- ICM tests: fix single participant, zero probabilities, and 2-participant
tests to account for simulation only filling min(participants, 8) positions
- TeamScoreBreakdown tests: use getAllByText for "150.0" which now appears
in both the header and the Actual Points summary card
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The implementation and rest of the system (ICM calculator, probability
updater) use decimals (0-1) for probabilities, but the tests were using
percentages (0-100). Updated tests and docs to match.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Add FIFA_48 bracket template with 12 groups of 4, knockout stage of 32
- Add tournament groups schema, model, and GroupStageDisplay component
- Add projected/expected value scoring to standings and team breakdowns
- Add docker-compose for local PostgreSQL development
- Move DRAFT_ORDER_IMPLEMENTATION.md to plans directory
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Added loader and action functions for managing expected values in sports seasons.
- Implemented UI for recalculating probabilities based on participant results.
- Created a service to update probabilities after results are finalized, including handling finished and unfinished participants.
- Developed tests for the probability updater service to ensure correct functionality.
- Introduced a preview feature to show potential changes before applying updates.
Implements Phase 5.2 of the EV system with Harville-Malmuth Independent Chip Model
for calculating participant placement probabilities from futures odds.
## Key Features
### ICM Probability Calculator
- Implements Harville-Malmuth method for distributing probabilities
- Converts American odds to championship probabilities
- Generates P(1st) through P(8th) for all participants
- Column-normalized: each placement sums to 100% across all teams
- Works with any number of participants (not limited to 8)
### Admin UI - Futures Odds Entry
- Enter American odds (e.g., +550, -200) for championship futures
- Live preview of ICM-calculated probability distributions
- Displays all 8 placement probabilities
- Persists odds for editing on subsequent visits
- Automatic probability normalization (removes bookmaker vig)
### Database Schema Updates
- Renamed participant_expected_values.season_id → sports_season_id
- Updated foreign key to reference sports_seasons instead of seasons
- Added source_odds field to store original futures odds
- Migration 0025: Column rename and FK update
- Migration 0026: Add source_odds field
### Model Layer
- participant-expected-value: CRUD operations for probability distributions
- Supports multiple probability sources (manual, futures_odds, elo_simulation)
- Automatic EV calculation based on league scoring rules
- Probability validation and normalization
### Service Layer
- icm-calculator: Harville-Malmuth probability distribution
- probability-engine: Odds conversion and Elo utilities (for future use)
- bracket-simulator: Monte Carlo simulation (for future hybrid approach)
- ev-calculator: Expected value computation from probabilities
## Technical Details
- Uses exponential decay favoring top positions for strong teams
- Preserves championship probability ordering in final distributions
- Row sums vary (strong teams ~100%, weak teams lower)
- All probabilities between 0-1, mathematically valid
- Comprehensive test suite: 97 tests passing
## Future Enhancements
- Hybrid approach: ICM pre-playoffs, bracket simulation during playoffs
- Integration with league-specific scoring rules
- Historical probability tracking for accuracy analysis
🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)
Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Added comprehensive implementation plan for Phase 5, including executive summary, clarifications, recommended architecture, task breakdown, and performance considerations.
- Defined database schema changes for participant probabilities and expected values.
- Outlined service layer architecture for probability generation, EV calculation, and probability updates.
- Included detailed task breakdown for each sub-phase, focusing on manual entry, futures odds integration, real results integration, projected totals display, draft integration, and daily update job.
- Incorporated validation data and calibration goals for NHL futures odds.
- Updated planning questions and answers based on previous discussions to refine the approach for EV calculations and autodraft integration.
- Added recharts dependency to package.json for data visualization.
- Implemented PointProgressionChart component to display team point progression over time.
- Updated scoring-system.md to reflect completion of historical views and added implementation notes.
- Created unit tests for PointProgressionChart to ensure correct rendering and data handling.
- Developed season completion detection and percentage calculation functions in season-helpers.server.ts.
- Added tests for season completion logic and point progression data formatting.
- Enhanced league loader to fetch necessary data for current season and teams.
- Created `TeamScoreBreakdown` component to display all drafted participants, their placements, and points.
- Added new route for team breakdown at `/leagues/:leagueId/standings/:seasonId/teams/:teamId`.
- Enhanced `getTeamScoreBreakdown` model to include `sportsSeasonId` for grouping.
- Updated `StandingsTable` to include clickable team name links.
- Added functionality to finalize brackets in playoff events, including error handling and recalculating standings.
- Implemented tests for `TeamScoreBreakdown` component to ensure proper rendering and functionality.
- Updated routing to support new team breakdown feature and ensure seamless navigation.
- Added a new route for league standings: `/leagues/:leagueId/standings/:seasonId`
- Implemented the `StandingsTable` component to display team standings with ranking, points, and placement breakdown.
- Integrated tiebreaker logic for ranking teams based on total points and placements.
- Enhanced the league home page with a link to view standings.
- Updated scoring system documentation to reflect the new standings features.
- Added comprehensive tests for tiebreaker logic and `StandingsTable` component.
- Created shared types for standings to be used in both server and client code.
- Added `QualifyingPointsStandings` component to display standings based on qualifying points.
- Introduced scoring rules and projected points calculation for participants.
- Implemented tie handling for rankings and displayed appropriate UI elements based on finalization status.
- Created tests for qualifying points configuration, accumulation logic, ranking logic, and scoring workflow.
- Developed scoring calculator tests to validate fantasy points conversion from qualifying points.
- Established qualifying points management functions including initialization, retrieval, updating, and resetting of points.
- Introduced `generateStandardSeeding()` function to create proper tournament matchups (e.g., 1v16, 8v9).
- Added comprehensive tests for 4, 8, 16, and 32-team brackets to ensure correct seeding and balance.
- Updated testing instructions to reflect new features and improvements in bracket generation.
- Fixed issues with sequential seeding and ensured all matchups sum to n+1 for balance.
- Implemented batch winner selection and duplicate participant prevention for improved user experience.
- Enhanced fantasy points display on event pages for better visibility of participant results.
- Added a comprehensive plan for bracket expansion, including support for 4, 8, 16, 32, and 68 team formats.
- Introduced a template-based bracket system with predefined templates for NCAA March Madness, NFL Playoffs, NBA Playoffs, and simple brackets.
- Updated UI flow for bracket creation, allowing admins to select templates and assign participants flexibly.
- Enhanced database schema to accommodate new scoring rules and bracket templates.
- Proposed updates to scoring logic to handle non-scoring rounds and participant placements correctly.
- Documented implementation phases for gradual rollout of new features.
- Addressed critical bugs in the playoff event processing and scoring logic, ensuring proper advancement and scoring rules across multiple leagues.
- Created ScoringRulesEditor component with 8 placement point inputs
- Added scoring-types.ts for shared client/server types
- Integrated scoring rules into league settings page
- Integrated scoring rules into league creation form
- Added validation for point values (0-1000 range)
- Disabled editing in settings after draft starts
- Included helpful tips and preview display
Phase 1.3 complete
🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)
Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
The timer system runs outside the request context and uses its own database
connection. This fix allows isParticipantDrafted to accept an optional db
parameter so it works in both request handlers and timer contexts.
Fixes: DatabaseContext not set error during autopick
- Add scoringPattern and eventType enums for 4 scoring patterns
(single_elimination_playoff, page_playoff, season_standings, qualifying_points)
- Add 8 placement point fields to seasons table (1st-8th) with defaults
- Add scoring pattern fields to sportsSeasons table (scoringPattern, totalMajors, etc.)
- Create 10 new tables:
- scoring_events: Individual games, tournaments, races
- event_results: Participant results per event
- playoff_matches: Bracket tracking for playoffs
- participant_qualifying_totals: QP aggregation for golf/tennis
- qualifying_point_config: Configurable QP values per sport
- team_sport_scores: Aggregated scores per sport
- team_standings: Current standings with tiebreakers
- team_standings_snapshots: Daily snapshots for 7-day tracking
- participant_expected_values: EV calculations per league
- participant_season_results: F1 current points tracking
- Add all necessary relations for new tables
- Update test fixtures with new required scoring fields
- Added AvailableParticipantsSection for participant search and filtering.
- Created DraftGridSection for displaying the draft grid with team timers and context menu.
- Developed QueueSection for managing participant queue and autodraft settings.
- Introduced RecentPicksSection to show recent draft picks.
- Implemented TeamsDraftedGrid to visualize drafted participants by team and sport.
- Added collapsible UI components for better layout management.
- Established tabbed navigation for draft board, recent picks, and teams drafted.
- Enhanced responsiveness for mobile and desktop views.
- Updated styles for a cohesive design across components.
- Created draft eligibility calculation logic in `app/lib/draft-eligibility.ts`
- Added interfaces for sport availability and draft eligibility
- Implemented `calculateDraftEligibility` function to determine eligible sports based on team picks and global availability
- Developed `getEligibilitySummary` function for human-readable eligibility status
- Updated API endpoints to validate eligibility before making picks
- Enhanced frontend draft room UI to reflect eligibility status and provide visual indicators for ineligible participants
- Comprehensive implementation summary and testing documentation added
- All changes type-checked and unit tests passed successfully
