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brackt/app/services/simulations/__tests__
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Chris Parsons 0b53570723
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Fix MLB simulator: use projected wins for playoff seeding + perf + cleanup 
- Replace hardcoded FanGraphs p_div/p_wc draws with Binomial regular-season
  simulation so that admin-entered projected wins drive playoff qualification
  odds, not just in-bracket game win probability
- Add getRegularSeasonStandings call so mid-season current wins feed into
  projected final standings
- Use normal approximation (Box-Muller) in sampleBinomial for n≥30: drops
  seeding phase from ~243M to ~3M Math.random() calls per 50K-sim run
- eloToRDif now calls rawWinRateFromElo instead of inlining the same formula
- Warn when recognized teams lack a standings row during mid-season simulation
  (silent wrong seeding result with no diagnostic previously)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 11:55:24 -07:00
..
afl-simulator.test.ts Add projected-wins input mode to admin Elo Ratings page (#306) 2026-04-17 12:40:08 -07:00
brackt-simulator.test.ts Add Brackt as a league-private meta-sport (#200) (#377) 2026-05-04 20:31:44 -07:00
college-hockey-simulator.test.ts Fix college hockey bracket resolution (#396) 2026-05-08 12:29:39 -07:00
cs-major-simulator.test.ts Add not-participating exclusion support for event results (#446) 2026-05-19 11:13:32 -07:00
darts-simulator.test.ts Fix simulator correctness bugs and reduce test iteration counts (#61) 2026-05-31 17:39:43 +00:00
epl-simulator.test.ts Fix simulator correctness bugs and reduce test iteration counts (#61) 2026-05-31 17:39:43 +00:00
golf-simulator.test.ts Add not-participating exclusion support for event results (#446) 2026-05-19 11:13:32 -07:00
input-policy.test.ts Fix EPL simulator parity config (#421) 2026-05-13 15:02:23 -07:00
llws-simulator.test.ts Fix MLB standings 406 error and refactor ESPN adapter shared code (#62) 2026-06-01 03:31:18 +00:00
manifest.test.ts Fix EPL simulator parity config (#421) 2026-05-13 15:02:23 -07:00
mlb-simulator.test.ts Fix MLB simulator: use projected wins for playoff seeding + perf + cleanup 2026-06-01 11:55:24 -07:00
mls-simulator.test.ts Add MLS standings sync and fix simulator conference resolution (#423) 2026-05-14 15:39:40 -07:00
nba-simulator.test.ts fix: NBA play-in bracket advancement bugs (#292) 2026-04-12 22:25:32 -07:00
ncaa-football-simulator.test.ts Add NCAA Football CFP simulator (12-team bracket) (#278) 2026-04-08 09:48:32 -04:00
ncaam-simulator.test.ts Upgrade NCAA preseason simulators (#419) 2026-05-12 22:26:25 -07:00
ncaaw-simulator.test.ts Upgrade NCAA preseason simulators (#419) 2026-05-12 22:26:25 -07:00
nfl-simulator.test.ts Add NFL season + playoffs Monte Carlo simulator (#272) 2026-04-07 09:39:34 -04:00
nhl-simulator.test.ts Fix simulator brackets: NHL bracket-aware mode, MLB/NBA/WNBA sourceElo support (#358) 2026-04-30 08:33:57 -07:00
nll-simulator.test.ts Add NLL box lacrosse simulator implementation plan and preseason-draftability guidance (#417) 2026-05-12 14:22:34 -07:00
runner.test.ts Hide completed seasons in admin tools (#418) 2026-05-12 16:52:26 -07:00
simulator-config.test.ts Fix college hockey bracket resolution (#396) 2026-05-08 12:29:39 -07:00
snooker-simulator.test.ts Add snooker bracket simulator and Elo ratings admin UI, fixes #119 2026-03-23 08:24:28 -07:00
tennis-simulator.test.ts Add not-participating exclusion support for event results (#446) 2026-05-19 11:13:32 -07:00
ucl-simulator.test.ts Fix oxlint warnings: no-shadow, consistent-function-scoping, no-non-null-assertion, and others (#196) 2026-03-21 10:59:51 -07:00
wnba-simulator.test.ts Fix simulator brackets: NHL bracket-aware mode, MLB/NBA/WNBA sourceElo support (#358) 2026-04-30 08:33:57 -07:00
world-cup-simulator.test.ts Fix simulator correctness bugs and reduce test iteration counts (#61) 2026-05-31 17:39:43 +00:00