chrisp/brackt
1
1
Fork 0
Code Issues 42 Pull requests Projects Releases Packages Wiki Activity Actions
brackt/app/services
History
Chris Parsons 46a2e9c199
Tune NHL simulator: Vegas futures blending + parity factor calibration (closes #168) (#202) 
- Add 70/30 Elo + Vegas futures blending for per-game win probability,
  mirroring the UCL simulator pattern; falls back to Elo-only when no
  sourceOdds are stored in participantExpectedValues
- Adjust PARITY_FACTOR to better match Vegas championship implied
  probabilities (COL was ~12% vs ~20% market expectation)
- Add 15 unit tests covering name normalization, team data lookup,
  parity-factor math, seeding probability sanity, and eliminated-team checks

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-22 00:14:18 -07:00
..
__tests__ Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
simulations Tune NHL simulator: Vegas futures blending + parity factor calibration (closes #168) (#202) 2026-03-22 00:14:18 -07:00
standings-sync Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
bracket-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
discord.ts Refactor standings notifications to show only changed teams (#182) 2026-03-19 15:52:57 -07:00
ev-calculator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
icm-calculator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
probability-engine.ts feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
probability-updater.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00