cbaab920f9
Adds a new `nba_bracket` simulator that projects both regular season seedings and the full NBA playoff bracket, unlike other simulators that operate on a pre-set bracket stored in the DB. Algorithm: - Per iteration: each team draws a conference seed (1–10) weighted by BBRef seed probabilities, then seeds 7–10 play the Play-In tournament (single elimination), then the resulting 8-team bracket is simulated as best-of-7 series using Elo playoff ratings - Elo source: playoff rating (last 110 games, no regression to mean, postseason games weighted 3×) — appropriate for playoff matchup quality - Seed probs source: Basketball-Reference (March 16, 2026), scaled from conditional to unconditional by multiplying by each team's Playoffs% Placement tiers map to SimulationProbabilities: probFirst/Second → NBA champion / Finals loser probThird/Fourth → Conference Finals losers (2 per sim) probFifth–Eighth → Conference Semis losers (4 per sim) Files: - app/services/simulations/nba-simulator.ts (new) - drizzle/0046_add_nba_bracket_simulator_type.sql (new) - database/schema.ts: adds `nba_bracket` to simulatorTypeEnum - app/services/simulations/registry.ts: registers NBASimulator Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> |
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| .. | ||
| __tests__ | ||
| auto-racing-simulator.ts | ||
| bracket-simulator.ts | ||
| golf-simulator.ts | ||
| nba-simulator.ts | ||
| ncaam-simulator.ts | ||
| ncaaw-simulator.ts | ||
| registry.ts | ||
| types.ts | ||
| ucl-simulator.ts | ||