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113 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Claude
7ca89aafc4
Fix mirrored tournaments dropping QP knockout announcements
Mirror tournament windows (leagues drafting the same real-world major)
announced Qualifying Points awards but silently omitted the "Knocked Out"
section. Knockouts are derived only on the primary window's bracket
(playoff_matches → newlyDecidedLoserIds); mirrors receive placement/rawScore
only, so a player eliminated in a non-scoring round (0 QP) becomes a
null-placement filler indistinguishable from "not yet played" — the mirror
has no local signal to detect the knockout, and its notification was also
gated on QP having changed.

Thread the primary's newly-eliminated participants down the fan-out
(syncTennisDraw → fanOutMajorIfPrimary → syncMajorFromPrimaryEvent →
syncTournamentResults → processQualifyingEvent), translating identity across
window boundaries (primary season_participant → canonical participant → each
mirror's season_participant), and relax the mirror notification guard to fire
on eliminations even when no QP changed — matching the primary path.

Reuses the same notifyQualifyingPointsUpdate the primary already calls, so
mirrors now produce the same combined "Points Awarded" + "Knocked Out" embed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WZGsG5R1q3kyKCaXuysiWJ
2026-07-04 16:24:36 +00:00
Chris Parsons
698c6a6509 Fix lint errors in PlayoffBracket and sync-tournament-results test
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 21:02:06 -07:00
Claude
0baef5a948
Fix reprocess bracket to score mirror windows like the primary
Reprocessing a tennis (qualifying) major recomputed the primary window's
QP correctly (R16 players = 1.5, the average of the 9th–16th values) but
left mirror/sibling windows showing 2 QP. Two defects:

1. The mirror fan-out ran through fanOutMajorIfPrimary, which swallows
   every error and returns void, so reprocess reported a green "success"
   even when mirrors were never re-scored. The reprocess qualifying path
   now calls syncMajorFromPrimaryEvent directly and folds the SyncReport
   (windows synced / failed) into the response, surfacing failures instead
   of hiding them.

2. Mirror windows split QP by counting canonical tournament_results rows
   at each placement, which only equals the round's structural tie span
   when placements are final. Mid-tournament, players floored at a tier
   make the row-count diverge from the tier size, so mirrors split
   differently than the primary. syncMajorFromPrimaryEvent now derives the
   structural span (R16 = 8, QF = 4, SF = 2, Final = 1) from the primary
   bracket via deriveBracketQualifyingStates and merges it over the
   canonical counts, so every window splits identically to the primary at
   every stage. Golf and CS2 Swiss-exit placements keep their canonical
   count via the merge.

Adds a fan-out test covering an R16-in-progress bracket where only 4 rows
sit at placement 9: the mirror is scored with the structural span (8), not
the live count (4).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_013UkZVYgLmquWV2xDn349T2
2026-07-04 01:45:53 +00:00
58e656f15e claude/wimbledon-qp-scoring-bug-xevhlf (#127)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #127
2026-07-03 21:40:11 +00:00
Claude
5be8ac3f2f
Short-circuit QP notifier when nothing drafted is involved
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Widening the tennis-sync gate to fire on any elimination means
notifyQualifyingPointsUpdate now runs on essentially every early-round
sync, since most eliminated players are undrafted. Fetch the draft picks
first and bail before the QP-total, season, participant, user, and Discord
lookups when no drafted participant earned QP or was knocked out this sync —
avoiding a full query battery just to send nothing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01LkPWxSCunhPFknNUTXm4aZ
2026-07-03 15:10:07 +00:00
Claude
8900bf79dc
Announce drafted tennis players eliminated in non-scoring rounds
A player drafted in a tennis major (e.g. Jakob Mensik, out in the Round of
64) got no Discord announcement when the bracket was scored by sync. The
first three Grand Slam rounds are non-scoring, so an early-round loser earns
0 QP, gets no event_results row, and is dropped from the
"Qualifying Points Update" notification — the only announcement the tennis
sync emits mid-tournament.

Detect players knocked out on each sync and surface them:

- populateBracketFromDraw now returns newlyDecidedLoserIds: losers of
  matches that transition to complete on this run. Idempotent across
  re-syncs since playoff_matches persist, so a knockout is announced once.
- syncTennisDraw threads that set into notifyQualifyingPointsUpdate and
  fires the notification even when no QP changed.
- notifyQualifyingPointsUpdate builds an eliminated list scoped to players
  drafted in the league, deduped against QP earners (so a Round-of-16 loser
  who scores isn't listed twice), tagging the drafting manager.
- sendQualifyingPointsUpdateNotification renders a "Knocked Out" section and
  pings those managers; the QP Standings block is skipped when a sync only
  reports knockouts.

Tests cover the new detection, dedup, manager tagging, knockout-only
notifications, and rendering.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01LkPWxSCunhPFknNUTXm4aZ
2026-07-03 14:42:06 +00:00
6b0e32c3d5 claude/discord-qp-notifications-75wa7k (#122)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #122
2026-07-01 22:14:51 +00:00
b0c25beb90 claude/discord-qualifying-points-t55s3x (#121)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #121
2026-07-01 17:29:45 +00:00
64e5cb23ef claude/discord-ping-notification-filter-6m1ymt (#120)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #120
2026-06-30 23:48:11 +00:00
3e50619629 claude/probability-config-review-1tdolw (#119)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #119
2026-06-30 23:24:48 +00:00
070b825077 scoring notifications (#115)
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2026-06-30 01:58:20 +00:00
e3e8485e26 elimination announcements (#114)
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2026-06-28 19:36:33 +00:00
Chris Parsons
81d063faa1 Auto-populate & auto-score tennis Grand Slam brackets from Wikipedia
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Add a per-event "Sync Draw" that pulls a tennis major's full 128-player
draw from its Wikipedia article, auto-creates/links participants (and
propagates them to every linked sibling season), builds the bracket, and
runs the qualifying-points scorer. Re-running advances the bracket and
scoring as matches complete.

Core
- match-sync: WikipediaTennisAdapter + wikitext bracket parser, DrawSync
  DTOs, syncTennisDraw orchestrator, pure draw->rows mapping
- playoff-match: populateBracketFromDraw (idempotent upsert on externalMatchId)
- scoring_events.externalSourceKey column (Wikipedia article; migration 0123)
- admin bracket "Sync Draw" card (accepts URL or title) + cron pass

Scoring fix
- deriveBracketQualifyingStates only floors players who have reached the
  scoring stage; for deep brackets (tennis_128) early-round losers earn 0 QP
  instead of a phantom 9th-place floor. CS2/simple_8 behavior preserved
  (gated on rounds[0].isScoring). Re-sync reconciles stale QP rows in a
  transaction.

Matching & parsing
- accent-folding in normalizeTeamName; strip Wikipedia "(tennis)"
  disambiguators; treat Bye/TBD/Qualifier as TBD; extract wikilink before
  template-stripping so {{nowrap}}-wrapped players parse

Admin UX
- dry-run preview (matched / will-create / possible duplicates / unfilled
  slots) with inline "rename existing" / "create as new" resolution via
  fetcher (no full reload)

Tests: parser vs real 2025 Wimbledon fixture, draw mapping, tennis_128
scoring, accent/disambiguator/nowrap parsing, URL parsing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 21:48:00 -07:00
120056b0bd claude/fix-lint-errors-n48594 (#111)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #111
2026-06-26 07:26:55 +00:00
ee099c64cd claude/clever-archimedes-dvye42 (#110)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #110
2026-06-26 05:16:54 +00:00
Claude
88248e349c
Fix futures odds being ignored when stale Elo exists
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When an admin entered futures (preseason) odds for a season that already
had Elo ratings stored, the simulator kept using the old Elo and silently
ignored the new odds. This affected any Elo-based simulator (e.g. NHL).

Root cause: resolveSourceElos() ranks a direct sourceElo above the
sourceOdds -> convertFuturesToElo branch, but batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator()
only cleared the bracket-seeding `rating`/`ratingMethod` — never the stale
`sourceElo`/`sourceEloMethod`. A manually entered Elo (method "direct") is not
treated as generated, so it survived and short-circuited the resolver.

Fix:
- batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator now also nulls sourceElo and strips
  sourceEloMethod (both the pre-update and upsert-conflict paths), so the
  existing futures -> Elo conversion drives the run.
- resolveSourceElos' sourceOdds branch now guards for >= 2 participants
  (mirroring resolveRatings), so a lone-odds season falls through to the
  configured missing-Elo strategy instead of getting a flat ~1500.
- batchSaveSourceOdds clears the legacy EV sourceElo and marks source as
  futures_odds so the elo-ratings page won't resurrect a stale rating.

Adds unit coverage for odds-derived Elo, the single-participant guard, the
post-clear regression, generated-vs-direct sourceElo suppression, and the
new clearing behavior in batchSaveFuturesOddsForSimulator.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01YNfUEd9RzD3zm84oLHBHUH
2026-06-25 17:43:31 +00:00
Chris Parsons
6772079e86 Reflect group stage in World Cup sim; seed R32 from real 2026 bracket
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The World Cup Monte Carlo simulator ignored the admin-populated knockout
draw and re-paired its own simulated group output sequentially, so bracket
paths from the Round of 32 onward did not match the real tournament. It
also silently invented 12 synthetic groups when none were configured,
discarding real group-stage results.

Rework the simulator around three regimes:
- draw set     → simulate the real R32 matchups, advancing through the
  bracket tree via the canonical ceil(matchNumber/2) rule (matching
  advanceWinnerTemplate) so sim paths match the admin tooling.
- groups only  → simulate remaining group matches, then seed the R32 with
  the official 2026 group-position template + FIFA's exact Annex C
  best-third-place allocation (495-row published table).
- neither      → futures-seeded bracket fallback, flagged via result source.

Completed group and knockout matches still lock in real results at every
round.

New app/lib/fifa-2026-bracket.ts encodes the R32 group-position template
(official FIFA matches 73-88 mapped onto DB matchNumbers 1-16 so the tree
reproduces the real halves) and assignThirdPlaceSlots(). The Annex C table
is generated deterministically by scripts/gen-fifa-third-place.mjs into
app/lib/fifa-2026-third-place-allocation.ts.

Tests assert exact Annex C values, cross-check the template's eligible
groups against all 495 combinations, and cover each regime including the
partial-draw dedup and fully-drawn fast path.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-23 12:15:45 -07:00
Chris Parsons
9480501932 Unify majors: score once, fan out across windows + tennis bracket EV
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Make a "major" (golf/tennis/CS2) scored once on its canonical tournament
and fan out to every linked sports_season window and league.

Fan-out & completion (app/services/sync-tournament-results.ts):
- syncTournamentResults now marks each synced window's event complete
  (gated by markComplete), recalculates affected leagues, and counts
  recalc failures so a stale league can't hide behind a "completed" badge
- syncMajorFromPrimaryEvent promotes a primary window's derived results to
  canonical tournament_results (deleting rows for dropped placements) and
  fans out to siblings; fanOutMajorIfPrimary guards on the primary
- placement removals now propagate (stale rows reset to filler)

Primary-event model (scoring_events.is_primary, migration 0122):
- getPrimaryEventForTournament / isReadOnlySibling / ensurePrimaryEvent /
  setPrimaryEvent; event creation auto-seeds a primary for bracket majors;
  "Make primary" button on the tournament page
- per-window event/bracket/cs2 pages are read-only for non-primary linked
  events (not-participating stays editable)

Tennis Grand Slam bracket (tennis_128 template + TEMPLATE_ROUND_CONFIG):
- bracket-scored qualifying major via the existing bracket pipeline
- simulator conditions in-progress EV on the real bracket (honoring
  completed matches, walkover for withdrawals), QP derived from config,
  round structure read from the template; CS2 + tennis share resolveStructureSource

Backfill (scripts/backfill-major-linking.ts): one-time idempotent reconcile
of existing majors (link orphans, designate primary, promote canonical, sync).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 20:32:22 -07:00
Chris Parsons
dfbcb7d953 Add complete CS2 event reset to clear orphaned results/QP
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The CS2 Major EV simulation silently discarded the Champions Stage
bracket for IEM Cologne 2026: the bracket seeded "Team Spirit" in QF1
while the stage assignments listed the (different) "Spirit Academy", so
the realBracket gate found an out-of-field participant and rejected the
whole bracket. The phantom "Spirit Academy" also left a stray
event_results row (33 rows for 32 teams).

The existing "Reset all" button only cleared cs2_major_stage_results, so
re-entering couldn't remove the phantom result or its cached QP total.

Add resetCs2Event, which also deletes the event's event_results and
recomputes the affected participants' cached QP totals — all inside a
single transaction so a mid-operation failure can't leave the event in a
torn state. It deliberately preserves the Champions Stage bracket so
re-entry realigns the stage data to it. The reset button now confirms
and states that results/QP are cleared too.

Tests: resetCs2Event clear+recompute behavior, and a simulator
regression pinning that one out-of-field QF participant disables the
whole bracket.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-19 22:22:11 -07:00
472875f151 claude/exciting-ride-q1jq8k (#101)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #101
2026-06-20 03:56:28 +00:00
dc94403160 claude/trusting-heisenberg-r6xnfi (#90)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #90
2026-06-15 03:34:44 +00:00
d0a31f3883 Fix CS2 Stage 3 QP slot assignment (#89)
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## Summary

- 0-3 teams in Stage 3 were being assigned slots 9–10 (high QP) when marked eliminated before other Stage 3 teams, because `computeStage3ExitQP` filled from slot 9 upward using only the teams passed in
- 1-3 teams had the same problem when marked before 2-3 teams
- Fix: gate all Stage 3 QP computation on `stage3Exits.length === STAGE3_TOTAL_EXITS` (8) — partial saves write 0 QP as a placeholder, and correct QP/placements are assigned once all 8 exits are known
- As belt-and-suspenders, `computeStage3ExitQP` now places 0-wins teams from the bottom of the slot range so the function itself is correct even if called with a partial set

## Test plan

- [ ] Run `npm run test:run -- app/models/__tests__/cs2-major-stage.test.ts` — all 17 tests pass
- [ ] Mark 2 Stage 3 teams as 0-3 eliminated and save — confirm they show 0 QP (not 2 QP)
- [ ] Mark all 8 Stage 3 exits and save — confirm 0-3 teams get slots 15–16 QP, 1-3 teams get slots 12–14 QP split correctly

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #89
2026-06-14 05:49:06 +00:00
f40144e1e2 claude/great-lovelace-r3bznh (#88)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #88
2026-06-12 22:35:35 +00:00
058e96e67e mlb fix (#87)
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Reviewed-on: #87
2026-06-12 04:09:51 +00:00
ea84ffd915 Fix MLB division leaders showing under wildcard (#84)
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2026-06-11 00:25:18 +00:00
Chris Parsons
ea85a21c83 Fix IndyCar standings: correct ESPN stat key, update title, restore finalized badge
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- IndyCar points were showing as 0 because ESPN uses 'championshipPts' not 'points'
  as the stat name; add it as primary key in the fallback chain
- Rename season_standings card title from sportSeasonName to "${name} Standings"
- Remove non-finalized subtext from SeasonStandings CardDescription
- Restore finalized-season badge (season complete / top-8 points locked) which
  was dropped when removing the subtext; derive from sportsSeason.status at the
  component level instead of the loader so the dead seasonIsFinalized field is
  also removed from the loader return

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 09:17:23 -07:00
0150fb7ab9 sync racing standings (#80)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #80
2026-06-10 04:25:48 +00:00
273742f02e Phase A: external HTTP cron jobs for snapshots, standings sync, and simulation (#79)
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## Summary

- Removes the last in-process \`setInterval\` (\`server/snapshots.ts\` 24h loop) and replaces it with an external HTTP cron job via Forgejo Actions
- Adds automated standings sync + conditional simulation: syncs every 2h, only simulates when standings actually changed (detected by comparing \`gamesPlayed\`/\`leagueRank\` before upsert)
- Adds \`GET /healthz\` for Docker healthcheck (Phase B prerequisite)

## What's new

| Endpoint | Triggered by | What it does |
|---|---|---|
| \`POST /admin/jobs/run-daily-snapshots\` | Forgejo schedule \`5 0 * * *\` | Creates daily fantasy standings snapshots for all active/draft seasons |
| \`POST /admin/jobs/sync-and-simulate\` | Forgejo schedule \`0 */2 * * *\` | Syncs standings from external APIs; runs simulation only if standings changed |
| \`GET /healthz\` | Docker / Traefik | Returns 200 \`{ok:true}\` when DB reachable, 503 otherwise |

Both cron endpoints are protected by \`X-Cron-Secret\` header (set \`CRON_SECRET\` in Forgejo repo secrets + production env).

## Schema changes (migration 0118)

Two new nullable columns on \`sports_seasons\`:
- \`standings_last_changed_at\` — written by \`syncStandings()\` when data actually changes
- \`last_simulated_at\` — written by the cron job after a successful simulation run

## Deployment notes

1. Add \`CRON_SECRET\` to Forgejo repo secrets (generate with \`openssl rand -hex 32\`)
2. Add same value to production environment
3. Migration runs automatically via the \`migrate\` container on deploy

## Test plan

- [ ] \`curl -X POST https://brackt.com/admin/jobs/run-daily-snapshots -H "X-Cron-Secret: ..."\` → 200 \`{total, succeeded, errors}\`
- [ ] \`curl -X POST https://brackt.com/admin/jobs/sync-and-simulate -H "X-Cron-Secret: ..."\` → 200 with \`synced\`/\`unchanged\`/\`simulated\` breakdown
- [ ] \`curl https://brackt.com/healthz\` → 200 \`{ok:true}\`
- [ ] Verify Forgejo workflow runs appear in Actions tab after merge
- [ ] Kill web process mid-day; confirm external cron still fires (no in-process dependency)

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #79
2026-06-08 07:42:14 +00:00
Chris Parsons
a4ef8c3aa1 Fix remaining world-cup simulator test timeouts (100 → 20 iterations)
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Column-sum and structural assertions are mathematically exact regardless of
iteration count; 20 iterations runs the suite in ~270ms vs the 5s CI limit.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 09:47:24 -07:00
Chris Parsons
73f0256ff5 Fix QP standings: filter to drafted/points-earning participants with correct global ranks
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- Filter the QP table to show only participants with QP > 0 or drafted by any team in the league (undrafted 0-QP participants hidden)
- Compute global ranks with tie handling across the full field before filtering so displayed rank numbers and the top-8 Points Line remain correct after rows are removed
- Fix flaky CI timeouts: world-cup simulator test (100 → 50 iterations), SportsSection userEvent test (explicit 15s timeout)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 09:38:47 -07:00
a528aecc86 Fix MLB simulator: projected wins drive seeding, perf fix, + surface simulate errors (#65)
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## Summary

- **MLB simulator seeding now responds to projected wins**: replaced hardcoded FanGraphs `p_div`/`p_wc` probability draws with Binomial regular-season simulation. Admin-entered projected wins (via Elo) now drive both playoff _qualification_ odds and in-bracket game win probability, not just the latter.
- **Reads current standings mid-season**: `getRegularSeasonStandings` is called so synced `wins`/`gamesPlayed` feed into each simulation iteration's projected final standings.
- **27× seeding performance improvement**: `sampleBinomial` now uses a Box-Muller normal approximation for `n ≥ 30`, dropping the seeding phase from ~243M to ~3M `Math.random()` calls per 50K-sim run (pre-season, 162 remaining games × 30 teams).
- **Missing-standings warning**: when standings exist for some teams but not all recognized ones (partial sync), a `logger.warn` now surfaces which teams are falling back to 0 wins / 162 remaining instead of silently distorting seeding.
- **Cleanup**: `eloToRDif` calls `rawWinRateFromElo` instead of inlining the same formula.
- **Simulate errors surface inline**: moved simulation action from dedicated route to parent page `intent="simulate"` so errors display inline rather than crashing to an error page.

## Test plan

- [ ] `npm run test:run -- mlb-simulator` — 49 tests pass
- [ ] `npm run typecheck` — clean
- [ ] Trigger a simulation from the admin panel for an MLB season with projected wins entered; confirm teams with higher projected wins show meaningfully higher EVs
- [ ] Confirm that running simulate with no projected wins entered (pre-season defaults) still produces a valid bracket
- [ ] Check logs after simulating a season where some teams lack standings rows — confirm warning appears

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #65
2026-06-01 20:50:03 +00:00
add196902b Fix MLB standings 406 error and refactor ESPN adapter shared code (#62)
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## Summary

- **Root cause**: `statsapi.mlb.com` returns 406 (deprecated). Switched MLB to ESPN's free standings API (`site.api.espn.com/apis/v2/sports/baseball/mlb/standings`), consistent with NBA, WNBA, and MLS.
- **Refactor**: Extracted a shared `espn.ts` utility module, eliminating 4× duplication of `statsMap()`, `flattenEspnStandings()`, ESPN interfaces, and the `playoffSeed` → conference rank logic across adapters.
- **Bug fixes** found during review and applied across all affected adapters:
  - `parseConferenceRank`: `|| undefined` falsy-zero bug replaced with `isNaN` guard
  - Sort comparators: stable alphabetical tiebreaker added to MLB, NBA, WNBA
  - `winPct`: falls back to `wins/(wins+losses)` if ESPN omits the stat (was silently 0)
  - statsMap pre-built once per entry before sorting in all adapters (was rebuilt per comparison)
  - WNBA `parseEntry`: accepts pre-computed `sm` instead of rebuilding it internally
  - MLB `gamesBack`: tests updated to reflect ESPN returns numeric `0` for division leaders (old API used `"-"` → `undefined`)

## Test plan

- [ ] All 60 standings-sync unit tests pass (`npm run test:run -- app/services/standings-sync`)
- [ ] Trigger MLB standings sync from admin panel and confirm it returns data without a 406
- [ ] Confirm NBA, WNBA, MLS syncs still work (adapters touched but behaviour unchanged)

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #62
2026-06-01 03:31:18 +00:00
03726f1a66 Fix simulator correctness bugs and reduce test iteration counts (#61)
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## Summary

- **Bug fix**: EPL Elo/odds fallback was gated on \`dbEloMap.size === 0\` — if any team had a direct \`sourceElo\`, teams with only \`sourceOdds\` were never populated and the simulator threw "Missing Elo" instead of using their odds data
- **Iterations**: WorldCupSimulator default 50k→10k; manifest \`defaultConfig\` for \`world_cup\` and \`epl_standings\` now explicitly override \`BASE_CONFIG\` with 10k so the production fallback matches; test iterations reduced (WorldCup 500→100, EPL 10k→500) to fix timeout failures on slower CI
- **Cleanup**: Extracted \`runKnockoutRound\` out of the 10k-iteration simulation loop; replaced two hot-loop \`toSorted()\` calls on 2-element arrays with a conditional string comparison; removed local \`normalizeProbabilities\` in favour of the shared \`normalizeSimulationResultColumns\`

## Test plan

- [ ] \`npm run test:run\` — all simulator unit tests pass without timeout
- [ ] Typecheck passes (\`npm run typecheck\`)
- [ ] EPL simulate with mixed Elo+odds data no longer throws

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #61
2026-05-31 17:39:43 +00:00
10f23839cb Remove redundant flaky world-cup-simulator test (#60)
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## Summary

- Removes the "probabilities are all non-negative" test from \`world-cup-simulator.test.ts\`, which was timing out intermittently in CI (5s budget, 500 Monte Carlo iterations × 48 teams)
- The test is redundant: the "column sums ≈1.0" test immediately above it already catches negative probabilities (a negative value in one column forces a sibling above 1.0, which \`toBeCloseTo(1.0, 2)\` would fail)
- Non-negative assertions for meaningful edge cases are also covered by the "SF losers land in 3rd or 4th" test

## Test plan

- [ ] \`npm run test:run\` passes with no failures

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #60
2026-05-31 17:07:59 +00:00
ef29c1fcd9 claude/discord-pick-notification-refactor-FeusJ (#58)
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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reviewed-on: #58
2026-05-29 16:24:22 +00:00
4a2f542fb1 Fix Discord pick notifications silently dropped during autodraft chains (#57)
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## Summary

- **Per-league queue**: replaced the single global notification queue with a \`Map<leagueId, queue>\` so concurrent drafts in different leagues drain independently and don't block each other
- **Deadlock fix**: wrapped the drainer loop in \`try/finally\` so \`drainingLeagues\` is always cleaned up even if a task throws unexpectedly — previously a crash would leave the flag set permanently, silently dropping all future notifications for that league
- **Wait cap fix**: moved \`Math.min\` to wrap \`(retryAfter * (attempt+1))\` so the 10s ceiling applies to the final product, not just the base value — settings actions that directly await webhook calls were previously blockable for up to 30s on a rate-limited third attempt

## Root cause of the original problem

During an autodraft chain, \`notifyPickMadeOnDiscord\` was called fire-and-forget for each pick in the chain, causing all webhook requests to fly concurrently. Discord's per-webhook rate limit (~5 req/2s) rejected most of them; the single retry logic fired for all simultaneously, hit the limit again, and the \`.catch()\` swallowed the errors silently.

## Test plan

- [ ] Enable autodraft for 5+ consecutive teams; trigger the chain; confirm all picks announce in Discord in order
- [ ] Confirm a slow/rate-limited webhook in League A does not delay League B's announcements
- [ ] \`npm run test:run\` — 158 test files, 2336 tests, all pass

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #57
2026-05-27 16:41:08 +00:00
a02f603575 Fix slow bracket save and stale projected points (#54)
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## Summary
- Swap side-effect order so `updateProbabilitiesAfterResult` runs before `recalculateAffectedLeagues` in `processMatchResult`, `processPlayoffEvent`, and the `set-round-winners` route — projected points now reflect the new result immediately instead of waiting on the next simulation.
- Eliminate the N+1 EV lookup in `calculateTeamProjectedScore` by pre-fetching every EV the season needs in a single `inArray` query inside `recalculateStandings` and passing the map down.
- Add `skipProbabilities` option to `processPlayoffEvent`, used from `autoCompleteRoundIfDone` (callers have already refreshed EVs), avoiding a redundant pass on round-completing saves.

Fixes #31

## Test plan
- [x] `npm run typecheck`
- [x] `npx vitest run app/models/__tests__/team-projected-score.test.ts app/models/__tests__/process-match-result.test.ts app/services/__tests__/probability-updater.test.ts` — 57/57 passing
- [ ] Manual: save a round of bracket winners on a sports season with at least one fantasy league and confirm (a) the request returns faster and (b) the team standings show projected points updated to reflect the result without re-running the simulator

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #54
2026-05-27 04:28:10 +00:00
Chris Parsons
77f520823c Fix Discord pick announcements arriving out of order and add 429 retry
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- Move notifyPickMadeOnDiscord() before checkAndTriggerNextAutodraft() in
  both executeAutoPick() and the manual pick action. Previously the
  triggering pick's announcement fired after all chained autodraft picks
  had already announced, causing Discord to show e.g. pick #106 before
  #105 before #104. Now each pick announces itself before the next pick
  in the chain is triggered.

- Add a single retry with Retry-After delay in sendDiscordWebhook() on
  HTTP 429. A burst of consecutive autodraft picks could hit Discord's
  per-webhook rate limit and silently drop announcements. Use || 1
  (not ?? 1) to handle non-numeric/NaN headers, and cap at 10 s so
  that awaited callers such as the draft-order settings actions are
  never hung for a full global rate-limit window.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-24 21:29:02 -07:00
Chris Parsons
1b51cb554b Fix Discord double-ping when autodraft fires immediately after manual pick
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When a manual pick triggered an immediate autodraft chain, both Discord
announcements re-read currentPickNumber from the DB, which had already
advanced past the chained pick. Both messages showed the same "On the
clock" person, pinging them twice.

Fix: pass nextPickNumber (the pick immediately following each specific
pick, before any chain) as an explicit param to notifyPickMadeOnDiscord
instead of re-reading from the DB. Also removes a now-unnecessary DB
round-trip on every pick announcement.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 20:38:35 -07:00
841760541d Fix snake draft Discord pick numbering and small UX tweaks (#2)
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## Summary

- **Discord snake draft fix**: pick notifications now show the sequential pick-in-round (e.g. "Round 2, Pick 9") rather than the snake-adjusted slot position ("Round 2, Pick 5"). Also removes the now-unused \`pickInRound\` param from \`notifyPickMadeOnDiscord\` and adds a regression test for the 13-team case.
- **League card**: league name in draft-in-progress cards is now a link to the league homepage (the Enter Draft button still goes to the draft room).
- **Overnight pause label**: shortened to "🌙 Pause" — the "Resumes 4:00 AM" line below already provides context, so "Overnight" was just causing wrapping.
- **Queue & Picks backgrounds**: items use \`bg-card\` instead of \`bg-muted\` for better visual separation from the panel background.

## Test plan

- [x] Discord: in a snake draft, verify pick #22 of 13 shows "Round 2, Pick 9" in Discord
- [x] League card: dashboard with a draft-in-progress league — click name → league homepage, click Enter Draft → draft room
- [x] Overnight pause: pause a draft overnight — cell shows "🌙 Pause" on one line, "Resumes X:XX" below
- [x] Queue/Picks: open draft room and confirm queue items and recent picks visually pop from the sidebar background
- [x] Unit tests: `npm run test:run` passes (13 discord tests)

Co-authored-by: Chris Parsons <chrisparsons1127@gmail.com>
Reviewed-on: #2
2026-05-22 04:18:11 +00:00
Chris Parsons
fbcecb490e
Add Discord draft pick announcements (#460)
* Add Discord draft pick announcements

Posts a message to the league Discord webhook each time a pick is made, announcing the picked participant and pinging the next team on the clock if their owner has opted into Discord notifications. Enabled via a separate toggle in league settings (independent from standings update notifications).

https://claude.ai/code/session_01Tvwsv3LfL9JUqxoLct8dTn

* Address code review feedback on Discord pick announcements

- Fix "on the clock" timing: read currentPickNumber fresh from DB post-autodraft-chain (matches sendOnTheClockEmail guarantee)
- Remove outer try/catch from notifyPickMadeOnDiscord so callers' .catch() is not dead code
- Add missing draft-discord.server.test.ts with 12 tests covering all early-exit and happy paths
- Fix silent empty-string fallback for missing pickedSlot: warn and skip instead
- Eliminate sequential season→league DB queries by accepting leagueId as a direct param
- Show "save webhook URL to configure options" hint when URL is typed but not yet saved
- Remove block-scope braces at both call sites (plain const declarations)
- Remove redundant "Round N, Pick M" description line (title already carries this info)
- Inline pickInRoundFor helper to avoid circular import with draft-utils

https://claude.ai/code/session_01Tvwsv3LfL9JUqxoLct8dTn

* Fix lint errors from review fixes

- Remove unused logger import (no longer needed after removing try/catch)
- Remove unused OWNER_ID constant in test fixture
- Use toSorted() instead of sort() in sendDraftOrderNotification

https://claude.ai/code/session_01Tvwsv3LfL9JUqxoLct8dTn

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-20 19:55:48 -07:00
Chris Parsons
b8b58ec9f8
Add draft email notifications feature (#459)
* Add on-the-clock email notifications and fix push notification modal

- Add `draft_email_notifications_enabled` column to users table
- New `sendOnTheClockEmail` service sends an email when a user's turn arrives
  in a draft; detects back-to-back picks and sends one combined email instead
  of two; skips notification if the team has autodraft enabled
- Email is triggered after every manual pick (make-pick route) and every
  timer-expiry pick (executeAutoPick) once the full autodraft chain settles,
  so the notified user is always the first human on the clock
- Add email notification toggle to the user settings Notifications section
- Fix push notification dropdown in the draft room: the bare absolute div is
  replaced with a Radix Popover so clicking outside dismisses it without
  toggling notifications off
- Rename draft room label from "Pick Notifications" to "Push Notifications"
  to distinguish from the new email notifications

https://claude.ai/code/session_01LMGxgYvtE3CF8Jf3u2pXgA

* Address code review feedback on email notification feature

- sendOnTheClockEmail now fetches season (and currentPickNumber) internally,
  removing the blocking postChainSeason pre-fetch from both make-pick.ts and
  executeAutoPick; callers are now true fire-and-forget with no IIFE needed
- Parallel Promise.all for team, autodraftSettings, and league queries reduces
  sequential DB round-trips from 5 to 3
- Remove team.ownerId type cast; assign to local after the null guard
- Combine the two calculatePickInfo calls for the same pick into one
- Fix popoverOpen/enabled divergence: remove the {enabled && ...} guard on
  PopoverContent so popoverOpen is the sole visibility control
- Unify NotificationsSection feedback pattern: both Discord and email sections
  now read success/error directly from their respective fetcher data via a
  shared feedbackFromFetcher helper; removes the success/error props and the
  verbose cast that was used for email
- Add 13 unit tests for sendOnTheClockEmail covering: early-exit paths
  (no season, past totalPicks, no owner, notifications disabled, autodraft
  enabled, no league), single vs back-to-back subject selection, draft room
  link presence, error logging without throwing, and parallel query execution

https://claude.ai/code/session_01LMGxgYvtE3CF8Jf3u2pXgA

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-20 15:35:43 -07:00
Chris Parsons
43dbdf0040
Add not-participating exclusion support for event results (#446)
* Add notParticipating flag to allow excluding withdrawn participants from qualifying-points simulators

Adds a `not_participating` boolean column to `event_results` so admins can
mark a participant as not competing in a specific upcoming major (e.g. Alcaraz
withdrawing from Wimbledon due to injury). The golf, tennis, and CS2 major
simulators now query this flag for incomplete events and exclude those
participants from the event's draw/field, redistributing probability weight
to the remaining field. Admin UI for qualifying major_tournament events gains
a "Not Participating" card to mark/unmark withdrawals before the event runs.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01HxNPLEXzr5Km3suWrJe2F9

* Address code review feedback on not-participating flag

Security: unmark-not-participating now validates the result exists, belongs
to this event, and is actually a DNP row before deleting. mark-not-participating
now returns a user-friendly error on duplicate-key constraint violations.

Code quality: extract shared getExcludedByEventMap() utility to event-result
model, eliminating the duplicated 20-line exclusion-loading block that was
copy-pasted into all three simulators. Fix hasParticipantResult() to exclude
notParticipating rows so it correctly reflects actual competition participation.
Remove optional chaining on the non-optional notParticipatingIds field in the
admin UI. Fix misleading empty-state message.

Tests: replace the misleading first tennis DNP test (which never used the
activeIds variable it created) with a test that explicitly validates the
fallback behaviour when too few players remain after exclusion. Add three CS2
DNP tests covering the excluded-team-gets-zero-QP path, the redistribution
of wins, and per-event pool independence.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01HxNPLEXzr5Km3suWrJe2F9

* Fix lint errors: replace non-null assertions in CS2 DNP test

https://claude.ai/code/session_01HxNPLEXzr5Km3suWrJe2F9

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-19 11:13:32 -07:00
Chris Parsons
c71eb69648
Add Discord notifications for draft order changes (#441)
* Add Discord notification when draft order is set or randomized

Posts the full draft order to the league's Discord webhook after each
set-draft-order or randomize-draft-order action, with distinct titles
(📋 vs 🎲) so members can tell how it was determined.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01XrBxu358RK6q8iDgRQbMFx

* Refine Discord draft order notification: league name/link, usernames, polish

- Replace seasonName with leagueName + leagueUrl; title links to the league
- Distinguish manual vs randomized in title ("Manually Set" vs "Randomized")
- Show owner username next to each team name in the draft order list
- Remove footer in favour of the linked embed title
- Add 4096-char description clamp consistent with standings notification
- Use a teamMap in both intent branches to avoid O(n²) find-in-loop
- Add test for all-unowned-teams rendering no trailing parentheses

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Remove emoji from draft order notification titles

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-17 23:20:51 -07:00
Chris Parsons
1f0fcf970b
Fix QP tie rounding and finalized scoring (#440) 2026-05-17 21:58:53 -07:00
Chris Parsons
d468385d90
Add auto-start draft at scheduled time (#437) (#438)
Commissioners can now opt in to having a draft start automatically at
its scheduled draftDateTime rather than requiring a manual "Start Draft"
click. The 1-second timer loop checks for eligible seasons each tick and
calls the new shared startDraft() service, which is also used by the
existing commissioner HTTP route.

- Add autoStartDraft boolean to seasons table (migration 0108)
- Extract core start logic into app/services/draft-autostart.ts so both
  the API route and the timer can call it without AsyncLocalStorage
- Add checkAndAutoStartDrafts() to the timer tick; disables autoStartDraft
  and stops retrying if no draft order is set at fire time
- Guard against null draftDateTime in both the timer query (isNotNull)
  and server actions (autoStartDraft forced false when datetime is null)
- Add "Auto-start at scheduled time" checkbox to league creation wizard
  (step 3) and league settings, gated on date+time being set
- Show countdown + "Start Now" button in draft room when auto-start is
  scheduled; reuses the existing nowForPauseCheck 1-second ticker
- Show orange warning banner on league homepage to commissioners when
  auto-start is within 1 hour and no draft order has been configured

Co-authored-by: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-16 23:37:29 -07:00
Chris Parsons
469cc82e15
Add opt-in Discord pings to standings notifications (#429)
* Add opt-in Discord ping to standings notifications

Users who have linked their Discord account can enable a ping preference
in Settings > Notifications. When enabled, their bracket username is replaced
with a Discord @mention (<@userId>) in league standings update messages,
sending them a push notification and showing their Discord display name.

Adds discordPingEnabled column to users, a findDiscordIdsByUserIds model
helper, allowed_mentions support to the Discord webhook payload, and a
NotificationsSection settings component.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01NUv93WRrufHhpZSMyY4bjs

* Remove Display Name field from user profile settings

Username is the only user-facing name field. The display_name column
remains in the database since BetterAuth writes the OAuth provider name
there, and it serves as a programmatic fallback via getUserDisplayName.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01NUv93WRrufHhpZSMyY4bjs

* Address code review feedback on Discord ping feature

- Fix broken Account settings link in NotificationsSection: replace the
  non-functional ?section=account href with an onNavigateToAccount callback
  that drives the parent's useState-based section switcher
- Replace hand-rolled toggle button with the project's Switch component
  (Radix UI) for consistent sizing, accessibility, and dark-mode support
- Guard update-discord-ping action: return an error if the user attempts
  to enable pings without a Discord account linked
- Surface action error in NotificationsSection UI
- Cap allowed_mentions.users at 100 to avoid Discord rejecting the payload
  in large leagues
- Remove the showWinner alias in scoring-calculator; inline winnerScoreChanged
- Add comment to league settings test notification explaining why discordUserId
  is omitted
- Clarify database schema comment: displayName is write-only from BetterAuth

https://claude.ai/code/session_01NUv93WRrufHhpZSMyY4bjs

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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-15 10:06:54 -07:00
Chris Parsons
766ba948e1
Add MLS standings sync and fix simulator conference resolution (#423)
* Add MLS standings sync and fix simulator conference resolution

- New MlsStandingsAdapter using ESPN's free soccer API (no key required),
  returning Eastern/Western conference data, W/D/L/GF/GA/GD/PTS, conference
  rank, and home/away records; registered under mls_bracket
- Display route now shows soccer table columns and a 9-team playoff cutoff
  line for mls_bracket (top 9 per conference qualify for MLS Cup Playoffs)
- MLS simulator gains a third conference fallback: reads externalId="Eastern"
  or "Western" on the participant, mirroring the LLWS pool-assignment pattern
  so admins can bootstrap conference data before the first standings sync
- 9 unit tests covering stat mapping, conference normalization, rank ordering,
  and error paths

https://claude.ai/code/session_01WhzXHpv6taXdHzhgvnv83u

* Address code review feedback on MLS standings + simulator

1. Update mls-simulator.ts module comment to document the new step-3
   externalId fallback in the conference resolution order
2. Tighten normalizeConference to exact-match "Eastern"/"Western
   Conference" instead of broad substring, preventing false matches
   on names like "Northeast"
3. Pre-parse statsMap for each entry before the sort so it isn't
   rebuilt O(n log n) times during comparison
4. Document the externalId name-matching tradeoff on
   parseConferenceFromExternalId
5. Try ESPN's gamesPlayed stat before falling back to wins+losses+ties
   sum; export parseConferenceFromExternalId for direct testing
6. Add tests: normalizeConference passthrough, winPct=0 at preseason,
   and parseConferenceFromExternalId (case-insensitivity, null/undefined,
   numeric ESPN IDs, unrecognized strings)

https://claude.ai/code/session_01WhzXHpv6taXdHzhgvnv83u

* Fix lint: replace != null with !== null && !== undefined

oxlint enforces eqeqeq; the five != null checks in mls.ts were flagged.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01WhzXHpv6taXdHzhgvnv83u

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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-14 15:39:40 -07:00
Chris Parsons
c097e4827c
Add MLS sport simulator (mls_bracket) (#422)
* Add MLS sport simulator (mls_bracket)

Adds Major League Soccer as a draftable sport with a full-season Monte Carlo
simulator. Models both preseason regular-season projection (34 games across
Eastern and Western conferences) and the MLS Cup Playoffs bracket, including
the Wild Card (single game + PKs), Round 1 best-of-3 series, Conference
Semis/Finals (single game), and MLS Cup.

P1–P8 mapping: MLS Cup winner, finalist, Conference Finals losers, Conference
Semifinals losers. Conference assignment reads from regularSeasonStandings.conference
or falls back to the region simulator input ("Eastern"/"Western").

Admin inputs: projectedTablePoints (primary, max 102 for 34×3), with derivation
chain to sourceElo via existing input-policy; sourceOdds as alternative.
No hardcoded team data — all inputs are admin-managed per season.

- database/schema.ts: add mls_bracket to simulatorTypeEnum
- drizzle/0104_chief_boom_boom.sql: migration for the new enum value
- mls-simulator.ts: MLSSimulator + exported pure helpers for testability
- registry.ts / manifest.ts / simulator-config.ts: register mls_bracket
- mls-simulator.test.ts: 38 unit tests covering all helpers and sync checks

https://claude.ai/code/session_015wkBJ3SYGcMGjsddKKGkwa

* Fix MLS simulator: config loading, sourceOdds fallback, normalization

Three issues found in code review comparing against EPL and NFL simulators:

1. Load simulator config from DB via getSportsSeasonSimulatorConfig so
   admins can override iterations, seasonGames, parityFactor, drawRates
   per season without code changes. Previously all constants were hardcoded.

2. Add sourceOdds → convertFuturesToElo fallback when no sourceElo is
   present. EPL and NFL both do this; MLS was throwing immediately instead
   of attempting the odds conversion that the manifest declares as optional.

3. Call normalizeSimulationResultColumns before returning results, matching
   EPL's local normalization pattern for consistency (runner also normalizes
   globally, but EPL calls it locally too).

https://claude.ai/code/session_015wkBJ3SYGcMGjsddKKGkwa

* Polish MLS simulator: configNumber zero, logger warning, Map lookup

Three small fixes from secondary code review:

1. configNumber: allow value >= 0 (not just > 0) so admins can
   legitimately set baseDrawRate or drawDecay to 0 without the value
   being silently discarded and replaced with the default.

2. Add logger.warn when a participant is excluded from simulation due
   to a missing Elo rating, matching the NLL bracket-aware pattern.
   Gives admins a visible signal instead of a silent exclusion.

3. getBySeeds: build a Map once instead of calling Array.find() per
   seed. Eliminates 4M linear scans across 50k iterations for a 9-
   element array — trivially fast either way, but Map is the right tool.

https://claude.ai/code/session_015wkBJ3SYGcMGjsddKKGkwa

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Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-14 12:45:53 -07:00
Chris Parsons
06339fd4b6
Fix EPL simulator parity config (#421) 2026-05-13 15:02:23 -07:00