d5c39d3270
With the actual PDC field (top players clustered 1800–1970 Elo, Littler at ~2080), ELO_DIVISOR=400 made the gap between world #1 and the top 8 too soft — EV for Littler came out ~37 instead of the expected 65–70. ELO_DIVISOR=200 calibrates correctly for this field: a 100-pt gap now gives ~62% per-set win probability (vs ~56% at 400), sharply rewarding the best players while still allowing upsets. Littler at 2084 produces EV ≈ 65–70 against the real PDC tour roster. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> |
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| .. | ||
| __tests__ | ||
| simulations | ||
| standings-sync | ||
| bracket-simulator.ts | ||
| discord.ts | ||
| ev-calculator.ts | ||
| icm-calculator.ts | ||
| probability-engine.ts | ||
| probability-updater.ts | ||