeDb([
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{ sportsSeasonId: "ss1", bracketTemplateId: null, createdAt: new Date("2026-08-01") },
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{ sportsSeasonId: "ss1", bracketTemplateId: "llws_20", createdAt: new Date("2026-07-01") },
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]);
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await expect(getBracketTemplateIdForSportsSeason("ss1", db)).resolves.toBe("llws_20");
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});
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it("takes the most recent bracket event when a stale one is still around", async () => {
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const { db } = makeDb([
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{ sportsSeasonId: "ss1", bracketTemplateId: "simple_16", createdAt: new Date("2026-06-01") },
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{ sportsSeasonId: "ss1", bracketTemplateId: "llws_20", createdAt: new Date("2026-08-01") },
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]);
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await expect(getBracketTemplateIdForSportsSeason("ss1", db)).resolves.toBe("llws_20");
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});
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it("returns null when the season has no bracket event", async () => {
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const { db } = makeDb([
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{ sportsSeasonId: "ss1", bracketTemplateId: null, createdAt: new Date("2026-08-01") },
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]);
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await expect(getBracketTemplateIdForSportsSeason("ss1", db)).resolves.toBeNull();
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});
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});
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describe("getBracketTemplateIdsForSportsSeasons", () => {
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it("resolves each season independently in one query", async () => {
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const { db, findMany } = makeDb([
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{ sportsSeasonId: "ss1", bracketTemplateId: "llws_20", createdAt: new Date("2026-08-01") },
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{ sportsSeasonId: "ss2", bracketTemplateId: "afl_10", createdAt: new Date("2026-08-02") },
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{ sportsSeasonId: "ss3", bracketTemplateId: null, createdAt: new Date("2026-08-03") },
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]);
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const resolved = await getBracketTemplateIdsForSportsSeasons(["ss1", "ss2", "ss3"], db);
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expect(resolved.get("ss1")).toBe("llws_20");
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expect(resolved.get("ss2")).toBe("afl_10");
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expect(resolved.get("ss3")).toBeNull();
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expect(findMany).toHaveBeenCalledTimes(1);
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});
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it("gives every requested season an entry so callers can cache the miss", async () => {
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const { db } = makeDb([]);
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const resolved = await getBracketTemplateIdsForSportsSeasons(["ss1", "ss2"], db);
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expect([...resolved.entries()]).toEqual([
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["ss1", null],
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["ss2", null],
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]);
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});
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it("does not query at all for an empty season list", async () => {
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const { db, findMany } = makeDb([]);
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await expect(getBracketTemplateIdsForSportsSeasons([], db)).resolves.toEqual(new Map());
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expect(findMany).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
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});
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});
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