brackt/app/services/simulations
Chris Parsons 46a2e9c199
Tune NHL simulator: Vegas futures blending + parity factor calibration (closes #168) (#202)
- Add 70/30 Elo + Vegas futures blending for per-game win probability,
  mirroring the UCL simulator pattern; falls back to Elo-only when no
  sourceOdds are stored in participantExpectedValues
- Adjust PARITY_FACTOR to better match Vegas championship implied
  probabilities (COL was ~12% vs ~20% market expectation)
- Add 15 unit tests covering name normalization, team data lookup,
  parity-factor math, seeding probability sanity, and eliminated-team checks

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-22 00:14:18 -07:00
..
__tests__ Tune NHL simulator: Vegas futures blending + parity factor calibration (closes #168) (#202) 2026-03-22 00:14:18 -07:00
auto-racing-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
bracket-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
golf-simulator.ts User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
nba-simulator.ts Simulate NBA remaining regular season games from standings (#201) 2026-03-21 23:37:20 -07:00
ncaam-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
ncaaw-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
nhl-simulator.ts Tune NHL simulator: Vegas futures blending + parity factor calibration (closes #168) (#202) 2026-03-22 00:14:18 -07:00
registry.ts Add NHL playoff simulator and fix simulator dropdown (#166) 2026-03-18 01:23:53 -07:00
types.ts User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
ucl-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00