7 commits

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
Chris Parsons	9480501932	Unify majors: score once, fan out across windows + tennis bracket EV ... Make a "major" (golf/tennis/CS2) scored once on its canonical tournament and fan out to every linked sports_season window and league. Fan-out & completion (app/services/sync-tournament-results.ts): - syncTournamentResults now marks each synced window's event complete (gated by markComplete), recalculates affected leagues, and counts recalc failures so a stale league can't hide behind a "completed" badge - syncMajorFromPrimaryEvent promotes a primary window's derived results to canonical tournament_results (deleting rows for dropped placements) and fans out to siblings; fanOutMajorIfPrimary guards on the primary - placement removals now propagate (stale rows reset to filler) Primary-event model (scoring_events.is_primary, migration 0122): - getPrimaryEventForTournament / isReadOnlySibling / ensurePrimaryEvent / setPrimaryEvent; event creation auto-seeds a primary for bracket majors; "Make primary" button on the tournament page - per-window event/bracket/cs2 pages are read-only for non-primary linked events (not-participating stays editable) Tennis Grand Slam bracket (tennis_128 template + TEMPLATE_ROUND_CONFIG): - bracket-scored qualifying major via the existing bracket pipeline - simulator conditions in-progress EV on the real bracket (honoring completed matches, walkover for withdrawals), QP derived from config, round structure read from the template; CS2 + tennis share resolveStructureSource Backfill (scripts/backfill-major-linking.ts): one-time idempotent reconcile of existing majors (link orphans, designate primary, promote canonical, sync). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-06-22 20:32:22 -07:00
chrisp	472875f151	claude/exciting-ride-q1jq8k (#101) ... Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com> Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com> Reviewed-on: #101	2026-06-20 03:56:28 +00:00
chrisp	d0a31f3883	Fix CS2 Stage 3 QP slot assignment (#89) ... ## Summary - 0-3 teams in Stage 3 were being assigned slots 9–10 (high QP) when marked eliminated before other Stage 3 teams, because `computeStage3ExitQP` filled from slot 9 upward using only the teams passed in - 1-3 teams had the same problem when marked before 2-3 teams - Fix: gate all Stage 3 QP computation on `stage3Exits.length === STAGE3_TOTAL_EXITS` (8) — partial saves write 0 QP as a placeholder, and correct QP/placements are assigned once all 8 exits are known - As belt-and-suspenders, `computeStage3ExitQP` now places 0-wins teams from the bottom of the slot range so the function itself is correct even if called with a partial set ## Test plan - [ ] Run `npm run test:run -- app/models/__tests__/cs2-major-stage.test.ts` — all 17 tests pass - [ ] Mark 2 Stage 3 teams as 0-3 eliminated and save — confirm they show 0 QP (not 2 QP) - [ ] Mark all 8 Stage 3 exits and save — confirm 0-3 teams get slots 15–16 QP, 1-3 teams get slots 12–14 QP split correctly 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com> Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com> Reviewed-on: #89	2026-06-14 05:49:06 +00:00
Chris Parsons	43dbdf0040	Add not-participating exclusion support for event results (#446) ... * Add notParticipating flag to allow excluding withdrawn participants from qualifying-points simulators Adds a `not_participating` boolean column to `event_results` so admins can mark a participant as not competing in a specific upcoming major (e.g. Alcaraz withdrawing from Wimbledon due to injury). The golf, tennis, and CS2 major simulators now query this flag for incomplete events and exclude those participants from the event's draw/field, redistributing probability weight to the remaining field. Admin UI for qualifying major_tournament events gains a "Not Participating" card to mark/unmark withdrawals before the event runs. https://claude.ai/code/session_01HxNPLEXzr5Km3suWrJe2F9 * Address code review feedback on not-participating flag Security: unmark-not-participating now validates the result exists, belongs to this event, and is actually a DNP row before deleting. mark-not-participating now returns a user-friendly error on duplicate-key constraint violations. Code quality: extract shared getExcludedByEventMap() utility to event-result model, eliminating the duplicated 20-line exclusion-loading block that was copy-pasted into all three simulators. Fix hasParticipantResult() to exclude notParticipating rows so it correctly reflects actual competition participation. Remove optional chaining on the non-optional notParticipatingIds field in the admin UI. Fix misleading empty-state message. Tests: replace the misleading first tennis DNP test (which never used the activeIds variable it created) with a test that explicitly validates the fallback behaviour when too few players remain after exclusion. Add three CS2 DNP tests covering the excluded-team-gets-zero-QP path, the redistribution of wins, and per-event pool independence. https://claude.ai/code/session_01HxNPLEXzr5Km3suWrJe2F9 * Fix lint errors: replace non-null assertions in CS2 DNP test https://claude.ai/code/session_01HxNPLEXzr5Km3suWrJe2F9 --------- Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-05-19 11:13:32 -07:00
Chris Parsons	2848231235	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365) ... * refactor(schema): rename per-window tables to season_* prefix Renames participants, participant_expected_values, participant_qualifying_totals, participant_results, participant_surface_elos to season_* prefixed names. Renames event_results.participant_id to season_participant_id. Phase 1a of canonical tournament layer migration. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * refactor: rename participant.ts model file to season-participant.ts Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * refactor(models): update model layer to use renamed schema exports Updated all model files to use the renamed schema exports from Task 1: - participants → seasonParticipants - participantExpectedValues → seasonParticipantExpectedValues - participantQualifyingTotals → seasonParticipantQualifyingTotals - participantResults → seasonParticipantResults - participantSurfaceElos → seasonParticipantSurfaceElos - eventResults.participantId → eventResults.seasonParticipantId - db.query relation accessors updated - Relation field .participant → .seasonParticipant where applicable - Import paths updated: ./participant → ./season-participant Files updated (14 model files + 3 test files): - draft-pick.ts - draft-utils.ts - event-result.ts - group-stage-match.ts - participant-result.ts - qualifying-points.ts - scoring-calculator.ts - scoring-event.ts - sports-season.ts - surface-elo.ts - team-score-events.ts - cs2-major-stage.ts - golf-skills.ts - participant-expected-value.ts - __tests__/sports-season.clone.test.ts - __tests__/auto-pick.test.ts - __tests__/executeAutoPick.timer.test.ts Typecheck errors decreased: 779 → 499 (280 fewer) All model file errors related to renamed schemas resolved. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * refactor(routes): update route layer to use renamed schema exports - Update model import from ~/models/participant to ~/models/season-participant - Rename schema.participants to schema.seasonParticipants - Rename schema.participantResults to schema.seasonParticipantResults - Rename db.query.participants to db.query.seasonParticipants - Update 9 route files and 1 test file Affected files: - admin.sports-seasons.$id.events.$eventId.bracket.server.ts - admin.sports-seasons.$id.participants.tsx - api/draft.force-manual-pick.ts - api/draft.make-pick.ts - api/draft.replace-pick.ts - api/seasons.$seasonId.draft.ts - leagues/$leagueId.draft-board.$seasonId.tsx - leagues/$leagueId.sports-seasons.$sportsSeasonId.server.ts - admin/__tests__/sports-seasons-participants.test.ts Error count reduced from 499 to 453 (46 errors fixed). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * refactor(routes): update route files for schema rename Update route imports from ~/models/participant to ~/models/season-participant and fix references to .participant/.participantId on event results to use .seasonParticipant/.seasonParticipantId after schema rename. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * refactor(services): update simulators and services for renamed schema Update all simulators, services, and server files to use renamed schema tables: - participants → seasonParticipants - participantExpectedValues → seasonParticipantExpectedValues - participantResults → seasonParticipantResults - eventResults.participantId → eventResults.seasonParticipantId Files updated: - 20 sport simulators (NBA, NHL, NFL, MLB, etc.) - probability-updater.ts - standings-sync/index.ts - sports-data-sync.server.ts - server/socket.ts Typecheck errors reduced from 365 to 0. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * migration: rename per-window tables to season_* prefix * fix(tests): update mock query keys after participants table rename Change mock db.query.participants to db.query.seasonParticipants in test files to match the schema rename from commit 66145a9. This fixes "Cannot read properties of undefined (reading 'findFirst'/'findMany')" errors that occurred when production code queries db.query.seasonParticipants but test mocks only defined the old participants key. Files updated: - app/services/simulations/__tests__/world-cup-simulator.test.ts - app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.force-manual-pick.test.ts - app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.force-manual-pick.timer-mode.test.ts - app/routes/api/__tests__/draft.make-pick.timer-mode.test.ts - server/__tests__/timer-autodraft.test.ts - app/models/__tests__/team-score-events.test.ts Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * fix(tests): update remaining mock paths and keys after schema rename * fix(tests): final two mock stragglers after schema rename - draft-pick.test.ts: assertion on db.query.participantQualifyingTotals - process-match-result.test.ts: mock key participants → seasonParticipants Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * chore: add post-phase1a baseline capture (temp, for diff verification) * chore: capture pre-migration baselines * chore: remove post-phase1a capture helper after verification * schema: add canonical tournament & participant tables Adds tournaments, participants (canonical), tournament_results, and participant_surface_elos (canonical). Adds nullable tournament_id to scoring_events and nullable participant_id to season_participants. Phase 1b of canonical tournament layer migration. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * feat(models): add canonical tournament, participant, result, surface-elo models Adds CRUD modules for the canonical tables created in commit 775b905. Each module mirrors existing app/models conventions (database() from ~/database/context, schema from ~/database/schema, mock-based tests). Key implementation notes: - participant.ts exports use "Canonical" prefix (CanonicalParticipant, createCanonicalParticipant, etc.) to avoid collision with existing season-participant.ts exports - All four models include comprehensive unit tests following the audit-log.test.ts pattern - Tests use mocked db responses (no real database access) - Upsert functions use onConflictDoUpdate for appropriate unique constraints Part of Phase 1b of canonical tournament layer migration. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * migration: create canonical tables, add nullable FKs * scripts: add extractTournamentIdentity helper for backfill Pure function that derives canonical (name, year) identity from a scoring_events row, stripping trailing 4-digit years from the name or falling back to eventDate. Used by the Phase 2 backfill to group per-window events into canonical tournaments. * scripts: add backfill orchestrator for canonical layer Populates canonical tournaments, participants, tournament_results, and participant_surface_elos from per-window data for qualifying-points sports. Skips already-linked rows, is idempotent, and supports dry-run mode. Critical invariants enforced by the implementation: - qualifying_points_awarded is never copied to tournament_results - season_participant_qualifying_totals is never touched - conflicting surface-Elo values between windows raise a loud error (recorded in report.errors) rather than overwriting * scripts: add backfill CLI with dry-run default Wires backfill-canonical-layer.ts to a CLI entry point exposed as `npm run backfill:canonical`. Defaults to --dry-run; requires --apply to actually write. Supports --sport=<uuid> to limit to a single sport. Exits 2 if the backfill reports errors (e.g., surface-Elo conflicts). * fix(backfill-cli): wrap runBackfill in DatabaseContext.run The orchestrator uses database() from ~/database/context, which requires AsyncLocalStorage to be populated. Wrap the CLI invocation with DatabaseContext.run(db, ...) using server/db's cached connection pool. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> * fix(backfill-cli): exit 0 on success so pg pool doesn't block The cached postgres connection pool keeps the Node event loop open after main() returns. Explicit process.exit(0) on success mirrors the pattern in scripts/capture-baseline.ts. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisp@extrahop.com> Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
Chris Parsons	ad49d6246d	Fix CS Major simulator bugs and accuracy issues (#276) ... * Fix CS Major simulator bugs and accuracy issues (fixes #275) - Fix crash when pool teams are missing Elo ratings by including all participants with FALLBACK_ELO, ensuring Champions Stage always gets exactly 8 teams - Add AdvancedTeam type tracking losses-at-advancement; seed Champions Stage by stage performance (fewer losses = higher seed) instead of world rank alone - Promote decisive Stage 2 matches (either team at ≥2W or ≥2L) to Bo3, matching the real Challengers Stage format - Tie-split QP for QF losers (slots 5–8) and SF losers (slots 3–4) instead of assigning arbitrary individual placements - Change stage-complete threshold from === 8 to >= 8 for robustness - Validate even team count in simulateSwiss to prevent silent infinite loops - Short-circuit Monte Carlo loop when all events are complete, returning deterministic 0/1 probabilities - Parallelize stage results DB fetches with Promise.all - Export calcStage3ExitQP and simulateOneMajor; add test coverage for both, plus new simulateSwiss and simulateChampionsStage edge cases Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> * Fix oxlint violations in CS Major simulator - Replace non-null assertion (!) with null-safe guard in simulateOneMajor - Replace non-null assertions in test expectations with nullish coalescing - Move makeStage3QPConfig out of describe block (no captured variables) Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-07 17:28:24 -04:00
Chris Parsons	a71e256bfd	Add CS2 Major Qualifying Points simulator and stage management (#260) ... * Add CS2 Major qualifying points simulator Implements a full CS2 Major tournament simulator with: - 3-stage Swiss format (Opening Bo1, Elimination Bo1/Bo3, Decider all Bo3) + Champions Stage 8-team single-elimination (QF Bo3, SF Bo3, GF Bo5) - Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) accumulating QP across 2 majors/season - Sampled 24-team field per iteration: top 12 guaranteed, remaining weighted by 1/rank - Stage 3 exits (placements 9-16) sub-ranked by W-L record (2-3 > 1-3 > 0-3) - Stage assignments stored per-event so actual field composition drives simulation - Admin CS Elo form for entering team Elo + HLTV world rankings - Admin CS2 stage setup page for assigning teams to stages and tracking advancement - Database migration: cs2_major_qualifying_points enum value + cs2_major_stage_results table - 24 unit tests covering all exported pure functions https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR * Consolidate Elo + ranking input into generic elo-ratings page The darts-elo and cs-elo pages were unreachable from the admin nav, which always links to the generic elo-ratings page. Extended elo-ratings to conditionally show world ranking fields for simulator types that need it (darts_bracket, cs2_major_qualifying_points), then deleted the redundant sport-specific pages. https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR * Consolidate server postgres connections into one shared pool Four separate postgres() clients were open simultaneously (app, timer, snapshots, socket), each defaulting to 10 connections, exhausting the database's max_connections limit. Replaced with a single shared lazy- initialized client in server/db.ts using a Proxy to defer the DATABASE_URL check until first use (preserving test compatibility). Also bumps the CS2 Champions Stage stochastic test from 200 → 1000 iterations to eliminate flakiness. https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR * Fix and() bug and add Swiss loop safety guard - cs2-major-stage.ts: markCs2StageEliminations and setCs2FinalPlacements were using JS && instead of Drizzle and(), causing WHERE to filter only by participantId (not scoringEventId), which would update rows across all events instead of just the target event - cs-major-simulator.ts: add break guard in simulateSwiss while loop to prevent infinite loop if pairGroups returns no pairs https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR * Fix all remaining code review issues - cs2-major-stage.ts: use schema column reference for stageEliminated in markCs2StageEliminations instead of raw SQL string - cs-major-simulator.ts: simulateOneMajor now locks in known stage results when a stage is complete (8 recorded eliminations), only simulating the remaining stages during live events - admin event page: add CS2 Stage Setup button for cs2_major_qualifying_points simulator types; expose simulatorType in server loader type cast - cs2-setup.tsx: replace document.getElementById DOM manipulation with React state (eliminatedChecked map) for checkbox show/hide logic; remove unused stageMap and unassignedParticipants variables https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR * Fix oxlint errors: non-null assertions, sort→toSorted, unused vars - cs-major-simulator.ts: replace 5 non-null assertions (!) with safe optional chaining / if-guards; replace 6 .sort() with .toSorted() - cs2-major-stage.ts: remove unused `inArray` import - cs2-setup.tsx: remove unused `assignedIds` variable https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR * Fix flaky Champions Stage stochastic test The makeTeams(8) helper creates only a 70-pt Elo spread (1800→1730). With the Champions Stage bracket math this gives team-0 a ~19.6% win rate — right at the 0.2 threshold, causing the test to fail ~63% of the time in CI despite 1000 iterations. Use 100-pt steps (1800→1100) instead, giving team-0 a ~40% win rate and raising the assertion threshold to 0.25 for a clear safety margin. https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR --------- Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-05 16:40:05 -04:00