brackt/app/services/simulations
Chris Parsons ad49d6246d
Fix CS Major simulator bugs and accuracy issues (#276)
* Fix CS Major simulator bugs and accuracy issues (fixes #275)

- Fix crash when pool teams are missing Elo ratings by including all
  participants with FALLBACK_ELO, ensuring Champions Stage always gets
  exactly 8 teams
- Add AdvancedTeam type tracking losses-at-advancement; seed Champions
  Stage by stage performance (fewer losses = higher seed) instead of
  world rank alone
- Promote decisive Stage 2 matches (either team at ≥2W or ≥2L) to Bo3,
  matching the real Challengers Stage format
- Tie-split QP for QF losers (slots 5–8) and SF losers (slots 3–4)
  instead of assigning arbitrary individual placements
- Change stage-complete threshold from === 8 to >= 8 for robustness
- Validate even team count in simulateSwiss to prevent silent infinite loops
- Short-circuit Monte Carlo loop when all events are complete, returning
  deterministic 0/1 probabilities
- Parallelize stage results DB fetches with Promise.all
- Export calcStage3ExitQP and simulateOneMajor; add test coverage for
  both, plus new simulateSwiss and simulateChampionsStage edge cases

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Fix oxlint violations in CS Major simulator

- Replace non-null assertion (!) with null-safe guard in simulateOneMajor
- Replace non-null assertions in test expectations with nullish coalescing
- Move makeStage3QPConfig out of describe block (no captured variables)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-07 17:28:24 -04:00
..
__tests__ Fix CS Major simulator bugs and accuracy issues (#276) 2026-04-07 17:28:24 -04:00
afl-simulator.ts Add AFL season + finals simulator (closes #126) (#204) 2026-03-22 01:57:39 -07:00
auto-racing-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
bracket-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
cs-major-simulator.ts Fix CS Major simulator bugs and accuracy issues (#276) 2026-04-07 17:28:24 -04:00
darts-simulator.ts Add PDC World Darts Championship simulator with Elo-based bracket (#248) 2026-03-31 15:37:28 -07:00
golf-simulator.ts Add golf qualifying points simulator (Plackett-Luce Monte Carlo) (#223) 2026-03-24 21:46:02 -07:00
mlb-simulator.ts Rework MLB simulator: RDif-based matchup probs, 2026 data, fixes #227 (#228) 2026-03-25 19:05:12 -07:00
nba-simulator.ts Simulate NBA remaining regular season games from standings (#201) 2026-03-21 23:37:20 -07:00
ncaam-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
ncaaw-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
nfl-simulator.ts Add NFL season + playoffs Monte Carlo simulator (#272) 2026-04-07 09:39:34 -04:00
nhl-simulator.ts Tune NHL simulator: Vegas futures blending + parity factor calibration (closes #168) (#202) 2026-03-22 00:14:18 -07:00
registry.ts Add NFL season + playoffs Monte Carlo simulator (#272) 2026-04-07 09:39:34 -04:00
snooker-simulator.ts Add snooker bracket simulator and Elo ratings admin UI, fixes #119 2026-03-23 08:24:28 -07:00
tennis-simulator.ts Add tennis Grand Slam simulator with surface Elo ratings, fixes #116 (#216) 2026-03-23 23:59:35 -07:00
types.ts User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
ucl-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
wnba-simulator.ts Add WNBA playoff simulator with SRS-based Elo ratings, fixes #125 (#231) 2026-03-26 00:34:51 -07:00
world-cup-simulator.ts Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00