chrisp/brackt
1
1
Fork 0
Code Issues 42 Pull requests Projects Releases Packages Wiki Activity Actions
brackt/app/services/simulations
History
Chris Parsons f3af6b424e fix: lower darts ELO_DIVISOR to 400 and fallback Elo to 1400 
ELO_DIVISOR 500 → 400: elite darts is more skill-dominated than the
previous setting implied. A 400-point gap now gives ~78% per-set win
probability (vs ~73% before).

fallbackElo 1600 → 1400: unseeded PDC World Championship entrants
(regional qualifiers, Q-School players) are materially weaker than
seeded tour professionals. 1400 better reflects that gap.

Combined effect: a dominant player (e.g. 2000 Elo vs 1400-1600 field)
now produces EV ≈ 65 instead of ≈ 30, which better matches expectations
for a top-ranked player in a 128-player bracket.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-09 04:06:50 +00:00
..
__tests__ fix: lower darts ELO_DIVISOR to 400 and fallback Elo to 1400 2026-04-09 04:06:50 +00:00
afl-simulator.ts Add AFL season + finals simulator (closes #126) (#204) 2026-03-22 01:57:39 -07:00
auto-racing-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
bracket-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
cs-major-simulator.ts Fix CS Major simulator bugs and accuracy issues (#276) 2026-04-07 17:28:24 -04:00
darts-simulator.ts fix: lower darts ELO_DIVISOR to 400 and fallback Elo to 1400 2026-04-09 04:06:50 +00:00
golf-simulator.ts Add golf qualifying points simulator (Plackett-Luce Monte Carlo) (#223) 2026-03-24 21:46:02 -07:00
llws-simulator.ts Add LLWS bracket Monte Carlo simulator (#280) 2026-04-08 16:52:10 -04:00
mlb-simulator.ts Rework MLB simulator: RDif-based matchup probs, 2026 data, fixes #227 (#228) 2026-03-25 19:05:12 -07:00
nba-simulator.ts Simulate NBA remaining regular season games from standings (#201) 2026-03-21 23:37:20 -07:00
ncaa-football-simulator.ts Add NCAA Football CFP simulator (12-team bracket) (#278) 2026-04-08 09:48:32 -04:00
ncaam-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
ncaaw-simulator.ts Replace console.* with structured logger, fix no-inferrable-types (closes #98) (#199) 2026-03-21 13:41:39 -07:00
nfl-simulator.ts Add NFL season + playoffs Monte Carlo simulator (#272) 2026-04-07 09:39:34 -04:00
nhl-simulator.ts Fix NHL simulator seeding bugs and code quality issues (#281) 2026-04-08 21:33:33 -04:00
registry.ts Add LLWS bracket Monte Carlo simulator (#280) 2026-04-08 16:52:10 -04:00
snooker-simulator.ts Add snooker bracket simulator and Elo ratings admin UI, fixes #119 2026-03-23 08:24:28 -07:00
tennis-simulator.ts Add tennis Grand Slam simulator with surface Elo ratings, fixes #116 (#216) 2026-03-23 23:59:35 -07:00
types.ts User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
ucl-simulator.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
wnba-simulator.ts Add WNBA playoff simulator with SRS-based Elo ratings, fixes #125 (#231) 2026-03-26 00:34:51 -07:00
world-cup-simulator.ts Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00