brackt/app/services/simulations
Claude d240cd5d94
Fix flaky Champions Stage stochastic test
The makeTeams(8) helper creates only a 70-pt Elo spread (1800→1730).
With the Champions Stage bracket math this gives team-0 a ~19.6% win
rate — right at the 0.2 threshold, causing the test to fail ~63% of
the time in CI despite 1000 iterations.

Use 100-pt steps (1800→1100) instead, giving team-0 a ~40% win rate
and raising the assertion threshold to 0.25 for a clear safety margin.

https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR
2026-04-05 20:35:48 +00:00
..
__tests__ Fix flaky Champions Stage stochastic test 2026-04-05 20:35:48 +00:00
afl-simulator.ts Add AFL season + finals simulator (closes #126) (#204) 2026-03-22 01:57:39 -07:00
auto-racing-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
bracket-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
cs-major-simulator.ts Fix oxlint errors: non-null assertions, sort→toSorted, unused vars 2026-04-05 20:26:20 +00:00
darts-simulator.ts Add PDC World Darts Championship simulator with Elo-based bracket (#248) 2026-03-31 15:37:28 -07:00
golf-simulator.ts Add golf qualifying points simulator (Plackett-Luce Monte Carlo) (#223) 2026-03-24 21:46:02 -07:00
mlb-simulator.ts Rework MLB simulator: RDif-based matchup probs, 2026 data, fixes #227 (#228) 2026-03-25 19:05:12 -07:00
nba-simulator.ts Simulate NBA remaining regular season games from standings (#201) 2026-03-21 23:37:20 -07:00
ncaam-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
ncaaw-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
nhl-simulator.ts Tune NHL simulator: Vegas futures blending + parity factor calibration (closes #168) (#202) 2026-03-22 00:14:18 -07:00
registry.ts Add CS2 Major qualifying points simulator 2026-04-05 02:47:33 +00:00
snooker-simulator.ts Add snooker bracket simulator and Elo ratings admin UI, fixes #119 2026-03-23 08:24:28 -07:00
tennis-simulator.ts Add tennis Grand Slam simulator with surface Elo ratings, fixes #116 (#216) 2026-03-23 23:59:35 -07:00
types.ts User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
ucl-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
wnba-simulator.ts Add WNBA playoff simulator with SRS-based Elo ratings, fixes #125 (#231) 2026-03-26 00:34:51 -07:00
world-cup-simulator.ts Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00