brackt/app/services
Claude 88248e349c
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Fix futures odds being ignored when stale Elo exists
When an admin entered futures (preseason) odds for a season that already
had Elo ratings stored, the simulator kept using the old Elo and silently
ignored the new odds. This affected any Elo-based simulator (e.g. NHL).

Root cause: resolveSourceElos() ranks a direct sourceElo above the
sourceOdds -> convertFuturesToElo branch, but batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator()
only cleared the bracket-seeding `rating`/`ratingMethod` — never the stale
`sourceElo`/`sourceEloMethod`. A manually entered Elo (method "direct") is not
treated as generated, so it survived and short-circuited the resolver.

Fix:
- batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator now also nulls sourceElo and strips
  sourceEloMethod (both the pre-update and upsert-conflict paths), so the
  existing futures -> Elo conversion drives the run.
- resolveSourceElos' sourceOdds branch now guards for >= 2 participants
  (mirroring resolveRatings), so a lone-odds season falls through to the
  configured missing-Elo strategy instead of getting a flat ~1500.
- batchSaveSourceOdds clears the legacy EV sourceElo and marks source as
  futures_odds so the elo-ratings page won't resurrect a stale rating.

Adds unit coverage for odds-derived Elo, the single-participant guard, the
post-clear regression, generated-vs-direct sourceElo suppression, and the
new clearing behavior in batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01YNfUEd9RzD3zm84oLHBHUH
2026-06-25 17:43:31 +00:00
..
__tests__ Unify majors: score once, fan out across windows + tennis bracket EV 2026-06-22 20:32:22 -07:00
match-sync claude/great-lovelace-r3bznh (#88) 2026-06-12 22:35:35 +00:00
simulations Fix futures odds being ignored when stale Elo exists 2026-06-25 17:43:31 +00:00
standings-sync mlb fix (#87) 2026-06-12 04:09:51 +00:00
bracket-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
brackt.server.ts Add Brackt as a league-private meta-sport (#200) (#377) 2026-05-04 20:31:44 -07:00
discord.ts claude/discord-pick-notification-refactor-FeusJ (#58) 2026-05-29 16:24:22 +00:00
draft-autostart.ts Add auto-start draft at scheduled time (#437) (#438) 2026-05-16 23:37:29 -07:00
draft-discord.server.ts claude/discord-pick-notification-refactor-FeusJ (#58) 2026-05-29 16:24:22 +00:00
draft-email.server.ts Add draft email notifications feature (#459) 2026-05-20 15:35:43 -07:00
ev-calculator.ts fix: address VORP code review issues (#283) 2026-04-08 23:20:02 -04:00
icm-calculator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
probability-engine.ts Fix NCAAW futures odds simulation and admin import UX (#420) 2026-05-13 01:06:16 -07:00
probability-updater.ts Fix slow bracket save and stale projected points (#54) 2026-05-27 04:28:10 +00:00
sync-tournament-results.ts Unify majors: score once, fan out across windows + tennis bracket EV 2026-06-22 20:32:22 -07:00