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Chris Parsons c097e4827c
Add MLS sport simulator (mls_bracket) (#422) 
* Add MLS sport simulator (mls_bracket)

Adds Major League Soccer as a draftable sport with a full-season Monte Carlo
simulator. Models both preseason regular-season projection (34 games across
Eastern and Western conferences) and the MLS Cup Playoffs bracket, including
the Wild Card (single game + PKs), Round 1 best-of-3 series, Conference
Semis/Finals (single game), and MLS Cup.

P1–P8 mapping: MLS Cup winner, finalist, Conference Finals losers, Conference
Semifinals losers. Conference assignment reads from regularSeasonStandings.conference
or falls back to the region simulator input ("Eastern"/"Western").

Admin inputs: projectedTablePoints (primary, max 102 for 34×3), with derivation
chain to sourceElo via existing input-policy; sourceOdds as alternative.
No hardcoded team data — all inputs are admin-managed per season.

- database/schema.ts: add mls_bracket to simulatorTypeEnum
- drizzle/0104_chief_boom_boom.sql: migration for the new enum value
- mls-simulator.ts: MLSSimulator + exported pure helpers for testability
- registry.ts / manifest.ts / simulator-config.ts: register mls_bracket
- mls-simulator.test.ts: 38 unit tests covering all helpers and sync checks

https://claude.ai/code/session_015wkBJ3SYGcMGjsddKKGkwa

* Fix MLS simulator: config loading, sourceOdds fallback, normalization

Three issues found in code review comparing against EPL and NFL simulators:

1. Load simulator config from DB via getSportsSeasonSimulatorConfig so
   admins can override iterations, seasonGames, parityFactor, drawRates
   per season without code changes. Previously all constants were hardcoded.

2. Add sourceOdds → convertFuturesToElo fallback when no sourceElo is
   present. EPL and NFL both do this; MLS was throwing immediately instead
   of attempting the odds conversion that the manifest declares as optional.

3. Call normalizeSimulationResultColumns before returning results, matching
   EPL's local normalization pattern for consistency (runner also normalizes
   globally, but EPL calls it locally too).

https://claude.ai/code/session_015wkBJ3SYGcMGjsddKKGkwa

* Polish MLS simulator: configNumber zero, logger warning, Map lookup

Three small fixes from secondary code review:

1. configNumber: allow value >= 0 (not just > 0) so admins can
   legitimately set baseDrawRate or drawDecay to 0 without the value
   being silently discarded and replaced with the default.

2. Add logger.warn when a participant is excluded from simulation due
   to a missing Elo rating, matching the NLL bracket-aware pattern.
   Gives admins a visible signal instead of a silent exclusion.

3. getBySeeds: build a Map once instead of calling Array.find() per
   seed. Eliminates 4M linear scans across 50k iterations for a 9-
   element array — trivially fast either way, but Map is the right tool.

https://claude.ai/code/session_015wkBJ3SYGcMGjsddKKGkwa

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-14 12:45:53 -07:00
..
meta Add MLS sport simulator (mls_bracket) (#422) 2026-05-14 12:45:53 -07:00
0000_short_donald_blake.sql
0001_serious_la_nuit.sql feat: add fantasy league schema and new league routes 2025-10-11 00:07:39 -07:00
0002_tired_iron_man.sql feat: add commissioner model and league management features 2025-10-11 00:29:04 -07:00
0003_public_shadowcat.sql feat: add user model, routes, and Clerk webhook integration 2025-10-11 00:53:39 -07:00
0004_spicy_zarda.sql feat: add user model, routes, and Clerk webhook integration 2025-10-11 00:53:39 -07:00
0005_abnormal_thunderbird.sql refactor: remove guest book feature and update league settings success flow 2025-10-11 01:03:31 -07:00
0006_needy_junta.sql feat: add current season tracking and active league listing by user 2025-10-11 21:10:01 -07:00
0007_pink_nebula.sql feat: add sports and participant models with admin user functionality 2025-10-12 21:16:00 -07:00
0008_salty_trauma.sql feat: add icon support for sports with file upload and active seasons display 2025-10-13 10:30:47 -07:00
0009_fuzzy_korvac.sql refactor: remove isRequired field from season sports and templates 2025-10-13 15:00:59 -07:00
0010_complex_the_stranger.sql feat: add invite code system for league seasons with member access control 2025-10-14 12:20:36 -07:00
0011_gifted_mystique.sql feat: add username field to users and display in league views 2025-10-14 21:20:58 -07:00
0012_yielding_phil_sheldon.sql feat: add team settings route and logo URL field to teams table 2025-10-14 22:04:37 -07:00
0013_pink_the_order.sql feat: add draft order management with UI for manual and random ordering 2025-10-15 08:58:35 -07:00
0014_lowly_gateway.sql feat: add bulk participant creation and expected value field 2025-10-15 21:21:33 -07:00
0015_exotic_loners.sql feat: add draft rounds configuration to league settings 2025-10-15 21:50:02 -07:00
0016_majestic_roulette.sql feat: add draft date/time selection to league creation and settings 2025-10-15 22:02:21 -07:00
0017_calm_zarda.sql feat: add draft pick, queue, and timer models with database schema updates 2025-10-16 00:32:48 -07:00
0018_numerous_stardust.sql feat: add public draft board and simplify draft speed settings 2025-10-20 15:03:11 -07:00
0019_acoustic_ben_grimm.sql feat: add autodraft status and team connection indicators to draft grid 2025-10-21 23:22:17 -07:00
0020_slim_spacker_dave.sql feat: Add comprehensive scoring system database schema 2025-10-28 23:40:11 -07:00
0021_fair_ser_duncan.sql feat: Implement bracket expansion plan to support various tournament structures 2025-11-03 09:36:16 -08:00
0022_shiny_mother_askani.sql feat: Implement bracket expansion plan to support various tournament structures 2025-11-03 09:36:16 -08:00
0023_cynical_jack_power.sql Refactor code structure for improved readability and maintainability 2025-11-03 13:16:37 -08:00
0024_faithful_mesmero.sql feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
0025_rename_participant_ev_season_to_sports_season.sql feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
0026_add_source_odds_to_participant_ev.sql feat: implement Expected Value System with ICM probability calculator 2025-11-17 22:19:46 -08:00
0027_add_projected_points_to_team_standings.sql feat: add FIFA World Cup 48-team bracket template with group stage and projected scoring 2026-02-14 22:30:12 -08:00
0028_add_tournament_groups.sql feat: add FIFA World Cup 48-team bracket template with group stage and projected scoring 2026-02-14 22:30:12 -08:00
0029_change_participant_ev_to_decimal.sql Change participant expectedValue from integer to decimal (#1) 2026-02-19 11:26:40 -08:00
0030_add_draft_picks_unique_slot.sql fix: harden draft timer system with race-condition safety and DRY refactor (#34) 2026-02-23 23:23:24 -08:00
0031_add_autodraft_queue_only.sql Claude/redesign autodraft queue c4 kp r (#40) 2026-02-27 22:16:26 -08:00
0032_consolidate_playoff_pattern.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0033_add_schedule_event_type.sql fix: add statement-breakpoint to schedule_event enum migration (#86) 2026-03-07 22:45:59 -08:00
0034_add_ev_snapshots.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0035_increase_prob_precision.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0036_increase_ev_precision.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0037_add_simulator_type_to_sports.sql User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93) 2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
0038_sad_wilson_fisk.sql feat: progressive floor scoring for playoff brackets (#100) 2026-03-10 10:27:58 -07:00
0039_add_ucl_bracket_simulator_type.sql Fix bad migration. 2026-03-11 14:38:45 -07:00
0040_fat_puma.sql Found it in a second spot. 2026-03-11 14:47:19 -07:00
0041_great_magma.sql Add event_starts_at timestamp to scoring events for sub-day ordering (#146) 2026-03-15 10:22:42 -07:00
0042_migrate_event_date_to_starts_at.sql Add event_starts_at timestamp to scoring events for sub-day ordering (#146) 2026-03-15 10:22:42 -07:00
0043_demonic_vanisher.sql Add per-event configurable region config for NCAA-style brackets (#149) (#149) 2026-03-15 21:52:47 -07:00
0044_add_ncaam_bracket_simulator_type.sql Add NCAAM and NCAAW bracket Monte Carlo simulators (#150) 2026-03-15 23:31:47 -07:00
0045_add_ncaaw_bracket_simulator_type.sql Add NCAAM and NCAAW bracket Monte Carlo simulators (#150) 2026-03-15 23:31:47 -07:00
0046_add_nba_bracket_simulator_type.sql Add NBA playoff bracket Monte Carlo simulator (#154) 2026-03-16 21:43:39 -07:00
0047_fix_nba_bracket_simulator_type.sql Fix NBA simulator missing from dropdown and enum not applied to prod DB 2026-03-16 22:18:50 -07:00
0048_eager_songbird.sql Add Discord webhook notifications for standings updates (#157) 2026-03-17 11:16:36 -07:00
0049_add_admin_picked_by_type.sql Grant sitewide admins commissioner-level access in leagues (#162) 2026-03-18 00:41:56 -07:00
0050_chief_peter_quill.sql Add NHL playoff simulator and fix simulator dropdown (#166) 2026-03-18 01:23:53 -07:00
0051_add_standings_snapshot_unique_index.sql Fix standings snapshot upsert: atomic writes, correct date, and event-driven updates (#177) 2026-03-18 22:15:28 -07:00
0052_new_warbird.sql Fix migration 2026-03-18 22:54:01 -07:00
0053_smooth_kingpin.sql Add standard draft clock mode (#67) (#189) 2026-03-20 21:36:39 -07:00
0054_massive_vulcan.sql Add regular season standings for NBA/NHL (fixes #89) (#192) 2026-03-21 00:12:01 -07:00
0055_special_vampiro.sql Add regular season standings for NBA/NHL (fixes #89) (#192) 2026-03-21 00:12:01 -07:00
0056_jittery_the_fallen.sql Add AFL season + finals simulator (closes #126) (#204) 2026-03-22 01:57:39 -07:00
0057_cultured_doctor_doom.sql Add snooker bracket simulator and Elo ratings admin UI, fixes #119 2026-03-23 08:24:28 -07:00
0058_add_unique_participant_ev.sql Add snooker bracket simulator and Elo ratings admin UI, fixes #119 2026-03-23 08:24:28 -07:00
0059_mysterious_jack_murdock.sql Add tennis Grand Slam simulator with surface Elo ratings, fixes #116 (#216) 2026-03-23 23:59:35 -07:00
0060_omniscient_outlaw_kid.sql Add tennis Grand Slam simulator with surface Elo ratings, fixes #116 (#216) 2026-03-23 23:59:35 -07:00
0061_violet_mephistopheles.sql Add golf qualifying points simulator (Plackett-Luce Monte Carlo) (#223) 2026-03-24 21:46:02 -07:00
0062_add_mlb_bracket_simulator_type.sql Add MLB playoff simulator with AL/NL division standings, fixes #121 (#225) 2026-03-25 08:47:02 -07:00
0063_bored_ultimo.sql Add WNBA playoff simulator with SRS-based Elo ratings, fixes #125 (#231) 2026-03-26 00:34:51 -07:00
0064_fuzzy_wolfsbane.sql Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00
0065_kind_mantis.sql Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00
0066_stiff_siren.sql Add FIFA World Cup 2026 support with group stage display and Monte Carlo simulator (#242) 2026-03-29 10:27:47 -07:00
0067_darts_bracket.sql Add PDC World Darts Championship simulator with Elo-based bracket (#248) 2026-03-31 15:37:28 -07:00
0068_cs2_major_simulator.sql Fix migration 0068: add IF NOT EXISTS to enum ADD VALUE (#269) 2026-04-06 11:12:13 -04:00
0069_draft_window.sql Fix idempotency on 0069 2026-04-06 15:32:39 +00:00
0070_verify_migrations.sql Clean up migration chain and add verification migration (#268) 2026-04-06 10:53:51 -04:00
0071_many_nico_minoru.sql Add NFL season + playoffs Monte Carlo simulator (#272) 2026-04-07 09:39:34 -04:00
0072_jittery_steve_rogers.sql Add NCAA Football CFP simulator (12-team bracket) (#278) 2026-04-08 09:48:32 -04:00
0073_blushing_lady_vermin.sql Add LLWS bracket Monte Carlo simulator (#280) 2026-04-08 16:52:10 -04:00
0074_clammy_tiger_shark.sql feat: add vorp_value column to participants table 2026-04-09 01:57:22 +00:00
0075_chubby_stephen_strange.sql Add audit logging for commissioner actions (#293) 2026-04-13 15:45:39 -07:00
0076_heavy_zemo.sql fix: league settings sports swap and audit log detail improvements (#294) 2026-04-14 21:41:05 -07:00
0077_lively_wolfpack.sql New design (#309) 2026-04-23 13:14:55 -07:00
0078_striped_rick_jones.sql New design (#309) 2026-04-23 13:14:55 -07:00
0079_wide_trauma.sql New design (#309) 2026-04-23 13:14:55 -07:00
0080_chemical_gorilla_man.sql New design (#309) 2026-04-23 13:14:55 -07:00
0081_careless_magdalene.sql Migrate authentication from Clerk to BetterAuth (#324) 2026-04-24 22:00:49 -07:00
0082_stale_pride.sql Migrate authentication from Clerk to BetterAuth (#324) 2026-04-24 22:00:49 -07:00
0083_fearless_leader.sql Add overnight pause for draft timers (#335) 2026-04-26 22:31:52 -07:00
0084_wooden_retro_girl.sql Migrate auth from Clerk to BetterAuth (#354) 2026-04-29 10:03:50 -07:00
0085_young_cobalt_man.sql Mobile draft room improvements: watchlist, collapsible picks feed, autodraft controls (#355) 2026-04-29 11:49:26 -07:00
0086_marvelous_infant_terrible.sql Add draft room closure after completion (#359) 2026-04-30 10:14:14 -07:00
0087_small_susan_delgado.sql Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365) 2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
0088_cheerful_norrin_radd.sql Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365) 2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
0089_lonely_tigra.sql Canonical tournament layer: 2026-05-01 21:04:48 -07:00
0090_powerful_redwing.sql Canonical tournament layer: 2026-05-01 21:04:48 -07:00
0091_fast_inhumans.sql Canonical golf skills migration + copy participants feature (#369) 2026-05-02 10:29:28 -07:00
0092_robust_klaw.sql Add sports season ↔ tournament linking with admin UI (#372) 2026-05-02 12:45:53 -07:00
0093_ambiguous_hellcat.sql Remove sports_season_tournaments junction table — derive from scoring_events (#373) 2026-05-02 22:19:59 -07:00
0094_curved_nick_fury.sql Add Brackt as a league-private meta-sport (#200) (#377) 2026-05-04 20:31:44 -07:00
0095_lucky_madrox.sql Add Cloudinary-backed avatar system (#385) 2026-05-06 14:47:37 -07:00
0096_demonic_vulture.sql Deduplicate soccer simulator helpers (#391) 2026-05-07 11:48:57 -07:00
0097_puzzling_spectrum.sql Add Cloudinary sports icon uploads (#393) 2026-05-07 16:07:34 -07:00
0098_lucky_sabra.sql Fix college hockey bracket resolution (#396) 2026-05-08 12:29:39 -07:00
0099_peaceful_hannibal_king.sql Remove first and last name from user profiles (#399) 2026-05-09 09:18:50 -07:00
0100_mighty_weapon_omega.sql Refactor user profile to comprehensive settings page (#403) 2026-05-10 17:26:14 -07:00
0101_simple_black_bolt.sql Refactor user profile to comprehensive settings page (#403) 2026-05-10 17:26:14 -07:00
0102_wild_wiccan.sql Formalize simulator system with manifest, input-policy, runner, and admin UI (#409) 2026-05-11 21:09:53 -07:00
0103_salty_runaways.sql Add NLL box lacrosse simulator implementation plan and preseason-draftability guidance (#417) 2026-05-12 14:22:34 -07:00
0104_chief_boom_boom.sql Add MLS sport simulator (mls_bracket) (#422) 2026-05-14 12:45:53 -07:00