Commissioners can now right-click any picked cell in the draft grid to
replace the drafted participant (available during and after draft) or
roll back the draft to that pick number (available during draft only).
Replace pick enforces sport eligibility with the replaced slot treated
as free, updates the pick in-place, and broadcasts a pick-replaced
socket event so all clients update in real time. Rollback deletes all
picks from the selected pick onward, resets the season pick number,
clears all timers, and creates a fresh timer for the team now on the
clock.
Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Added loader and action functions for managing expected values in sports seasons.
- Implemented UI for recalculating probabilities based on participant results.
- Created a service to update probabilities after results are finalized, including handling finished and unfinished participants.
- Developed tests for the probability updater service to ensure correct functionality.
- Introduced a preview feature to show potential changes before applying updates.
Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model
for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds.
## Key Features
### ICM Probability Calculator
- Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities
- Converts American odds to championship probabilities
- Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants
- Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams
- Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8)
### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry
- Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures
- Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions
- Displays all 8 placement probabilities
- Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits
- Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig)
### Database Schema Updates
- Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id
- Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons
- Added source_odds field to store original futures odds
- Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update
- Migration 0026: Add source_odds field
### Model Layer
- participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions
- Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation)
- Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules
- Probability validation and normalization
### Service Layer
- icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution
- probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use)
- bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach)
- ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities
## Technical Details
- Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams
- Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions
- Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower)
- All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid
- Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing
## Future Enhancements
- Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs
- Integration with league-specific scoring rules
- Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis
🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)
Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Created `TeamScoreBreakdown` component to display all drafted participants, their placements, and points.
- Added new route for team breakdown at `/leagues/:leagueId/standings/:seasonId/teams/:teamId`.
- Enhanced `getTeamScoreBreakdown` model to include `sportsSeasonId` for grouping.
- Updated `StandingsTable` to include clickable team name links.
- Added functionality to finalize brackets in playoff events, including error handling and recalculating standings.
- Implemented tests for `TeamScoreBreakdown` component to ensure proper rendering and functionality.
- Updated routing to support new team breakdown feature and ensure seamless navigation.
- Added a new route for league standings: `/leagues/:leagueId/standings/:seasonId`
- Implemented the `StandingsTable` component to display team standings with ranking, points, and placement breakdown.
- Integrated tiebreaker logic for ranking teams based on total points and placements.
- Enhanced the league home page with a link to view standings.
- Updated scoring system documentation to reflect the new standings features.
- Added comprehensive tests for tiebreaker logic and `StandingsTable` component.
- Created shared types for standings to be used in both server and client code.
- Added a comprehensive plan for bracket expansion, including support for 4, 8, 16, 32, and 68 team formats.
- Introduced a template-based bracket system with predefined templates for NCAA March Madness, NFL Playoffs, NBA Playoffs, and simple brackets.
- Updated UI flow for bracket creation, allowing admins to select templates and assign participants flexibly.
- Enhanced database schema to accommodate new scoring rules and bracket templates.
- Proposed updates to scoring logic to handle non-scoring rounds and participant placements correctly.
- Documented implementation phases for gradual rollout of new features.
- Addressed critical bugs in the playoff event processing and scoring logic, ensuring proper advancement and scoring rules across multiple leagues.
