Claude e507f82508 Blend standings-based strength into F1/IndyCar EV simulation ... Championship futures odds rate mid-season drivers by likelihood to win the title, which understates a driver like Hamilton (2nd in standings) because the odds reflect the difficulty of closing a gap — not where he'll likely finish. The simulator was using those odds as-is for all remaining race win probabilities, making the current standings irrelevant to EV. Fix: blend each driver's odds-derived strength with their share of total current championship points, weighted by season progress (completedRaces / totalRaces). Pre-season remains pure futures-odds; mid-season is a 50/50 blend; late-season standings dominate. Additionally scale PARTICIPANT_VOLATILITY down by up to 70% as the season progresses to prevent unrealistic swings when few races remain. Applies equally to F1 and IndyCar via AutoRacingSimulator. https://claude.ai/code/session_01FyG28zxsjSrgr8aKYuy6xY		2026-06-15 01:02:46 +00:00
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__tests__	Fix remaining world-cup simulator test timeouts (100 → 20 iterations)	2026-06-06 09:47:24 -07:00
afl-simulator.ts	Deduplicate soccer simulator helpers (#391)	2026-05-07 11:48:57 -07:00
auto-racing-simulator.ts	Blend standings-based strength into F1/IndyCar EV simulation	2026-06-15 01:02:46 +00:00
bracket-simulator.ts	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
brackt-simulator.ts	Add Brackt as a league-private meta-sport (#200) (#377)	2026-05-04 20:31:44 -07:00
college-hockey-simulator.ts	Fix college hockey bracket resolution (#396)	2026-05-08 12:29:39 -07:00
cs-major-simulator.ts	Fix CS2 Stage 3 QP slot assignment (#89)	2026-06-14 05:49:06 +00:00
darts-simulator.ts	Fix simulator correctness bugs and reduce test iteration counts (#61)	2026-05-31 17:39:43 +00:00
epl-simulator.ts	Fix simulator correctness bugs and reduce test iteration counts (#61)	2026-05-31 17:39:43 +00:00
golf-simulator.ts	Add not-participating exclusion support for event results (#446)	2026-05-19 11:13:32 -07:00
input-policy.ts	Fix NCAAW futures odds simulation and admin import UX (#420)	2026-05-13 01:06:16 -07:00
llws-simulator.ts	Fix MLB standings 406 error and refactor ESPN adapter shared code (#62)	2026-06-01 03:31:18 +00:00
manifest.ts	Fix simulator correctness bugs and reduce test iteration counts (#61)	2026-05-31 17:39:43 +00:00
mlb-simulator.ts	Fix MLB simulator: projected wins drive seeding, perf fix, + surface simulate errors (#65)	2026-06-01 20:50:03 +00:00
mls-simulator.ts	Add MLS standings sync and fix simulator conference resolution (#423)	2026-05-14 15:39:40 -07:00
nba-simulator.ts	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
ncaa-basketball-simulator.ts	Upgrade NCAA preseason simulators (#419)	2026-05-12 22:26:25 -07:00
ncaa-football-simulator.ts	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
ncaam-simulator.ts	Upgrade NCAA preseason simulators (#419)	2026-05-12 22:26:25 -07:00
ncaaw-simulator.ts	Fix NCAAW futures odds simulation and admin import UX (#420)	2026-05-13 01:06:16 -07:00
nfl-simulator.ts	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
nhl-simulator.ts	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
nll-simulator.ts	Add NLL box lacrosse simulator implementation plan and preseason-draftability guidance (#417)	2026-05-12 14:22:34 -07:00
registry.ts	Add MLS sport simulator (mls_bracket) (#422)	2026-05-14 12:45:53 -07:00
runner.ts	Hide completed seasons in admin tools (#418)	2026-05-12 16:52:26 -07:00
simulation-probabilities.ts	Deduplicate soccer simulator helpers (#391)	2026-05-07 11:48:57 -07:00
simulator-config.ts	Add MLS sport simulator (mls_bracket) (#422)	2026-05-14 12:45:53 -07:00
snooker-simulator.ts	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
soccer-helpers.ts	Deduplicate soccer simulator helpers (#391)	2026-05-07 11:48:57 -07:00
tennis-simulator.ts	Add not-participating exclusion support for event results (#446)	2026-05-19 11:13:32 -07:00
types.ts	User/chris/ev f1 framework (#93)	2026-03-09 15:34:31 -07:00
ucl-simulator.ts	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
wnba-simulator.ts	Canonical tournament layer: schema + backfill (1/2) (#365)	2026-05-01 20:13:18 -07:00
world-cup-simulator.ts	Fix simulator correctness bugs and reduce test iteration counts (#61)	2026-05-31 17:39:43 +00:00