- Added loader and action functions for managing expected values in sports seasons.
- Implemented UI for recalculating probabilities based on participant results.
- Created a service to update probabilities after results are finalized, including handling finished and unfinished participants.
- Developed tests for the probability updater service to ensure correct functionality.
- Introduced a preview feature to show potential changes before applying updates.
Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model
for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds.
## Key Features
### ICM Probability Calculator
- Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities
- Converts American odds to championship probabilities
- Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants
- Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams
- Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8)
### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry
- Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures
- Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions
- Displays all 8 placement probabilities
- Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits
- Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig)
### Database Schema Updates
- Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id
- Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons
- Added source_odds field to store original futures odds
- Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update
- Migration 0026: Add source_odds field
### Model Layer
- participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions
- Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation)
- Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules
- Probability validation and normalization
### Service Layer
- icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution
- probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use)
- bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach)
- ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities
## Technical Details
- Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams
- Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions
- Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower)
- All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid
- Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing
## Future Enhancements
- Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs
- Integration with league-specific scoring rules
- Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis
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Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Added recharts dependency to package.json for data visualization.
- Implemented PointProgressionChart component to display team point progression over time.
- Updated scoring-system.md to reflect completion of historical views and added implementation notes.
- Created unit tests for PointProgressionChart to ensure correct rendering and data handling.
- Developed season completion detection and percentage calculation functions in season-helpers.server.ts.
- Added tests for season completion logic and point progression data formatting.
- Enhanced league loader to fetch necessary data for current season and teams.
- Created `TeamScoreBreakdown` component to display all drafted participants, their placements, and points.
- Added new route for team breakdown at `/leagues/:leagueId/standings/:seasonId/teams/:teamId`.
- Enhanced `getTeamScoreBreakdown` model to include `sportsSeasonId` for grouping.
- Updated `StandingsTable` to include clickable team name links.
- Added functionality to finalize brackets in playoff events, including error handling and recalculating standings.
- Implemented tests for `TeamScoreBreakdown` component to ensure proper rendering and functionality.
- Updated routing to support new team breakdown feature and ensure seamless navigation.
- Added a new route for league standings: `/leagues/:leagueId/standings/:seasonId`
- Implemented the `StandingsTable` component to display team standings with ranking, points, and placement breakdown.
- Integrated tiebreaker logic for ranking teams based on total points and placements.
- Enhanced the league home page with a link to view standings.
- Updated scoring system documentation to reflect the new standings features.
- Added comprehensive tests for tiebreaker logic and `StandingsTable` component.
- Created shared types for standings to be used in both server and client code.
- Added `QualifyingPointsStandings` component to display standings based on qualifying points.
- Introduced scoring rules and projected points calculation for participants.
- Implemented tie handling for rankings and displayed appropriate UI elements based on finalization status.
- Created tests for qualifying points configuration, accumulation logic, ranking logic, and scoring workflow.
- Developed scoring calculator tests to validate fantasy points conversion from qualifying points.
- Established qualifying points management functions including initialization, retrieval, updating, and resetting of points.
- Introduced `generateStandardSeeding()` function to create proper tournament matchups (e.g., 1v16, 8v9).
- Added comprehensive tests for 4, 8, 16, and 32-team brackets to ensure correct seeding and balance.
- Updated testing instructions to reflect new features and improvements in bracket generation.
- Fixed issues with sequential seeding and ensured all matchups sum to n+1 for balance.
- Implemented batch winner selection and duplicate participant prevention for improved user experience.
- Enhanced fantasy points display on event pages for better visibility of participant results.
- Added a comprehensive plan for bracket expansion, including support for 4, 8, 16, 32, and 68 team formats.
- Introduced a template-based bracket system with predefined templates for NCAA March Madness, NFL Playoffs, NBA Playoffs, and simple brackets.
- Updated UI flow for bracket creation, allowing admins to select templates and assign participants flexibly.
- Enhanced database schema to accommodate new scoring rules and bracket templates.
- Proposed updates to scoring logic to handle non-scoring rounds and participant placements correctly.
- Documented implementation phases for gradual rollout of new features.
- Addressed critical bugs in the playoff event processing and scoring logic, ensuring proper advancement and scoring rules across multiple leagues.
- Created ScoringRulesEditor component with 8 placement point inputs
- Added scoring-types.ts for shared client/server types
- Integrated scoring rules into league settings page
- Integrated scoring rules into league creation form
- Added validation for point values (0-1000 range)
- Disabled editing in settings after draft starts
- Included helpful tips and preview display
Phase 1.3 complete
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Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
The timer system runs outside the request context and uses its own database
connection. This fix allows isParticipantDrafted to accept an optional db
parameter so it works in both request handlers and timer contexts.
Fixes: DatabaseContext not set error during autopick
- Created draft eligibility calculation logic in `app/lib/draft-eligibility.ts`
- Added interfaces for sport availability and draft eligibility
- Implemented `calculateDraftEligibility` function to determine eligible sports based on team picks and global availability
- Developed `getEligibilitySummary` function for human-readable eligibility status
- Updated API endpoints to validate eligibility before making picks
- Enhanced frontend draft room UI to reflect eligibility status and provide visual indicators for ineligible participants
- Comprehensive implementation summary and testing documentation added
- All changes type-checked and unit tests passed successfully
