brackt/drizzle
Chris Parsons a71e256bfd
Add CS2 Major Qualifying Points simulator and stage management (#260)
* Add CS2 Major qualifying points simulator

Implements a full CS2 Major tournament simulator with:
- 3-stage Swiss format (Opening Bo1, Elimination Bo1/Bo3, Decider all Bo3)
  + Champions Stage 8-team single-elimination (QF Bo3, SF Bo3, GF Bo5)
- Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) accumulating QP across 2 majors/season
- Sampled 24-team field per iteration: top 12 guaranteed, remaining weighted by 1/rank
- Stage 3 exits (placements 9-16) sub-ranked by W-L record (2-3 > 1-3 > 0-3)
- Stage assignments stored per-event so actual field composition drives simulation
- Admin CS Elo form for entering team Elo + HLTV world rankings
- Admin CS2 stage setup page for assigning teams to stages and tracking advancement
- Database migration: cs2_major_qualifying_points enum value + cs2_major_stage_results table
- 24 unit tests covering all exported pure functions

https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR

* Consolidate Elo + ranking input into generic elo-ratings page

The darts-elo and cs-elo pages were unreachable from the admin nav,
which always links to the generic elo-ratings page. Extended elo-ratings
to conditionally show world ranking fields for simulator types that need
it (darts_bracket, cs2_major_qualifying_points), then deleted the
redundant sport-specific pages.

https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR

* Consolidate server postgres connections into one shared pool

Four separate postgres() clients were open simultaneously (app, timer,
snapshots, socket), each defaulting to 10 connections, exhausting the
database's max_connections limit. Replaced with a single shared lazy-
initialized client in server/db.ts using a Proxy to defer the
DATABASE_URL check until first use (preserving test compatibility).

Also bumps the CS2 Champions Stage stochastic test from 200 → 1000
iterations to eliminate flakiness.

https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR

* Fix and() bug and add Swiss loop safety guard

- cs2-major-stage.ts: markCs2StageEliminations and setCs2FinalPlacements
  were using JS && instead of Drizzle and(), causing WHERE to filter only
  by participantId (not scoringEventId), which would update rows across
  all events instead of just the target event
- cs-major-simulator.ts: add break guard in simulateSwiss while loop to
  prevent infinite loop if pairGroups returns no pairs

https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR

* Fix all remaining code review issues

- cs2-major-stage.ts: use schema column reference for stageEliminated
  in markCs2StageEliminations instead of raw SQL string
- cs-major-simulator.ts: simulateOneMajor now locks in known stage
  results when a stage is complete (8 recorded eliminations), only
  simulating the remaining stages during live events
- admin event page: add CS2 Stage Setup button for cs2_major_qualifying_points
  simulator types; expose simulatorType in server loader type cast
- cs2-setup.tsx: replace document.getElementById DOM manipulation with
  React state (eliminatedChecked map) for checkbox show/hide logic;
  remove unused stageMap and unassignedParticipants variables

https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR

* Fix oxlint errors: non-null assertions, sort→toSorted, unused vars

- cs-major-simulator.ts: replace 5 non-null assertions (!) with safe
  optional chaining / if-guards; replace 6 .sort() with .toSorted()
- cs2-major-stage.ts: remove unused `inArray` import
- cs2-setup.tsx: remove unused `assignedIds` variable

https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR

* Fix flaky Champions Stage stochastic test

The makeTeams(8) helper creates only a 70-pt Elo spread (1800→1730).
With the Champions Stage bracket math this gives team-0 a ~19.6% win
rate — right at the 0.2 threshold, causing the test to fail ~63% of
the time in CI despite 1000 iterations.

Use 100-pt steps (1800→1100) instead, giving team-0 a ~40% win rate
and raising the assertion threshold to 0.25 for a clear safety margin.

https://claude.ai/code/session_019w21Nkf5TvTZHH6oVHaQXR

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-05 16:40:05 -04:00
..
meta Add CS2 Major Qualifying Points simulator and stage management (#260) 2026-04-05 16:40:05 -04:00
0000_short_donald_blake.sql Initial commit from create-react-router 2025-10-10 23:04:50 -07:00
0001_serious_la_nuit.sql feat: add fantasy league schema and new league routes 2025-10-11 00:07:39 -07:00
0002_tired_iron_man.sql feat: add commissioner model and league management features 2025-10-11 00:29:04 -07:00
0003_public_shadowcat.sql feat: add user model, routes, and Clerk webhook integration 2025-10-11 00:53:39 -07:00
0004_spicy_zarda.sql feat: add user model, routes, and Clerk webhook integration 2025-10-11 00:53:39 -07:00
0005_abnormal_thunderbird.sql refactor: remove guest book feature and update league settings success flow 2025-10-11 01:03:31 -07:00
0006_needy_junta.sql feat: add current season tracking and active league listing by user 2025-10-11 21:10:01 -07:00
0007_pink_nebula.sql feat: add sports and participant models with admin user functionality 2025-10-12 21:16:00 -07:00
0008_salty_trauma.sql feat: add icon support for sports with file upload and active seasons display 2025-10-13 10:30:47 -07:00
0009_fuzzy_korvac.sql refactor: remove isRequired field from season sports and templates 2025-10-13 15:00:59 -07:00
0010_complex_the_stranger.sql feat: add invite code system for league seasons with member access control 2025-10-14 12:20:36 -07:00
0011_gifted_mystique.sql feat: add username field to users and display in league views 2025-10-14 21:20:58 -07:00
0012_yielding_phil_sheldon.sql feat: add team settings route and logo URL field to teams table 2025-10-14 22:04:37 -07:00
0013_pink_the_order.sql feat: add draft order management with UI for manual and random ordering 2025-10-15 08:58:35 -07:00
0014_lowly_gateway.sql feat: add bulk participant creation and expected value field 2025-10-15 21:21:33 -07:00
0015_exotic_loners.sql feat: add draft rounds configuration to league settings 2025-10-15 21:50:02 -07:00
0016_majestic_roulette.sql feat: add draft date/time selection to league creation and settings 2025-10-15 22:02:21 -07:00
0017_calm_zarda.sql feat: add draft pick, queue, and timer models with database schema updates 2025-10-16 00:32:48 -07:00
0018_numerous_stardust.sql feat: add public draft board and simplify draft speed settings 2025-10-20 15:03:11 -07:00
0019_acoustic_ben_grimm.sql feat: add autodraft status and team connection indicators to draft grid 2025-10-21 23:22:17 -07:00
0020_slim_spacker_dave.sql feat: Add comprehensive scoring system database schema 2025-10-28 23:40:11 -07:00
0021_fair_ser_duncan.sql feat: Implement bracket expansion plan to support various tournament structures 2025-11-03 09:36:16 -08:00
0022_shiny_mother_askani.sql feat: Implement bracket expansion plan to support various tournament structures 2025-11-03 09:36:16 -08:00
0023_cynical_jack_power.sql Refactor code structure for improved readability and maintainability 2025-11-03 13:16:37 -08:00
0024_faithful_mesmero.sql feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
0025_rename_participant_ev_season_to_sports_season.sql feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
0026_add_source_odds_to_participant_ev.sql feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
0027_add_projected_points_to_team_standings.sql feat: add FIFA World Cup 48-team bracket template with group stage and projected scoring 2026-02-14 22:30:12 -08:00
0028_add_tournament_groups.sql feat: add FIFA World Cup 48-team bracket template with group stage and projected scoring 2026-02-14 22:30:12 -08:00
0029_change_participant_ev_to_decimal.sql Change participant expectedValue from integer to decimal (#1) 2026-02-19 11:26:40 -08:00
0030_add_draft_picks_unique_slot.sql fix: harden draft timer system with race-condition safety and DRY refactor (#34) 2026-02-23 23:23:24 -08:00
0031_add_autodraft_queue_only.sql Claude/redesign autodraft queue c4 kp r (#40) 2026-02-27 22:16:26 -08:00
0032_consolidate_playoff_pattern.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0033_add_schedule_event_type.sql fix: add statement-breakpoint to schedule_event enum migration (#86) 2026-03-07 22:45:59 -08:00
0034_add_ev_snapshots.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0035_increase_prob_precision.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0036_increase_ev_precision.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0037_add_simulator_type_to_sports.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0038_sad_wilson_fisk.sql feat: progressive floor scoring for playoff brackets (#100) 2026-03-10 10:27:58 -07:00
0039_add_ucl_bracket_simulator_type.sql Fix bad migration. 2026-03-11 14:38:45 -07:00
0040_fat_puma.sql Found it in a second spot. 2026-03-11 14:47:19 -07:00
0041_great_magma.sql Add event_starts_at timestamp to scoring events for sub-day ordering (#146) 2026-03-15 10:22:42 -07:00
0042_migrate_event_date_to_starts_at.sql Add event_starts_at timestamp to scoring events for sub-day ordering (#146) 2026-03-15 10:22:42 -07:00
0043_demonic_vanisher.sql Add per-event configurable region config for NCAA-style brackets (#149) (#149) 2026-03-15 21:52:47 -07:00
0044_add_ncaam_bracket_simulator_type.sql Add NCAAM and NCAAW bracket Monte Carlo simulators (#150) 2026-03-15 23:31:47 -07:00
0045_add_ncaaw_bracket_simulator_type.sql Add NCAAM and NCAAW bracket Monte Carlo simulators (#150) 2026-03-15 23:31:47 -07:00
0046_add_nba_bracket_simulator_type.sql Add NBA playoff bracket Monte Carlo simulator (#154) 2026-03-16 21:43:39 -07:00
0047_fix_nba_bracket_simulator_type.sql Fix NBA simulator missing from dropdown and enum not applied to prod DB 2026-03-16 22:18:50 -07:00
0048_eager_songbird.sql Add Discord webhook notifications for standings updates (#157) 2026-03-17 11:16:36 -07:00
0048_mean_enchantress.sql Partial bracket scoring, code review fixes, and double-chance logic (#156) 2026-03-17 10:50:30 -07:00
0049_add_admin_picked_by_type.sql Grant sitewide admins commissioner-level access in leagues (#162) 2026-03-18 00:41:56 -07:00
0050_chief_peter_quill.sql Add NHL playoff simulator and fix simulator dropdown (#166) 2026-03-18 01:23:53 -07:00
0051_add_standings_snapshot_unique_index.sql Fix standings snapshot upsert: atomic writes, correct date, and event-driven updates (#177) 2026-03-18 22:15:28 -07:00
0052_new_warbird.sql Fix migration 2026-03-18 22:54:01 -07:00
0053_smooth_kingpin.sql Add standard draft clock mode (#67) (#189) 2026-03-20 21:36:39 -07:00
0054_massive_vulcan.sql Add regular season standings for NBA/NHL (fixes #89) (#192) 2026-03-21 00:12:01 -07:00
0055_special_vampiro.sql Add regular season standings for NBA/NHL (fixes #89) (#192) 2026-03-21 00:12:01 -07:00
0056_jittery_the_fallen.sql Add AFL season + finals simulator (closes #126) (#204) 2026-03-22 01:57:39 -07:00
0057_cultured_doctor_doom.sql Add snooker bracket simulator and Elo ratings admin UI, fixes #119 2026-03-23 08:24:28 -07:00
0058_add_unique_participant_ev.sql Add snooker bracket simulator and Elo ratings admin UI, fixes #119 2026-03-23 08:24:28 -07:00
0059_mysterious_jack_murdock.sql Add tennis Grand Slam simulator with surface Elo ratings, fixes #116 (#216) 2026-03-23 23:59:35 -07:00
0060_omniscient_outlaw_kid.sql Add tennis Grand Slam simulator with surface Elo ratings, fixes #116 (#216) 2026-03-23 23:59:35 -07:00
0061_violet_mephistopheles.sql Add golf qualifying points simulator (Plackett-Luce Monte Carlo) (#223) 2026-03-24 21:46:02 -07:00
0062_add_mlb_bracket_simulator_type.sql Add MLB playoff simulator with AL/NL division standings, fixes #121 (#225) 2026-03-25 08:47:02 -07:00
0063_bored_ultimo.sql Add WNBA playoff simulator with SRS-based Elo ratings, fixes #125 (#231) 2026-03-26 00:34:51 -07:00
0064_fuzzy_wolfsbane.sql Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00
0065_kind_mantis.sql Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00
0066_stiff_siren.sql Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00
0067_darts_bracket.sql Add PDC World Darts Championship simulator with Elo-based bracket (#248) 2026-03-31 15:37:28 -07:00
0068_cs2_major_simulator.sql Add CS2 Major Qualifying Points simulator and stage management (#260) 2026-04-05 16:40:05 -04:00